CFL Betting Notes – Week 11
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
Winnipeg remains the team to beat in the West Division with last Thursday’s 32-16 victory against British Columbia as a heavy 10 ½-point home favorite. Edmonton was able to keep pace in that division race with a 41-26 road victory over Toronto as a 7 ½-point favorite on Friday night.
Saturday’s CFL doubleheader of action kicked things off with Hamilton knocking off Ottawa 21-7 as a 2 ½-point road favorite to maintain possession of first place in the East Division. The stunner of the week north of the border was Montreal’s wild 40-34 overtime victory over Calgary. The Alouettes closed as five-point road underdogs.
Friday, Aug. 23
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -3 ½
Total: 47
Game Overview
The Blue Bombers wrapped up the first half of their regular season schedule with their first cover against the spread in their last four games. The total stayed UNDER 52 ½ points against BC and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last five outings. Matt Nichols went a very efficient 10-for-12 throwing the ball for 179 yards and a score. Andrew Harris rushed for 70 yards to become the all-time CFL leader in yards from scrimmage for a Canadian player.
Edmonton remains just one game off the pace in the West coming into this week’s showdown. It has won three of its last four games straight-up with the total staying UNDER in six of nine games this season. The Eskimos faced Winnipeg on the road in Week 3 and came up short in a 28-21 loss as five-point underdogs. In Friday’s road victory against Toronto, Trevor Harris padded his lead as the CFL’s top passer this year with 420 yards through the air. Greg Ellingson was his top target with 10 receptions for 170 yards.
Betting Trends
-- Edmonton is 9-3 SU in its last 12 home games against Winnipeg, but the Blue Bombers have a 7-3-1 edge ATS in the last 11 meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven meetings in Edmonton.
Saturday, Aug. 24
Ottawa RedBlacks (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) at Saskatchewan (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -10 ½
Total: 49
Game Overview
Ottawa’s fast 2-0 start has faded fast with just one SU win in its last seven games. The loss to Hamilton was the first time the RedBlacks failed to cover in their last four games. The total has stayed UNDER the closing line in four of their last five contests. With just seven points in Saturday’s loss, they have failed to score more than 16 points in four of their last five games. Dominique Davis only completed 20 of his 40 passing attempts for 238 passing yards.
Coming off last week’s bye, Saskatchewan has won its last four games both SU and ATS. It started the season 0-2 SU including a 44-41 loss to Ottawa in Week 2 closing as a 4 ½-point road underdog. The Roughriders are 3-1 ATS at home this season and 4-1 ATS in five games closing as favorites. Cody Fajardo is fifth in the CFL in total passing yards (1,871). He has completed a solid 74.2 percent of his 198 passing attempts and he has seven touchdown throws against four interceptions.Betting Trends
-- Ottawa has a SU 4-1 edge in the last five meetings and it is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games against the Roughriders. The total has gone OVER in the last five meetings played in Saskatchewan.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -4
Total: 50
Game Overview
The Tiger-Cats’ lead in the East over Montreal remains at 3 ½ games at the halfway point of their season. Their lone loss within the division was to the Alouettes in early July. Two weeks ago, Hamilton beat BC 35-34 at home, but it could not cover as 9 ½-point favorites. The total went OVER 51 ½ points in that game, but it has stayed UNDER in four of its last five contests. Dane Evans continues to fill in for an injured Jeramiah Masoli at quarterback. Evans completed 24-of-39 passes for 299 yards and a score against Ottawa on Saturday. He also tossed a pair of interceptions.
The Lions’ current SU losing streak reached five games with Thursday’s loss and they have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games. The total stayed UNDER 52 ½ points in that latest loss after going OVER in each of their previous three games. BC is allowing an average of 34.2 points per game which is the second most in the CFL. The offense is averaging 19.8 PPG during this current five-game slide. Mike Reilly went 16-for-28 throwing the ball for 177 yards and one interception against zero passing touchdowns.
Betting Trends
-- BC has lost four of its last five games against Hamilton SU, but it still holds a 6-3 edge ATS in the last nine games of this inter-division tilt. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games between the two.
Sunday, Aug. 25
Montreal Alouettes (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -6
Total: 55 ½
Game Overview
Montreal has been the biggest surprise in the first half of the regular season. Following a SU 0-2 start, it has now won four of its last six games SU and ATS. The total went well OVER 49 ½ points in Saturday’s upset and it has gone OVER in four of the Alouettes’ last six games. One of the big reasons for the team’s early success has been the play of Vernon Adams Jr. at quarterback. He threw for 389 yards and two scores against Calgary, but he was also picked off twice. He added another 38 yards and two touchdowns running the ball.
The Argonauts are going nowhere fast with just one SU win this season. The have closed as double-digit underdogs in five of their first eight games. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson continues to get the call at quarterback. He threw for 200 yards and two scores in Friday’s loss while running the ball five times for 38 yards. Toronto is averaging 16.1 PPG on offense while allowing an average of 35.3 points a game on the other side of the ball.
Betting Trends
-- Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last five home games against Montreal, but the Alouettes have the 5-2 edge ATS in the past seven meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last nine meetings in Toronto.
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