Free Golf Picks & Predictions – FedEx St. Jude Championship
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Free Golf Winner Picks
Tournament winner markets are the most commonly wagered in golf betting, simply selecting a golfer to win the event for very good value. Because the value is so high, many bettors will wager on anywhere from one to five golfers in a single event.
VegasInsider provides Golf Free Picks for each event, picking winners for golfers that are favored, given mid-range odds, or long shots to consider.
Russell Henley – To Win (Without Scheffler) +1800
Henley enters the week red-hot, with finishes of T10, T2, T10, and T5 in his last four starts, and the advanced metrics back it up—he ranks 5th in total strokes gained, including 14th in approach and 32nd in putting. His 4th-place rank in proximity to the hole makes him a dangerous scorer when he's dialed in. At TPC Southwind, accuracy is key, and Henley delivers—he hits 67% of fairways, ranking 15th on Tour. That blend of precision and form makes him one of the strongest contenders to win without Scheffler in the field.
Aaron Rai – To Win (Without Scheffler) +2500
Aaron Rai is built for TPC Southwind. He ranks 2nd in driving accuracy, a key stat at this course that punishes errant tee shots. His ball striking is sharp—12th in GIR% and 21st in strokes gained off the tee—and he’s quietly putting together strong form with finishes of T5, T34, T47, and T17 in his last four. Rai has also played here often and consistently made the cut, with five appearances and a best finish of T12. Now playing some of his best golf, and without Scheffler in this market, Rai offers great upside at +2500.
Free Golf Matchup Picks
Keen on one particular golfer outperforming another? Perhaps you’re on the Brooks Koepka team and want to bet against his nemesis, Bryson DeChambeau?
Regardless, VegasInsider provides the best matchup selections for Golf Free Picks.
Instead of picking a tournament winner, bettors will select one specific golfer to finish in a higher position than another specific golfer.
This is known as matchup betting, and our experts provide top analysis on matchups for 72 holes of play or just one round.
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Golf Free Prop Picks
From group bets to nationality winners, even winning stroke margins, there are ample golf prop bets to select from.
Our VegasInsider golf experts go through the various prior markets for each event to find you the best value in exotic wagers.
Justin Thomas – Finish Better Than 21st (-120)
Justin Thomas is finally trending back toward elite form, with 11 straight events gaining strokes—a big step forward given his struggles last season. He’s quietly climbed to 6th in total strokes gained, including top-20 ranks in both approach (18th) and putting (13th). That last stat is especially notable: he now ranks 1st in putting average, a huge turnaround for a player whose flatstick used to be a liability. Thomas has also played well at TPC Southwind historically, with a win and multiple top-30 finishes. With his ball striking steady and the putter hot, a finish inside the top 21 is very much in play.
Corey Conners – Finish Better Than 23rd (-120)
Corey Conners heads to TPC Southwind in great form, riding a streak of 14 straight tournaments with positive strokes gained. This consistency, paired with a track record of gaining +0.53 strokes off the tee per round here, makes him a strong fit this week. He ranks 20th in the field in ball-striking at this course and sits 18th in total strokes gained overall. Conners is also 15th in SG off the tee and 17th in driving accuracy—two key traits for navigating Southwind’s demanding layout. With his current level of play and a game that matches the course profile, finishing better than 23rd feels like a solid bet.
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Golf Free Picks Offered by VegasInsider
The golf season is in full swing, as the golf Expert Picks feature will be offered on a weekly basis.
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How to Bet on Golf
Golf sports betting has gained much more exposure and interest in the past few years, and with plenty of plus-money prices littered throughout the various forms of golf wagers, the chance for bigger scores is part of the reason behind that increased popularity.
How Do Golf Odds Work?
The most popular bet in Golf is the “Odds to Win” wager or what some might call a future wager.
Put simply, you just need to pick the overall winner of the tournament. You select any of the golfers in the field and your payout for the bet will depend on the odds given at the time of the wager.
For example, Justin Thomas is listed as a 10/1 betting choice. If you wager $100 on Thomas to win the event and he comes in first, then you would win $1,000 (100 x10).
You would collect $1,100, which includes your win and stake ($100).
How Do you Bet on Golf Matchups?
Matchup betting in golf is just as simplistic as “Odds to Win” wagers.
In this bet, the objective is to select one golfer to finish ahead of another golfer.
Similar to other sports, there is money-line odds associated with each matchup, which means there will always be a favorite and an underdog.
For example, Dustin Johnson (-135) vs. Jason Day (+115) where Johnson is the favorite and Day is the underdog.
In this particular matchup, gamblers looking for a payout of $100 on Dustin Johnson would have to risk $135 to win $100.
Those betting $100 on Jason Day (+115) would earn a payout of $115 if Day finishes ahead of Johnson in the tournament.
To win your matchup wagers, you need the golfer you selected to post a lower score than the opponent selected in the matchups.
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How Does Betting the Field in Golf Work?
Many golf events will include a betting selection called the Field.
This bet consists of all golfers not listed in the “Odds to Win.”
The size of golf tournaments vary and it’s rare to see oddsmakers put a price on every ball striker that will tee off.
Golfers who are given the least opportunity to win will be grouped into the “Field” odds and paid out accordingly if they win.
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VegasInsider Premium is an all-access subscription product that will provide users with expert picks from our entire stable of VegasInsider handicappers on a daily and weekly basis.
All of the picks will feature betting analysis and strategy for all sports, with an emphasis on the three most popular pre-game betting markets.
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The product allows users to handicap the handicappers.
Find the individual that parallels the style of handicapping that you prefer. Instead of buying handicappers separately, VIP offers all insights and styles from a stable of individuals.
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