Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions, Odds, Picks

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Jan. 2, 2022

Michael Crosson
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The 17th weekend of regular-season NFL will conclude on Sunday night with a compelling NFC North matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers. Coverage begins from Lambeau Field at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Score Prediction

Packers 31, Vikings 14

Best Bets

Packers -13 (-110) at PointsBet

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions

After winning the NFC North with a record of 13-3 SU last year, Green Bay kept that same ball rolling with another strong start to this season, as the Packers opened with a solid 7-1 SU and ATS run – while averaging 24 PPG offensively and surrendering 20.1 PPG defensively across that timeframe.

The Packers’ offense has cranked up the heat dramatically as of late though, considering Green Bay enters Week 17 riding a four-game winning streak that consists of victories over the Rams, Bears, Ravens, and Browns – while racking up 34 PPG on 374 YPG across that window.

On the other hand, Minnesota’s season has been a wild ride so far, considering the Vikings kicked things off with a heartbreaking 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS stretch, which consists of losses by four points or less in matchups against the Bengals, Cardinals, Cowboys, and Ravens – and a seven-point loss to the Browns.

The Vikings have maintained a similarly unsettling pace throughout December too, considering Minnesota sits at 4-3 SU and ATS since Week 10 – which includes a head-scratching loss to the Lions (L, 29-27) and an impressive win over the Packers (W, 34-31).

I’ll lay the points with Green Bay here, as Kirk Cousins is unavailable on Sunday night for Minnesota, so the Packers should ultimately win this game safely, likely leaning on a heavy rushing attack down the stretch – and I doubt the Vikings’ 28th ranked rush defense will provide much resistance (130.5 YPG, 4.7 YPA).

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Odds

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Resources

The Packers enter Sunday’s contest favored by roughly two touchdowns over the visiting Vikings, which marks the heaviest underdog tag given to Minnesota this season. The total for Sunday night’s affair is stationed below OU 43 at most shops – marking the lowest bar set for a matchup containing either of these teams this year.

Matchup: NFC North
Date: Sunday, January 2, 2022
Venue: Lambeau Field
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV-Time: NBC - 8:20 p.m. ET

Minnesota Vikings Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

SU: 7-8
ATS: 8-7
O/U: 9-6
ATS - Away: 5-3

After finishing third in the NFC North with a record of 7-9 SU last year, Minnesota has strung together a nearly identical 2021 campaign, as the Vikings enter Week 17 sitting at 7-8 SU and 8-7 ATS – which is roughly what the oddsmakers called for, considering they were favored in six of those affairs.

All bets are off heading into Week 17 though, considering Cousins was officially scratched on Friday afternoon due to health and safety reasons – likely delegating Sean Mannion for a tough road start with very little preparation on Sunday night.

Green Bay Packers Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

SU: 12-3
ATS: 11-4
O/U: 6-9
ATS - Home: 6-1

After getting blown out by the Saints in Week 1 (L, 38-3), Green Bay’s defense seemingly took that loss personally for some time, as the Packers surrendered just 18.4 PPG and forced 14 turnovers across their ensuing seven-game winning streak.

Green Bay’s offense has carried them through the last few weeks though, considering the Packers are 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS in their last four games – while averaging 34 PPG offensively and surrendering 27.5 PPG defensively across that span.

The Packers are 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS across the last 14 games. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Minnesota Vikings

Record: 7-8
Division Standing: 2nd - NFC North
Points Scored: 384
Points Allowed: 372
PS/G: 25.6 (12th)
PA/G: 24.8 (23rd)

Inside the Stats - Green Bay Packers

Record: 12-3
Division Standing: 1st - NFC North
Points Scored: 383
Points Allowed: 324
PS/G: 25.5 (13th)
PA/G: 21.6 (13th)

Key Players to Watch

MIN: Dalvin Cook - RB (226 CAR, 30 REC, 1,288 TOT YDS, 6 TD)
MIN: Justin Jefferson - WR (97 REC, 1,451 YDS, 9 TD)
GNB: Aaron Rodgers - QB (68% CMP, 3,689 YDS, 33 TD, 4 INT)
GNB: Davante Adams - WR (106 REC, 1,362 YDS, 10 TD)

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Conclusion

After extending their winning streak to four with a win over Cleveland last week, the Packers enter Sunday night’s contest favored by roughly two touchdowns over the visiting Vikings – marking the fourth straight game Green Bay has been favored by seven points or more.

I’ll lay the points with Green Bay here, as the Packers are averaging 34 PPG on 374 YPG across their current four-game winning streak – which sets the stage for relatively easy sledding at home against a Vikings’ squad starting a backup QB, while also ranking 28th in rush defense (130.5 YPG, 4.7 YPA).

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Trends

The Vikings are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 road games against Green Bay.
The Packers are 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS across the last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Vikings' games.

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers