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Auto Racing

NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Picks, Predictions, Odds

Kevin Rogers
Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert
1 minute read

The first of two races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway this season takes place on Sunday with the Pennzoil 400. William Byron captured the Daytona 500 in the season opening race, followed by Daniel Suarez winning a close decision in Atlanta last week.

NASCAR EXPERT BETS - PENNZOIL 400

For this week's Pennzoil 400 on Sunday March 3, 2024 from Las Vegas Motor Speedway in Las Vegas, Nevada, our auto racing experts are focusing on the below individuals:

  • Denny Hamlin
  • Ty Gibbs
  • Erik Jones
Denny Hamlin Race Winner (+1000)

My model has Hamlin closer to 8/1, and some of the books have matched that line already. I'm showing some early-week value on Hamlin. This is one line I don't mind waiting on because he has struggled in qualifying here. I'm expecting Toyotas to be strong. Usually, Hamlin is strong when Toyotas are strong. Hamlin ranked top 5 in speed at all 6 high-speed intermediate tracks last season and was 2nd overall behind Kyle Larson.

Ty Gibbs Top 10 Finish (+120)

I'm very high on Gibbs coming into the season, and I think he's going to have a breakout year. Last season, Gibbs only ranked inside the top 5 in speed on 1 of the 6 high-speed intermediates. It was Kansas, which is one of the best comps for Las Vegas. Gibbs was a different driver at the end of last season, and I think he starts strong at a great type of racetrack for him. He won at Kansas, Las Vegas, and Charlotte in the XFINITY Series. I like betting this to -110, and my model is showing this as a value at +120.

Erik Jones Top 10 Finish (+230)

Jones is back in the Toyota camp with Legacy Motor Club making the switch this offseason. I think this weekend is going to go one of two ways for Jones and this team. Either they're going to be strong and benefit from the Toyotas, or they're going to struggle in their 1st intermediate race with the new manufacturer. When Jones was with Toyota from 2017-2020, he was strong at high-speed intermediate tracks. If he has speed in practice, this line will likely move closer to +150.

The NASCAR circuit heads to Las Vegas on Sunday for the Pennzoil 400. (Getty)

PENNZOIL 400 BETTING RESOURCES

  • Date: Sunday, March 3, 2024
  • TV-Time: FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Las Vegas Motor Speedway
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Distance: 400 miles
  • Laps: 267

2024 PENNZOIL 400 BETTING ODDS

  • Kyle Larson +350
  • William Byron +600
  • Joey Logano +800
  • Christopher Bell +900
  • Ryan Blaney +1000
  • Tyler Reddick +1100
  • Bubba Wallace +1200
  • Ross Chastain +1400
  • Martin Truex, Jr. +1400
  • Kyle Busch +1600
  • Chase Elliott +1600
  • Denny Hamlin +1800
  • Alex Bowman +2200
  • Ty Gibbs +2500
  • Brad Keselowski +2800
  • Chris Buescher +3000
  • Austin Cindric +6000
  • Chase Briscoe +6600
  • Daniel Suarez +8000
  • Erik Jones +10000
  • Noah Gragson +10000
  • Michael McDowell +10000
  • Austin Dillon +10000
  • John Hunter Nemechek +15000
  • Corey Lajoie +15000
  • Carson Hocevar +15000
  • Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. +15000
  • Josh Berry +20000
  • Ryan Preece +20000
  • Todd Gilliand +20000
  • Harrison Burton +20000
  • Zane Smith +20000
  • Daniel Hemric +40000
  • Derek Kraus +40000
  • Justin Haley +40000
  • Kaz Grala +50000
  • J.J. Yeley +80000

PENNZOIL 400 HISTORY

William Byron captured the checkered flag of this race in 2023. (Getty)
  • 2023 - William Byron
  • 2022 - Alex Bowman
  • 2021 - Kyle Larson
  • 2020 - Joey Logano
  • 2019 - Joey Logano
  • 2018 - Kevin Harvick
  • 2017 - Martin Truex, Jr.
  • 2016 - Brad Keselowski
  • 2015 - Kevin Harvick
  • 2014 - Brad Keselowski

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers
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