NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 Picks, Predictions, Odds

The NASCAR circuit heads to Michigan International Speedway’s wide 2-mile oval for Sunday’s FireKeepers Casino 400.

Chris Buescher came out victorious at this event in 2023, knocking off Martin Truex, Jr. (who led after each of the first two stages) and Denny Hamlin. In fact, Buescher owned one Top-10 finish at Michigan in his first 12 races before capturing the checkered flag.

Austin Dillon finished in first place at Richmond last week following a controversial ending with a collision on the final lap.

Kyle Larson remains atop the standings, followed by Tyler Reddick and Chase Elliott. Larson is the favorite at Michigan this week at +550 odds, while Hamlin (6/1) and Ryan Blaney (+650) are among the other drivers expected to finish towards the top.

NASCAR EXPERT BETS - FIREKEEPERS CASINO 400

For this week's FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday August 18, 2024 from Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn, Michigan, our auto racing experts are focusing on the below individuals:

  • Ty Gibbs
  • Bubba Wallace
Ty Gibbs Race Winner (+2200)

Gibbs has struggled over the last few weeks, which has presented some value on his top 10 and outright. Gibbs ranks 4th in speed on high-speed intermediates this season. He also ranks 3rd in average running position and has the 5th-best driver rating. Books have him priced in the 11-15 range. My model is showing value on his outright to +1800 and -125 on his top 10. I took his took top at +100 but would be okay with betting it to -125. Eventually, this team is going to put together a full race, and Gibbs is going to get his first win.

Bubba Wallace Race Winner (+2500)

Wallace has been fast at Michigan in the Next-Gen era. He ranks third in speed in those two races. Typically, Michigan has been dominated by Ford. They've won nine straight races here. With that said, Toyota has been fast on all the high-speed intermediates tracks this season. Wallace is right above the cut line for the playoffs, but these next two weekends are races he can win. I'm betting on the Toyota speed and a track Wallace has been fast at.

The FireKeepers 400 takes place at Michigan on Sunday. (Getty)

FIREKEEPERS 400 BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, August 18, 2024
Venue: Michigan International Speedway
Location: Brooklyn, Michigan
Distance: 312 miles
Laps: 156
Network-Time: USA - 3:00 p.m. ET
Defending Champion: Chris Buescher

FIREKEEPERS 400 BETTING ODDS

  • Kyle Larson +550
  • Denny Hamlin +600
  • Ryan Blaney +650
  • Tyler Reddick +700
  • Brad Keselowski +900
  • Christopher Bell +1000
  • Martin Truex, Jr. +1000
  • Joey Logano +1000
  • Chase Elliott +1200
  • William Byron +1200
  • Chris Buescher +1600
  • Ty Gibbs +1600
  • Bubba Wallace +2000
  • Ross Chastain +2800
  • Alex Bowman +3000
  • Kyle Busch +4000
  • Daniel Suarez +5000
  • Josh Berry +10000
  • Austin Cindric +12500
  • Noah Gragson +12500
  • Erik Jones +12500
  • Carson Hocevar +12500
  • Todd Gilliand +20000
  • Austin Dillon +20000
  • Michael McDowell +20000
  • Chase Briscoe +20000
  • Justin Haley +30000
  • Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +30000
  • Ryan Preece +40000
  • A.J. Allmendinger +50000
  • John Hunter Nemechek +50000
  • Corey Lajoie +50000
  • Zane Smith +50000
  • Harrison Burton +100000
  • Daniel Hemric +100000
  • Cody Ware +250000

FIREKEEPERS 400 WINNERS

Chris Buescher captured the checkered flag at Michigan last August. (Getty)
  • 2023 - Chris Buescher
  • 2022 - Kevin Harvick
  • 2021 - Ryan Blaney
  • 2020 - Kevin Harvick
  • 2019 - Kevin Harvick
  • 2018 - Kevin Harvick
  • 2017 - Kyle Larson
  • 2016 - Kyle Larson
  • 2015 - Matt Kenseth
  • 2014 - Jeff Gordon