Free Golf Picks & Predictions – The Farmers Insurance Open
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Free Golf Winner Picks
Tournament winner markets are the most commonly wagered in golf betting, simply selecting a golfer to win the event for very good value. Because the value is so high, many bettors will wager on anywhere from one to five golfers in a single event.
VegasInsider provides Golf Free Picks for each event, picking winners for golfers that are favored, given mid-range odds, or long shots to consider.
Brooks Koepka Tournament Winner (+5500)
The skill gap between Koepka and the favorites (i.e. Ludvig Aberg, Xander Schauffele, Cameron Young, and Patrick Cantlay) is minimal, if not nonexistent. The question for Koepka is his endurance. How is he going to fair making his PGA TOUR debut this season after making the move back from LIV? Will there be an endurance issue going back to full 4-round tournaments? These questions are fair but do not warrant odds this long.
Koepka is going to make some noise in his return to the PGA TOUR.
Free Golf Matchup Picks
Keen on one particular golfer outperforming another? Perhaps you’re on the Brooks Koepka team and want to bet against his nemesis, Bryson DeChambeau?
Regardless, VegasInsider provides the best matchup selections for Golf Free Picks.
Instead of picking a tournament winner, bettors will select one specific golfer to finish in a higher position than another specific golfer.
This is known as matchup betting, and our experts provide top analysis on matchups for 72 holes of play or just one round.
72-Hole Matchup - Patrick Cantlay Over Cameron Young (-105, BetMGM)
Young is not only making his 2026 debut, but he has historically gotten off to slow starts. Last season, Young made 3 cuts in 5 events before March, missing the cut in The American Express and the Genesis Invitational (which was played at Torrey Pines). Young has missed 3 of the 4 cuts in events that Torrey Pines has hosted. This is much more of a fade on Young than it is a sign-off on Cantlay, but there is a great chance that this bet settles before we see Saturday.
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Golf Free Prop Picks
From group bets to nationality winners, even winning stroke margins, there are ample golf prop bets to select from.
Our VegasInsider golf experts go through the various prior markets for each event to find you the best value in exotic wagers.
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Brooks Koepka Top 40 Finish (+120, DraftKings)
Nicolai Hojgaard Top 40 Finish (-106, DraftKings)
Hojgaard is coming fresh off of a 4th-place finish at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic, which had a strong field that included Fleetwood, Hovland, McIlroy, and Lowry. Hojgaard has played in this event once dating back to 2024, where he finished in outright 2nd place and posted +2.56 Strokes Gained.
Hojgaard sees the weekend and plays well to secure a top 40.
Ryan Gerard Top 20 Finish (+180)
Gerard has been on a tear lately. His back-to-back 2nd place finishes at The American Express and the Sony Open are great examples of the start that Gerard is off to. Gerard played in this event in 2025 and finished T15 and posted just over 1 Stroke Gained overall.
Torrey Pines favors long hitters, a skill that Ryan has. He also has length off of the tee without sacrificing accuracy, ranking 14th in Total Driving. With multiple top-2 finishes, a top 20 seems like a piece of cake.
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Golf Free Picks Offered by VegasInsider
The golf season is in full swing, as the golf Expert Picks feature will be offered on a weekly basis.
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How to Bet on Golf
Golf sports betting has gained much more exposure and interest in the past few years, and with plenty of plus-money prices littered throughout the various forms of golf wagers, the chance for bigger scores is part of the reason behind that increased popularity.
How Do Golf Odds Work?
The most popular bet in Golf is the “Odds to Win” wager or what some might call a future wager.
Put simply, you just need to pick the overall winner of the tournament. You select any of the golfers in the field and your payout for the bet will depend on the odds given at the time of the wager.
For example, Justin Thomas is listed as a 10/1 betting choice. If you wager $100 on Thomas to win the event and he comes in first, then you would win $1,000 (100 x10).
You would collect $1,100, which includes your win and stake ($100).
How Do you Bet on Golf Matchups?
Matchup betting in golf is just as simplistic as “Odds to Win” wagers.
In this bet, the objective is to select one golfer to finish ahead of another golfer.
Similar to other sports, there is money-line odds associated with each matchup, which means there will always be a favorite and an underdog.
For example, Dustin Johnson (-135) vs. Jason Day (+115) where Johnson is the favorite and Day is the underdog.
In this particular matchup, gamblers looking for a payout of $100 on Dustin Johnson would have to risk $135 to win $100.
Those betting $100 on Jason Day (+115) would earn a payout of $115 if Day finishes ahead of Johnson in the tournament.
To win your matchup wagers, you need the golfer you selected to post a lower score than the opponent selected in the matchups.
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How Does Betting the Field in Golf Work?
Many golf events will include a betting selection called the Field.
This bet consists of all golfers not listed in the “Odds to Win.”
The size of golf tournaments vary and it’s rare to see oddsmakers put a price on every ball striker that will tee off.
Golfers who are given the least opportunity to win will be grouped into the “Field” odds and paid out accordingly if they win.
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All of the picks will feature betting analysis and strategy for all sports, with an emphasis on the three most popular pre-game betting markets.
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Find the individual that parallels the style of handicapping that you prefer. Instead of buying handicappers separately, VIP offers all insights and styles from a stable of individuals.
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