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Featured Last Updated Jan 4 2025, 10:00 AM

Buffalo Bulls vs. Liberty Flames: This Side Shows an Edge in Bahamas Bowl

Dylan Wilkerson
Dylan Wilkerson Sports Betting Expert
9 minute read
Buffalo Bulls vs. Liberty Flames: This Side Shows an Edge in Bahamas Bowl

As college football fans gear up for an exciting start to 2025, the Buffalo Bulls are set to face the Liberty Flames on January 4 at 11:00 AM EST. 

This intriguing matchup sees Buffalo, with a respectable record this season, favored by 2.5 points as they hit the road. If you are looking to get in on the action, be sure to check out our BetMGM bonus code and claim a new user bonus!

Buffalo will be with their starting quarterback, C.J. Ogbonna, while Liberty’s starting quarterback will be out of this contest. 

Instead, we will see Ryan Burger under center for the Liberty Flames. Liberty will also be missing three of their five starting offensive linemen, filling holes at LT, LG, and RT for the Bahamas Bowl. The current over/under is set at 51 points.

Ahead of the season, Liberty had hopes to make the college football playoffs. Buffalo, on the other hand, was playing without expectations. It isn’t far-fetched to consider motivation for the Bahamas Bowl, and the Bulls will be much more motivated. 

Bettors have much to consider, with the current spread favoring Buffalo at -2.5 and a moneyline of -137, compared to Liberty’s +115. Let's further explore each team's potential impact on this anticipated game.

BAHAMAS BOWL ODDS

BUF @ LIBERTY Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+3.5 -110 -2.5 -115 -2.5 -115 -3 -110 -2.5 -115 -2.5 -118 -2.5 -109 -4.5 -108  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-3.5 -110 +2.5 -105 +2.5 -105 +3 -110 +2.5 -105 +2.5 -104 +2.5 -114 +4.5 -112  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
o51.5 -110 N/A o25.5 -112 o25.5 -110 N/A o26.5 -105 o25.5 -114 o51.5 -102  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
u51.5 -110 N/A u25.5 -108 u25.5 -110 N/A u26.5 -115 u25.5 -114 u51.5 -118  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+136 -155 -155 -165 -165 -164 -155 -192  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-162 +125 +130 +140 +130 +134 +118 +160  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+3.5 -110 N/A -2.5 -115 -2.5 -120 N/A N/A -1.5 -112 -4.5 -108  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-3.5 -110 N/A +2.5 -105 +2.5 even N/A N/A +1.5 -117 +4.5 -112  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
o51.5 -110 N/A o25.5 -110 o25.5 -110 N/A N/A o24.5 -109 o51.5 -102  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
u51.5 -110 N/A u25.5 -110 u25.5 -110 N/A N/A u24.5 -118 u51.5 -118  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+136 N/A -166 N/A N/A N/A -150 -192  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-162 N/A +140 N/A N/A N/A +115 +160  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+3.5 -110 -0.5 -105 -0.5 even -0.5 even -0.5 even -1.5 +120 -1.5 +118 -4.5 -108  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-3.5 -110 +0.5 -125 +0.5 -120 +0.5 -130 +0.5 -130 +1.5 -150 +1.5 -155 +4.5 -112  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
o51.5 -110 N/A o10.5 +110 o10 -130 o10.5 even o10.5 +112 o10.5 +104 o51.5 -102  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
u51.5 -110 N/A u10.5 -130 u10 even u10.5 -130 u10.5 -140 u10.5 -136 u51.5 -118  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+136 -160 -135 -135 -165 -148 -141 -192  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-162 +120 +114 +105 +130 +116 +110 +160  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+3.5 -110 N/A -0.5 -110 N/A N/A -1.5 +102 N/A -4.5 -108  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-3.5 -110 N/A +0.5 -120 N/A N/A +1.5 -128 N/A +4.5 -112  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
o51.5 -110 N/A o13.5 -120 N/A N/A o9.5 -114 N/A o51.5 -102  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
u51.5 -110 N/A u13.5 -110 N/A N/A u9.5 -114 N/A u51.5 -118  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+136 N/A -140 N/A N/A -150 N/A -192  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-162 N/A +110 N/A N/A +118 N/A +160  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+3.5 -110 N/A -0.5 +105 N/A N/A -1.5 +116 N/A -4.5 -108  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-3.5 -110 N/A +0.5 -135 N/A N/A +1.5 -145 N/A +4.5 -112  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
o51.5 -110 N/A o9.5 -154 N/A N/A o13.5 -110 N/A o51.5 -102  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
u51.5 -110 N/A u9.5 +120 N/A N/A u13.5 -118 N/A u51.5 -118  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+136 N/A -145 N/A N/A -146 N/A -192  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-162 N/A +114 N/A N/A +114 N/A +160  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+3.5 -110 N/A -0.5 -120 N/A N/A -1.5 +120 N/A -4.5 -108  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-3.5 -110 N/A +0.5 -110 N/A N/A +1.5 -150 N/A +4.5 -112  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
o51.5 -110 N/A o14.5 -105 N/A N/A o13.5 -118 N/A o51.5 -102  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
u51.5 -110 N/A u14.5 -125 N/A N/A u13.5 -106 N/A u51.5 -118  
Final
Buffalo Bulls 281 Buffalo
+136 N/A -154 N/A N/A -136 N/A -192  
Liberty Flames 282 Liberty
-162 N/A +120 N/A N/A +106 N/A +160  

ROAD TEAM PREVIEW: BUFFALO BULLS

Buffalo enters this game with confidence and a solid record. Ogbonna has been a driving force, consistently executing high-pressure plays and bringing reliability to the Buffalo Bulls. Against the spread, Buffalo has been competitive with their 7-5 record, reflecting their ability to perform well under sportsbooks’ predictions.

The Bulls' rush defense has also been stout this season, allowing -.08 EPA/Rush, the 21st-ranked rush defense in all of college football. This defensive strength will be needed to stifle Liberty’s 16th-ranked rush attack.

HOME TEAM PREVIEW: LIBERTY FLAMES

While not the favorite, the Liberty Flames have been known to play some good football. They feature a dynamic offense, and their standout wide receiver, Treon Sibley, has made a habit of turning short passes into explosive plays. 

Liberty’s offense heavily relied on the rush attack in the regular season, but leading rusher Quinton Cooley is declaring for the NFL draft and will not play in the Bahamas Bowl. This leaves a glaring hole for Liberty to address ahead of this matchup.

Liberty will rely on their swift-paced offense to counter Buffalo's defense and aim for quick points to pull off the upset. Their record against the spread is a lackluster 3-8. Considering the opt-outs, it is hard to make a case for Liberty in this matchup.

OUR DATA-DRIVEN PICK

Looking at PRO insights, Buffalo against the spread emerges as the premier pick for this game. 

A deep dive into the PRO Report shows sharp action favoring Buffalo, suggesting professional predictors see significant value in the Bulls' chances to cover the spread. This sentiment is supported by the game's Big Money indicators, where Buffalo commands 54% of the money but just 35% of the bets, reflecting sharper, larger bets on their side.

Additionally, considering the high 70% of money favoring the under on total points, and one of our top experts backing this, there could be potential even with the over/under. However, the strongest bet remains firmly on Buffalo covering, powered by insightful, sharp action and money-flow analysis.

PICK: Buffalo -2.5

Updated on 1/5/25

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Dylan Wilkerson

Dylan Wilkerson

Dylan Wilkerson has over 2 years of experience reporting and analyzing the sports betting industry for various sites. His portfolio includes work for SportsHandle and Action Network, in addition to VegasInsider. His favorite sports are the NFL, College Football, The PGA Tour, the LIV Tour, and Cricket. Dylan has a broad and deep understanding of various sports-related topics. More from Dylan Wilkerson
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