Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder 3 Predictions, Picks, Odds

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Oct. 9, 2021

by Adam Lykkesteen
UFC Expert
VegasInsider.com

A hard-hitting trilogy between two heavyweight behemoths is upon us this weekend, as WBO and lineal heavyweight champion, Tyson Fury, puts his undefeated record on the line for the third time against Deontay Wilder.

Fury and Wilder’s epic rivalry has been brewing for the better part of three years now, and it will, hopefully, all be wrapped up this weekend. Here’s one hoping we don’t get another draw.

Let’s dive deeper into this rubber match between Wilder and Fury, while looking to identify some valuable spots for betting.

Fury vs. Wilder 3 Betting Predictions

Prior to the second bout, we thought this was going to be a bull and the matador matchup yet again. However, this turned out to be wrong.

Tyson’s newly found forward aggression completely puzzled Wilder.

I think the main reason that pressuring Wilder actually works so well is because Deontay needs his feet to be planted in order to throw with that power he has. He is used to his opponents backing up and has trained his entire life in accordance with that.

He is simply not used to fighting on the back foot and at 35 years of age, I seriously doubt we will see a fighter reborn in the ring this Saturday.

Fury is also the only opponent to outsize Wilder in height and reach, which is huge. Wilder likes his overhand rights and is used to the target being lower than himself. Fury’s size is a big plus for him.

I won’t go too much into the mental aspect of this fight. We can only guess where both fighters are coming into this fight. However, Wilder’s memeable excuses can’t be signs of a healthy fighter going into a trilogy against the same man he just lost to.

Wilder has always worked with a very narrow arsenal. His jab-overhand right-left hook combination was the story of the first bout between these two, and Fury only got caught by it twice.

Fury, the far superior boxer, has far more shots he can land. We even saw him floor Wilder with a body shot in the last bout, which is a testament to this.

All in all, Wilder was completely dismantled in the last bout, so I don’t expect anything else to happen this time around. Fury gets it done inside the distance.

Fight Prediction: Fury def. Wilder

Fury vs. Wilder 3 Betting Odds

Fury vs. Wilder 3 Betting Odds & Markets

In the trilogy bout between Fury and Wilder, The Gypsy King is currently the favorite at around odds -275 (bet $275 to win $100). Wilder is currently the ‘dog at +225 (bet $100 to win $225).

Fury vs. Wilder 3 Best Bet

I think both fights have told us bettors all we need to know in order to place a bet on this fight -- Tyson Fury is clearly the superior boxer.

Generally in combat sports, rematches don’t tend to end much differently than their preceding bouts. I think Fury is going to get the job done here.

I rarely indulge in the boxing prop bets, but I might just allow myself to do so here.

Fury wins by TKO/KO or DQ is priced at -110 (bet $110 to win $100) right now. I think that play holds a lot of value.

We recently saw Fury implement a strategy for which Wilder had no response. If Fury adopts just a tenth of that forward aggression on Saturday, the knockout is inevitable due to the size of Fury.

Best Bet: Fury via KO/TKO/DQ

Fury vs. Wilder Past Results

Fury vs. Wilder I (1/12/18)

What could have been an incredible comeback for Tyson Fury ended in a draw. The first bout between Wilder and Fury saw Fury control the range for most rounds while Wilder landed the bigger shots and scored two knockdowns.

Personally, I had the first fight scored in favour of Fury, as I thought his volume won him every round outside of rounds 9 and 12 in which Deontay scored knockdowns.

The 12th round of the first bout saw Fury apply forward pressure for the first time in the fight. Wilder was puzzled. As we came to know after watching the second fight, Fury’s pressure in that final round would lay the foundation for his strategy in the rematch. Let’s have a look at that fight.

Fury vs. Wilder II (2/22/20)

After the first fight, both fighters had two dominant victories over other opponents which only made the rematch more interesting.

However, the bout would turn out to be far less competitive than many had predicted.

Fury would completely dominate the American, scoring multiple knockdowns and finishing the fight in round seven when Wilder’s corner threw in the towel.

Tyson’s change in training camp to train with Javar “SugarHill” Steward suited him well, and we got to see the forward pressure of the final round of the first bout to its full effect here. Wilder won no rounds.

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers