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MLB Expert Picks for Tuesday, April 30
Our VI baseball betting experts have compiled their MLB picks for Tuesday, April 30 and they're focusing on the matchups below:
- San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)
- Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels (9:38 p.m. ET)
Giants vs Red Sox Free Picks
We're backing the Giants on the ML as they have the edge here on Tuesday night when they visit Fenway Park. San Francisco is much better than what they've shown out of the gates, but they get to lean here once again on their ace, Logan Webb.
The RH has pitched like a Cy Young candidate out of the gate, holding a 3-1 record and an ERA of just 2.33. He's been able to work deep into games and has gone at least 7.0 innings in each of his last 4 starts. He's pitching with such confidence right now and he will have a ton of success against this Red Sox lineup.
Cooper Criswell counters and he has covered just 3 starts so far. This Giants lineup will be a huge step up from the two others he has seen (Cleveland & Los Angeles Angels).
Look for the Giants to make him work and force his pitch count up early. This is a good price on the better team here.
Phillies vs Angels Free Picks
The Los Angeles Angels had a preseason season win total of 72.5. The Angels are 11-18 so far this year and they are 4-9 at home. The Phillies had a season win total of 89.5. The Phillies are 9-5 on the road so far this year. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
Tyler Anderson has a sparkling 1.78 ERA, but a high 4.89 FIP and a 5.09 xFIP on the season. Anderson has stranded a whopping 94.9% of runners on base so far this season. He has allowed opponents to have a batting average on balls in play of only .181 on the season. There is regression coming for Anderson.
In his career, Anderson has a .490 weighted on base average allowed against this Phillies lineup. Bryce Harper is 6/10 against him with 3 home runs and 3 doubles. The lineup in general has hit him hard.
Spencer Turnbull has a 1.33 ERA and a solid 3.14 FIP on the season. He has allowed one run or fewer in four of his five starts this season. The Angels are a below average lineup.
The Phillies bullpen is 7th in the majors in FIP. The Angels are 27th.
I'll lay the price with the road team.
Take Philadelphia.
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Run-Line Picks is MLB can be viewed as ATS or Against the Spread Picks since a spread or in this case, a run-line is involved. Oddsmakers always open run-line spreads as -1.5 or +1.5 and then there is money associated with each run-line spread. Instead of backing a heavy money-line favorite, bettors have the option to back that team to win by two or more runs at a lower price. When taking the underdog at the +1.5 price, your wager can still lose the game outright but if it stays within the spread (1.5) then you'll be okay. Our MLB Run Line Free Picks will feature a selection either on the favorite or the underdog and will include betting analysis on how to lay or take the points.
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