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Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State Predictions, Odds, Preview

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read

Mar. 1, 2021
David Schwab
NCAA BK Expert
VegasInsider.com

In the backend of a home-and-home series, the No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners head to Gallagher-Iba Arena this Monday night to face the rival Oklahoma State Cowboys. Game time on ESPN is set for 9 p.m. (ET).

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Oklahoma-Oklahoma State Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pick em
  • Money-Line: Oklahoma State -110 Oklahoma -110
  • Total: 141.5

Odds Subject to Change

The second meeting in three days between these two in-state rivals has been opened as a pick em. The betting line for the total this time around is set at 141.5 points.

The Sooners lost Saturday’s series opener 94-90 straight-up in overtime as six-point home favorites. This followed a five-point road loss to Kansas State as 10-point favorites in their previous outing. They are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games with the total going OVER in three of the five outings.

Oklahoma has now lost four of its last seven games against Oklahoma State SU and ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last three meetings.

The Cowboys have won their last four games SU while covering ATS in four of their last six contests. The total has gone OVER in five of their last eight games. They are now tied with Oklahoma at 9-6 SU in Big 12 play.

Oklahoma State has a SU five-game winning streak at home while going 4-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in nine of its 12 home games this season.


Austin Reaves will look to help the Oklahoma Sooners avenge an overtime loss to Oklahoma State, losing 94-90 on Saturday. (AP)

Betting Analysis – Oklahoma Sooners

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 14-7
  • ATS: 12-9
  • SU - Home: 10-2
  • SU - Away: 4-5
  • O/U: 9-12

Oklahoma look a seven-point lead into halftime of Saturday’s matchup but it was outscored by 11 points the rest of the game. Guards’ Austin Reeves and De’Vion Harmon combined for 45 points in the losing effort.

Reeves leads the Cowboys across the board this season with 17.5 points, 5.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists. Harmon is second on the list in points per game with 13.0 and guard Umoja Gibson is averaging 10.4 PPG.

As a team, Oklahoma is averaging 75.6 points with 37.1 rebounds a game. It is shooting 44.3% from the field and 33.2% from three-point range.

The defense allowed 72 points or more for just the third time in the last seven matchups. The Sooners’ points-allowed average this season is 68.6.

Betting Analysis – Oklahoma State Cowboys

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 16-6
  • ATS: 12-9-1
  • SU - Home: 9-3
  • SU - Away: 7-3
  • O/U: 14-7-1

Oklahoma had no answer for freshman guard Cade Cunningham on Saturday afternoon. He ended the game with a career-high 40 points. Oklahoma State’s top scorer is averaging 19.8 PPG while shooting 45.3% from the field and 43.2% from three-point range.

Cowboys’ guard Isaac Likekele remains questionable for Monday’s rematch with a hand injury. He is one of five other players averaging at least nine points a game.

This all adds up to an average of 76.5 points with 39.5 rebounds a game. Oklahoma State is shooting 45.6% from the field and 33.7% from outside the three-point line. The Cowboys shot 48.4% in Saturday’s win.

This defense gave up more than 70 points for just the second time in its last six contests. Oklahoma State is allowing 71.4 PPG this season.


Inside the Stats – Oklahoma Sooners

  • PS/G: 75.6 (80th)
  • PA/G: 68.6 (132nd)
  • Off Rtg: 107.2 (76th)
  • Def Rtg: 97.3 (114th)

Inside the Stats – Oklahoma State Cowboys

  • PS/G: 76.5 (65th)
  • PA/G: 71.4 (214th)
  • Off Rtg: 102.4 (170th)
  • Def Rtg: 95.6 (75th)

Key Players to Watch

  • OU - Austin Reaves (17.5 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 5.1 APG)
  • OU - De'Vion Harmon (13 PPG)
  • OKST - Cade Cunningham (19.8 PPG, 6.3 RPG)
  • OKST - Isaac Likekele (9.8 PPG, 6.9 RPG)

Oklahoma-Oklahoma State Predictions

I completely missed the boat in Saturday’s game taking Oklahoma and the UNDER. However, I'm sticking with the same prediction for Monday night in a game set as a pick em. The Sooners suddenly need this game much more than did just a week ago. Look for another tight battle in the rematch with another SU victory by the road team.

Without the combined 34 points in overtime, my original play on the UNDER in Game 1 would have been a bit more realistic. However, I think the points will once again add up quickly on Monday night to take the rematch OVER as well.

  • Score Prediction: Oklahoma 75 Oklahoma State 72
  • Best Bets: Oklahoma SU
  • Best Bets: OVER

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