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Last Updated Apr 28 2024, 10:35 AM

Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets for April 28, 2024

Kevin Rogers
Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
Player Prop Picks

The VegasInsider NBA Player Prop Picks are now available for the 2023-24 NBA regular season and for the campaign, we're leaning on our friends at RotoGrinders.

Check back on a daily basis to view our NBA Player Prop Bets, or check out our overall NBA odds! Check out the latest bet365 bonus code offer before placing your bets on NBA action.

North Carolina sportsbooks are now live! NC residents can now bet on NBA action.

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - SUNDAY'S PROPS

The NBA Player Prop Bets are available for Sunday April 28, 2024 and for today's slate, we're focusing on the matchups below:

For the above matchups, our experts have selected NBA Player Prop Bets on the below individuals:

  • Clippers G James Harden
  • Bucks F Bobby Portis
  • Pacers G T.J. McConnell
James Harden Over 7.5 Assists (-110)

Game 3 of this series was just an absolute dud, so I am willing to look past that one. In the first two games of the series, Harden had 8 assists in each contest. The Mavs have been better defensively, but they have still allowed the 8th-most assists opportunities per game in the NBA. I have Harden projected for 9.3 assists.

Bobby Portis Over 19.5 Points (-113)

Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard are both listed as doubtful for Game 4. That means tons of offensive opportunities are available for the remaining Bucks.

Portis sees a 5.2% usage rate bump with both guys off the floor. He's averaged over 24 points per 36 minutes in that situation. Portis boosted his interior scoring and relied less on assisted field goals this season, which bodes well for this matchup.

T.J. McConnell Over 10.5 Points & Assists (-113)

McConnell almost backdoored this number for us in Game 3, but despite the loss, I am going right back to him in a slightly different fashion (points + assists). I have him projected for 9.6 points alone while also adding 5.2 assists. McConnell has continued to see consistent minutes in this Pacers playoff rotation, so we should be able to count on 16-18 minutes here.

NBA Playoffs Betting Resources

Popular Prop Resources

Thinking about adding a prop to a parlay? Make sure to use our parlay calculator and check out our best NBA parlays for this week. You can also use our bet365 promo code to get bonus bets.

Best Sportsbooks For NBA Player Props

How Do NBA Player Prop Bets Work?

So, a prop bet is any bet or wager that doesn’t involve the actual outcome of a game. This is how DFS operators such as PrizePicks and UnderDog can provide certain props in states where traditional sports betting isn’t legal yet. 

As for how NBA player prop bets work in particular, you basically wager on whether a player will hit over or under a certain amount of points, assists, rebounds, etc. This can also be done on the team level with points, dunks, fouls, etc. 

Before placing a prop bet, do your research to find out where you'll get the best sportsbook bonus.

NBA Prop Bet Options

The best part about NBA prop betting is all the options it affords you. 

Want to wager on the amount of points a player will score against the worst defense in the league? Done. 

What if you want to bet that a player on a hot streak will hit over a certain amount of threes? You can do that too. 

NBA Player Props

As mentioned before, this is when you wager on a particular player hitting over or under a particular stat, such as points, rebounds, assists, etc. 

Here is a hypothetical example:

  • LeBron James: Over 26.5 Total Points -120; Under 26.5 Total Points -105

Always keep in mind that the odds can differ between the over and the under. As you can see above, LBJ scoring over 26.5 points in this hypothetical game is favored and a bit more expensive at -120 rather than -105 for the under. 

Other NBA Props Available

In addition to player prop bets, you can also wager on team prop bets and season-long prop bets. Team prop bets are a little easier than player prop bets since you don’t have to rely on a single player, while season-long prop bets are much more difficult than both. 

Season-long prop bets are good if you have a strong hunch or feeling about a certain player or team. Much like an NBA futures bet, you can wager on a team’s win totals, whether a player will win a certain award, etc. 

Here is a hypothetical example of an NBA team prop bet: 

1st Half Winning Margin 

  • Los Angeles Lakers 1-3 Points: +650
  • Los Angeles Lakers 4-6 Points: +750
  • Los Angeles Lakers 7-9 Points: +950
  • Los Angeles Lakers 10-12 Points: +1300
  • Los Angeles Lakers 13-16 Points: +1600

Told ya there were a lot of options. 

NBA Player Props Betting Tips

Regardless of who you’re betting on, there are some general tips you should always take into consideration before placing a prop bet. 

Check Injury Reports

This one seems like a no-brainer, but you’d be surprised at how many people forget to check the injury report. Not only is this important to see if the player you want to wager on is playing, but also who else is available. 

Obviously, if the best player on a particular team is out, that might lead to more opportunities for the second or third option and perhaps better value for you if you get a wager in quickly. 

Check Trends

We have plenty of expert tips and trends for you here at VegasInsider, so always make sure to check them before placing a bet. 

If you see a player has scored 20 or more in five straight, chances are he should hit that again. Of course, the line will dictate whether the bet is smart or not. Books might make things tough and place the line at 21.5 for a player that averages 20.2 points per game, but that’s why they call it gambling.

Play Within Your Means

This goes without saying, but always manage your bankroll. Remember, sports betting and gambling is supposed to be for fun. If you need help, check out our responsible gambling resources. 

Feel free to check out all our resources, such as our NBA Picks, our guide to the best sportsbook bonus, NBA odds, and use our ESPN Bet promo code to get up to $1000 in bonuses!

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers
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