WNBA Free Picks, Predictions, Odds
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WNBA Expert Free Picks for Monday, May 20
Our VI basketball betting experts have compiled their WNBA picks for Monday, May 20 and they're focusing on the matchups below:
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty (7:00 p.m. ET)
- Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever (7:00 p.m. ET)
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Storm vs Liberty Free Picks
It's not often you get a huge early-season situational edge in the WNBA. But the Liberty have one here hosting the Storm.
The Liberty last played on Friday at home. They've had the weekend to rest and hone their early-season performance, which includes two victories by an average of 22.5 points against the Fever and Caitlin Clark.
The Liberty won't play again for three days. So they should have their full focus for this matchup.
The Storm, however, will be playing their third road game in four days. They lost in overtime to Minnesota this past Friday after a gallant comeback forced overtime and then had to rally in the fourth quarter to beat the Mystics on Sunday with four of their starters logging major minutes.
Seattle went 11-29 last year. That was the second-worst mark in the WNBA. The Storm, though, should be much improved this season with the additions of Skylar Diggins-Smith and Nneka Ogwumike joining Jewell Loyd, who led the league in scoring last season.
But it's going to take time for the Storm to jell, which hasn't happened yet. The Storm did manage to beat the Mystics, one of the worst teams in the league, at Washington on Sunday. Prior to that, though, Seattle lost twice to Minnesota, once at home and in overtime on the road, as favorites in each game.
Now the Storm is stepping way up in class as 3-0 New York could be the best team in the WNBA right now with Las Vegas missing injured Chelsea Gray.
Loyd and Diggins-Smith are a combined 32-of-112 shooting from the floor this season for 28.5 percent. Seattle can't beat even an average team like Minnesota if those two key scorers are cold like that. Diggins-Smith is rusty from having missed last year.
Sun vs Fever Free Picks
These two teams met in the opener with the Sun favored by -6.5 points at home over the Fever. Connecticut won that game 92-71 on 48% shooting overall, 43% from the 3-point line, were +2 in rebounds and had 10 less turnovers.
It's a small sample size but the Fever have the worse Defensive Net rating in the league at 115.9 and the worst overall Net rating of minus -28.7. Caitlyn Clark is obviously a very special talent offensively, but she hasn't improved the Fever's defense which was 11th of out twelve teams a year ago.
The Sun were the 2nd best defensive team in the WNBA a year ago and currently rank 3rd in DNR at 90.8. Connecticut has a positive Net rating of +17.8, are 2-0 SU this season with wins of +19 and +7.
The Sun were 14-6 SU on the road last season, the Fever were 6-14 SU at home. The Sun have now beaten this Indiana team 9 straight times with the three most recent coming by 16, 17 and 19-points. Lay it with the road favorite.
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