Big 12 Report – Week 10
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Iowa State at Kansas (No national TV, 12:00 p.m.)
The Cyclones picked up an impressive home win against Texas Tech last week, while Kansas surprised TCU at home to give their long-starved fans a much-needed conference win and some hope. The Cyclones are more than a two-touchdown favorite on the road, which is a spot TCU found itself in last weekend, but Iowa State is playing much better than TCU at the time. Plus, I-State is 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10 on the road, while going 20-5-1 ATS across their past 26 inside the league. Kansas is still just 8-20 ATS in the past 28 against teams with a winning record, although 6-2 ATS in their past eight appearances in the month of November. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five in this series, and the Cyclones are 2-5 ATS in their past seven trips to Lawrence. The under has cashed in four of the past five meetings.
Oklahoma State at Baylor (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
The Cowboys picked up a huge win against Texas last week, keeping hope alive not just for a bowl game, but a decent one. Baylor is looking to splash cold water on their accomplishment and knock them down a peg. The Bears are just 1-6 ATS in their past seven at home, and 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight overall, so they might not be in good shape to pull the upset. The over is 10-4 in OK State's past 14 overall, and 21-8 in the past 29 conference tilts. The over is also frequent for Baylor lately, too, going 7-2 in their past nine overall, and 39-19-1 in their past 59 at home. In this series, though, the under is 4-1 in the past five in Waco. The favorite is 16-5 ATS in the past 21 in this series, and the Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in the past 12 battles.
West Virginia at Texas (FOX, 3:30 p.m.)
The Mountaineers head down to Austin looking to add to the woes of the Longhorns. Everyone was touting that Texas was 'back' after a win over Oklahoma in the Red River rivalry game. But they rose to a Top 10 ranking, headed to Oklahoma State with possible playoff hopes, and they were dropped. Now, they might have to readjust their goals. A loss to the Longhorns will really shake the fan base once more. West Virginia arrives 4-1-1 ATS in the past six against winning sides, and 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings overall. Texas is 11-5-1 ATS in the past 17 against teams with a winning overall record, but they're just 1-6 ATS in the past seven games in the month of November.
The under has dominated for both sides, going 27-13 in the past 40 conference tilts, and 6-2 in their past eight on the road against teams with a winning home record. The under is 40-15 in the past 55 conference battles for Texas, while going 39-19-1 in their past 59 home games. The under is also 29-9 in the past 38 against winning teams for the Longhorns.
Kansas State at Texas Christian (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
It's the Purple Bowl, and the way things are going for both of these teams, that could be the only bowl they play in this series. K-State's offense is pitiful, and TCU is reeling after a stunning straight-up road loss at Kansas as a two-touchdown favorite. Someone will leave the field in Fort Worth with a sixth loss, something neither of these teams has experienced much of lately. K-State is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight following a non-cover, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven on the road against a team with a losing home record. The Horned Frogs are in a tailspin, and against the number, too. They're 0-7 ATS in their past seven conference tilts, and 0-5 ATS in the past five overall. They're also just 7-19 ATS in the past 26 at home and 3-8 ATS in the past 11 against teams with a losing overall mark.
Oklahoma at Texas Tech (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
The Sooners might still have a shot at a playoff spot, but like many other contenders with one loss they need some craziness in the final month while taking care of their own business. Texas Tech would love to dash their hopes in a rare national TV game in primetime. Of course, a lot of eyes might be tuning in to the Alabama-LSU game, at least while that one is close.
Oklahoma heads into this one 13-4 ATS in the past 17 against teams with a winning overall mark, and 8-3 ATS in the past 11 conference tilts. However, they have covered just twice in the past seven true road outings. Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams and 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall. However, they're 2-7 ATS in the past nine at home against teams with a winning road record.
The over has dominated this series lately, going 6-1 in the past seven meetings. The over is also 7-2 in Tech's past nine overall, and 20-8 in their past 28 in Lubbock. The over is 4-0 in Oklahoma's past four games, and 4-1 in their past five road outings. The over is also 39-19-1 in their past 59 conference battles. In this series, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five, and Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Texas Tech. As of Thursday AM, Oklahoma was favored by 13 1/2 with a total hovering around 78.
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