CFL Betting Notes – Week 10
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
Last week’s action in the CFL got underway on Thursday night with Winnipeg slipping past Calgary 26-24 as a 7 ½-point home favorite to remain at the top of the standings in the West Division title race.
Friday’s doubleheader of betting action started with Saskatchewan going on the road as a three-point favorite and knocking off Montreal 17-10. Later that night, Edmonton kept pace in the West by beating Ottawa 16-12, but the Eskimos could not cover the closing 9 ½-point spread. Hamilton closed out Week 9 on Saturday night with a 35-34 victory at home against British Columbia. The Tiger-Cats also failed to cover as 9 ½-point favorites.
Thursday, Aug. 15
British Columbia Lions (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -12
Total: 51
Game Overview
BC covered against the spread for the first time in five games in Saturday’s loss and the total has gone OVER in six of the Lions’ first eight games. Mike Reilly completed 21 of his 28 passes against Hamilton for 306 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw a pair of interceptions. He is currently ranked second in the CFL in passing yards (1,974) and he has thrown eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. John White ran the ball 15 times for 124 yards in the losing effort.
The Bombers have failed to cover in their last three games closing as favorites in each contest. The total went OVER 49 ½ points in Thursday’s win and it has gone OVER in three of their last five games. Winnipeg is 3-1 ATS at home this season. Janarion Grant had a big game against Calgary with two punt returns for touchdowns. He amassed over 300 yards in returns to help pace that crucial win. Matt Nichols threw for 177 yards and Andrew Harris added another 100 yards on the ground averaging 5.3 yards a carry.
Betting Trends
-- Winnipeg is 4-1 both straight-up ATS in its last five home games against the Lions. It is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall with the total going OVER in eight of the last 10 matchups in this West Division clash.
Friday, Aug. 16
Edmonton Eskimos (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -10
Total: 50
Game Overview
After failing to cover against Ottawa, the Eskimos are 1-3 ATS in their last four games. The total stayed UNDER 49 points in Friday’s win and it has stayed UNDER in their last six games. Edmonton is 1-3 ATS in four previous road games this season. CJ Gable was the difference on Friday night with 116 yards rushing and a pair of scores on 18 rushing attempts. Trevor Harris completed 33-of-40 passing attempts for 327 yards, but he could not get Edmonton into the end zone through the air. He leads the CFL in total passing yards with 2,631 in eight games.
Toronto is coming off a bye after posting its first win of the season the week before against Winnipeg. The Argonauts stunned the Blue Bombers 28-27 as heavy 15-point home underdogs. They have covered in three of their last five games with the total staying UNDER in four of the seven games played. Toronto has closed as a double-digit underdog in five of its last six games. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson has taken the majority of the snaps at quarterback and he has tossed 10 touchdowns against nine interceptions.Betting Trends
-- Edmonton won the first meeting this season 26-0 as an 11-point home favorite. This was its sixth SU win against Toronto in the last eight meetings. The total stayed UNDER 52 points in that game, but it has gone OVER in 10 of the last 14 games in this inter-division tilt.
Saturday, Aug. 17
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -4
Total: 52 ½
Game Overview
Hamilton’s lead in the East Division title race is now three games in the win column with Montreal and Ottawa losing last week. It is a perfect 5-0 SU at home with a 1-2 record both SU and ATS on the road. The Tiger-Cats are 4-2 ATS this year when closing as favorites. Hamilton trailed BC 34-19 heading into the fourth quarter on Saturday night before mounting its comeback. Dane Evans passed for 260 yards and two scores. He completed nine passes to Brandon Banks for 137 yards and both touchdowns.
Ottawa has lost five of its last six games SU, but it has covered in its last three outings closing as an underdog. The total has stayed UNDER in four of its last six games. The RedBlacks are 1-3 ATS at home this season. Dominique Davis was under center against Edmonton and he completed 23-of-35 passing attempts for 289 yards and one touchdown against a pair of interceptions. He has thrown five touchdowns this season and a league-high 11 picks.
Betting Trends
-- The RedBlacks have won their last five games against Hamilton SU and they have a 5-2 SU record in their last seven home games against the Tiger-Cats. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last nine meetings in Ottawa.
Montreal Alouettes (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5
Total: 52
Game Overview
The Alouettes have lost their last two games SU and ATS following a three-game winning streak each way. The total went OVER in three of those last five games. They are 4-2 ATS this season when closing as underdogs. Montreal was held scoreless in the second half against Saskatchewan in a game that was cut short due to weather. Antonio Pipkin and Matt Shiltz completed a combined nine passes on 15 attempts for 90 yards. The offense only added another 51 yards running the ball.
Thursday’s loss snapped Calgary’s SU three-game winning streak. It has covered in its last two game after going 1-5 ATS in its first six contests. The Stampeders are 1-3 ATS at home and 0-4 ATS when closing as favorites. Nick Arbuckle remains the starting quarterback for an injured Bo Levi Mitchell. He threw for 260 yards and one score in Thursday’s loss. He completed 22 passes to eight different players. Calgary rushed for 56 yards on 12 rushing attempts.
Betting Trends
-- Montreal has covered the closing spread in eight of its last nine games against the Stampeders and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings in Calgary. The Stamps are 6-3 ATS in their last nine home games in this inter-division matchup.
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