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Mavericks vs Thunder Game 1 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
3 minute read

The second round of the NBA Playoffs continues with a solid 2-game slate on Tuesday night -- and the second matchup of the evening we'll preview is Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 1, which is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Mavs are 3.5-point road underdogs on the spread in Tuesday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 217 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals between the Mavericks and Thunder -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Tuesday, May 7.

Mavericks vs Thunder Odds

DAL @ OKC Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+3 -112 +2.5 -110 +2.5 -100 +2.5 -110 +2.5 -120 +2.5 -110 +2.5 -115 +2.5 -117 +4.5 -114  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-3 -108 -2.5 -110 -2.5 -122 -2.5 -110 -2.5 -110 -2.5 -110 -2.5 -115 -2.5 -109 -4.5 -106  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
o215 -110 o112 -110 o112.5 -110 N/A o111.5 -115 o112 -110 o111.5 -115 o112.5 -113 o219 -112  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
u215 -110 u112 -110 u112.5 -110 N/A u111.5 -115 u112 -110 u111.5 -115 u112.5 -115 u219 -108  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+120 N/A +134 +135 +125 +130 N/A +135 +152  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-142 N/A -164 -160 -175 -155 N/A -175 -180  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+3 -112 -1 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +2.5 -121 +4.5 -114  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-3 -108 +1 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -2.5 -108 -4.5 -106  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
o215 -110 o107 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A o105.5 -113 o219 -112  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
u215 -110 u107 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A u105.5 -118 u219 -108  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+120 N/A +116 N/A N/A N/A N/A +125 +152  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-142 N/A -142 N/A N/A N/A N/A -159 -180  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+3 -112 +1 -110 +1.5 -108 +1.5 -115 +1.5 -120 +1.5 -115 +1.5 -120 +1.5 -120 +4.5 -114  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-3 -108 -1 -110 -1.5 -112 -1.5 -105 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -105 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -107 -4.5 -106  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
o215 -110 o55.5 -110 o56.5 -106 N/A N/A o55.5 -108 o55.5 -115 o55.5 -121 o219 -112  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
u215 -110 u55.5 -110 u56.5 -120 N/A N/A u55.5 -112 u55.5 -115 u55.5 -108 u219 -108  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+120 N/A +126 +120 N/A +130 N/A +120 +152  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-142 N/A -154 -150 N/A -155 N/A -152 -180  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+3 -112 +1 -120 +0.5 -102 N/A +1.5 -130 +1 -105 +1.5 -125 +1.5 -120 +4.5 -114  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-3 -108 -1 -110 -0.5 -120 N/A -1.5 even -1 -115 -1.5 even -1.5 -109 -4.5 -106  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
o215 -110 o56 -115 o56.5 -108 N/A N/A o56.5 -105 o56.5 -115 o56.5 -117 o219 -112  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
u215 -110 u56 -115 u56.5 -118 N/A N/A u56.5 -115 u56.5 -110 u56.5 -114 u219 -108  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+120 N/A +110 N/A N/A +120 N/A +116 +152  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-142 N/A -134 N/A N/A -142 N/A -148 -180  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+3 -112 +1 -115 +0.5 -108 N/A +1.5 -125 +1 -110 +1.5 -125 +1.5 -118 +4.5 -114  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-3 -108 -1 -115 -0.5 -112 N/A -1.5 -105 -1 -110 -1.5 -105 -1.5 -110 -4.5 -106  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
o215 -110 o53.5 -115 o53.5 -106 N/A N/A o54.5 -115 o53.5 -120 o52.5 -117 o219 -112  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
u215 -110 u53.5 -115 u53.5 -120 N/A N/A u54.5 -105 u53.5 -110 u52.5 -113 u219 -108  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+120 N/A +102 N/A N/A +114 N/A +118 +152  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-142 N/A -124 N/A N/A -135 N/A -152 -180  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+3 -112 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -104 N/A +0.5 -115 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -115 +1.5 -125 +4.5 -114  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-3 -108 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -118 N/A -0.5 -115 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -1.5 -103 -4.5 -106  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
o215 -110 o53 -115 o52.5 -122 N/A N/A o52.5 -108 o51.5 -115 o52.5 -118 o219 -112  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
u215 -110 u53 -115 u52.5 -104 N/A N/A u52.5 -112 u51.5 -110 u52.5 -112 u219 -108  
Final
Dallas Mavericks 557 Mavericks
+120 N/A +110 N/A even +102 N/A +110 +152  
Oklahoma City Thunder 558 Thunder
-142 N/A -134 N/A -130 -122 N/A -139 -180  

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Mavericks vs Thunder Picks & Prediction

After splitting the first four matchups (2-2) of their first round playoff series against LAC, the Mavericks closed out the Clippers in emphatic fashion, as Dallas won the final two games of the series by a combined margin of 43 points. So, on the heels of back-to-back impressive efforts, the Mavs now find themselves tagged as surprisingly narrow underdogs against the top-seeded Thunder in the Western Conference Semis.

The Mavericks have all the flashy tools and gadgets on offense. Scoring is rarely an issue for Dallas with the superstar duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving at the helm, as the Mavericks earned the five-seed in the West with a record of 50-32 behind an offense that ranks top-10 in both offensive rating (117.6) and points per game (117.9). However, despite winning the series, those numbers didn’t quite translate to the first round of the playoffs, considering Dallas ranks 8th in team field goal percentage (46.5) and 7th in offensive rating (115.9) among the 16 teams that punched a ticket to the opening postseason round.

There’s no denying the fact the Mavs wield enough firepower to win this series, especially if they continue to somewhat replicate their top-ranked defensive rating (106.1) from the final month of the regular season – and they nearly achieved that feat in the opening round against the Clippers with a defensive rating of 109.5 through six playoff games.

However, let’s not pretend the Mavs had their hands particularly full against LAC in the absence of Kawhi Leonard for most of the previous series, and they still lost two of those games. So I’m not quite ready to pull the trigger on Dallas in Round 2 against a top-seeded Thunder team that ranked top-4 in both offensive rating (119.5) and defensive rating (112.1) during the regular season, and now owns a considerable rest advantage in addition to homecourt advantage after casually sweeping New Orleans (+63 point differential) in the previous round. I'll lay the points with OKC in Game 1.

Pick: Thunder -3.5 (-110)

Click this link for picks and predictions for all NBA Playoff matchups!

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Mavericks vs Thunder Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Tuesday, May 7
Matchup: Southwest vs. Northwest
Venue: Paycom Center
Location: Oklahoma City, OK
Time-TV: TNT, 9:30 p.m. ET

Mavericks vs Clippers Betting Stats

1) Oklahoma City Thunder
(1st Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +750
  • Odds to Win Conference: +270
  • Odds to Win Series: -130
  • SU: 57-25
  • ATS: 46-35-1
  • O/U: 45-36-1
  • PPG: 120.1
  • OPPG: 112.7

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements leading up to the NBA Finals!

5) Dallas Mavericks
(1st Place, Southwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +1100
  • Odds to Win Conference: +370
  • Odds to Win Series: +106
  • SU: 50-32
  • ATS: 48-34
  • O/U: 36-45-1
  • PPG: 117.9
  • OPPG: 115.6

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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