AdventHealth 400 Picks, Predictions, Odds

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

1 minute read

The 12th race of the NASCAR season takes place in Kansas City, Kansas on Sunday for the AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway.

Denny Hamlin is not only coming off his third win of the season last week at Dover, but he is also the defending champion of this event.

Hamlin finished ahead of Kyle Larson and William Byron to capture last season's May race at Kansas, while placing in the Top-5 in five straight races at Kansas Speedway.

Larson is this week's favorite at +350 odds, as he placed in second place at Dover behind Hamlin last week, marking his fourth Top-3 finish this season.

NASCAR EXPERT BETS - ADVENTHEALTH 400

For this week's AdventHealth 400 on Sunday May 5, 2024 from Kansas Speedway in Kansas City, Kansas, our auto racing experts are focusing on the below individuals:

• Bubba Wallace
• Christopher Bell
• Ty Gibbs

Bubba Wallace Top 5 Finish (+190)

Wallace won this race in the fall of 2022, and 23XI has won 3 of the 4 races here with the Next-Gen car. I like Reddick, but I'm not showing value on his current line. Wallace ranks 6th in speed at Kansas with the Next-Gen car, and that includes the race last year where he had issues. Wallace ranks 10th in speed on the high-speed intermediates since the start of the 2023 season. Adding this to his outright bet.

PLACE THIS BET ONDRAFTKINGS

Christopher Bell Race Winner (+1200)

Bell ranks 2nd in speed in the 4 Next-Gen races at Kansas. He's had some issues and issues on pit road, but the raw speed is there. My model is showing any double-digit number at value this weekend. Bell has qualified 4th or better in 3 of the 4 Next-Gen races here. This is likely the best number we're going to get on him this week.

PLACE THIS BET ONBETMGM

Ty Gibbs Race Winner (+1500)

I'm going to keep betting on the talent and speed with Ty Gibbs. One of these weeks, he's going to put together a full race and pick up his 1st career win. Gibbs ranked top 5 in speed at both Las Vegas and Texas earlier this season. He had the 3rd-best driver rating in those two races. The speed is there, and we're getting a JGR car at 15/1 at a track Toyota has won 7 of the last 9 races.

PLACE THIS BET ONDRAFTKINGS

ADVENTHEALTH 400 BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
• TV-Time: FS1, 3:00 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kansas Speedway
• Location: Kansas City, Kansas
• Distance: 400 miles
• Laps: 267

ODDS TO WIN 2023 ADVENTHEALTH 400

• Kyle Larson +350
• Denny Hamlin +450
• Tyler Reddick +650
• William Byron +800
• Martin Truex, Jr. +800
• Christopher Bell +1000
• Chase Elliott +1000
• Ryan Blaney +1400
• Bubba Wallace +1400
• Ty Gibbs +1400
• Ross Chastain +1600
• Alex Bowman +1600
• Kyle Busch +1800
• Joey Logano +2500
• Brad Keselowski +3500
• Chris Buescher +3500
• Noah Gragson +4000
• Daniel Suarez +8000
• Chase Briscoe +8000
• Michael McDowell +12500
• Josh Berry +15000
• Carson Hocevar +15000
• Austin Cindric +25000
• Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +25000
• Corey Heim +25000
• Austin Dillon +30000
• Ryan Preece +30000
• Jimmie Johnson +40000
• John Hunter Nemechek +40000
• Austin Hill +40000
• Corey Lajoie +50000
• Todd Gilliand +75000
• Harrison Burton +75000
• Daniel Hemric +75000
• Justin Haley +100000
• Zane Smith +100000
• Derek Kraus +150000
• Riley Herbst +150000

ADVENTHEALTH 400 RACE HISTORY

• 2023 - Denny Hamlin
• 2022 - Kurt Busch
• 2021 - Kyle Busch
• 2020 - Denny Hamlin
• 2019 - Brad Keselowski
• 2018 - Kevin Harvick
• 2017 - Martin Truex, Jr.
• 2016 - Kyle Busch
• 2015 - Jimmie Johnson
• 2014 - Jeff Gordon

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers