College Football Odds Week 15: Lines, Betting Trends on Conference Championship Games

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

13 minute read

College football odds for Week 15 are where the rubber really meets the road. On conference championship weekend, five teams will earn automatic bids to the College Football Playoff.

The two biggest draws in odds for college football Week 15: Georgia vs. Texas in the SEC, and Penn State vs. Oregon in the Big Ten.

Here’s everything you need to know about the college football odds Week 15 market: opening lines, spreads and betting trends for the biggest games, as multiple oddsmakers provide insights on Week 15 college football odds and action. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

2024 College Football Odds for Week 15

Penn State vs. Oregon Odds

• Opening point spread: Oregon -3
• Opening moneyline: Oregon -148/Penn State +124
• Opening total: Over/Under 51.5 points scored
• Time: 8 p.m. ET Saturday (CBS)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Thirty minutes pre-kick, Oregon is -3.5 (-105) in BetMGM's Week 15 college football odds. Last Saturday, the Ducks opened -3 (-115), and they've stuck at various iterations of -3.5 much of the week.

"It's all Oregon. Spread, moneyline, straight bets, parlays," BetMGM senior trader Tristan Davis said. "All the focus will be on Oregon getting beat."

The total toggled between 49.5/50.5 throughout the week. It's now 50.5 (Over -115), and Davis said BetMGM needs the Under.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Oregon opened -3 Saturday night in DraftKings' college football Week 15 odds. Since then, the line has mostly been Ducks -3.5, save for 40 minutes Tuesday at -4.

Oregon is now -3.5 (-105) while getting a huge majority of early point-spread play. Ticket count is 6/1 and money 8/1 on the Ducks.

The total went from 51.5 to 50.5 Saturday night, then to 50.5 Sunday. That said, ticket count is 2/1-plus and money just shy of 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Borgata Sports opened Oregon as 3-point chalk and is up to -3.5 in the college football odds Week 15 market.

"This is going to be the game of the weekend for us here," Borgata sportsbook director Tom Gable said. "On Saturday night, there was a lot of interest on what the opening number would be, after Penn State blew out Maryland. I personally made this a 3-point game.

"I asked [longtime oddsmaker] Richie Baccellieri what he would make it, and he said a pick or even Penn State -1. [But] the market believes there is a wider gulf between these two than we think there is."

Still, the Nittany Lions won't lack for backing Saturday.

"I know we will see plenty of Penn State money, with all of the alumni and fans in the region. But I’m very interested to see if James Franklin is capable of winning a big game finally," Gable said.

The total is down to 49.5 from a 50.5 opener. 

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Oregon (12-0 SU/6-6 ATS) sits atop the CFP rankings, the only unbeaten team in the nation. The Ducks had already clinched a berth in the Big Ten Championship Game prior to Week 14.

But for good measure, in a nonconference game vs. rival Washington, Oregon breezed to a 49-21 victory laying 17.5 points at home.

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Penn State (11-1 SU/6-6 ATS) got a hugely unexpected gift in Week 14. Ohio State, a 19.5-point home favorite, shockingly lost to Michigan 13-10. So the Nittany Lions secured a Big Ten title-game spot by crushing Maryland 44-7 as 26.5-point home faves.

The Big Ten final is at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. DraftKings opened at Oregon -3 and went to 3.5 Saturday night, and the Ducks are now -3.5 (-105). It's all Oregon in early spread play, at 91% of tickets/92% of money.

The total moved from 51.5 to 50.5 Saturday night, then to 49.5 this morning. However, the Over is netting 65% of tickets/79% of cash.

Clemson vs. SMU Odds

• Opening point spread: Clemson -2.5
• Opening moneyline: Clemson -135/SMU +114
• Opening total: Over/Under 54.5 points scored
• Time: 8 p.m. ET Saturday (ABC)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: As kickoff approaches, SMU is -2.5 in BetMGM's college football odds Week 15 market. Clemson opened -1.5 last Saturday, and the line jumped the fence to SMU -2.5 by Sunday.

"We're going to need Clemson to win outright," BetMGM senior trader Tristan Davis said.

The total opened at 54.5, peaked at 56.5 Monday and has been at 55.5 since Wednesday. It's now 55.5 (Over -115), and Under is again the need for BetMGM.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET THURSDAY: As noted below, DraftKings Sportsbook opened Clemson -2.5 Saturday night, but the line jumped the fence to SMU -2.5 by mid-Sunday morning. The Mustangs are now -2 while taking 70% of early spread bets/77% of early spread money.

Moneyline action is more of a coin toss, with 61% of bets on SMU and money running dead even.

The total opened at 54.5, peaked at 57 Monday and is now at 55.5. The Over is landing 71% of bets/74% of cash.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: This line jumped the fence in fairly short order at Borgata Sports. Clemson opened -1, and it's already flipped to SMU -2.5.

"Early SMU money grabbed the plus price. But since the Mustangs moved into the position as favorite, betting has been pretty even," Borgata sportsbook director Tom Gable said. "Clemson has a very poor ATS record (5-7).

"But with a birth in the College Football Playoff on the line, Dabo Swinney would gladly grab one of the first-round byes designated for the conference champions."

The total is also on the move early, climbing from 54.5 to 56.5.

"Both of these teams play with tempo on offense, so it’s not a surprise to see this total edge up," Gable said.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Much like Penn State, Clemson got a big Week 14 gift that vaulted Dabo Swinney's squad into the ACC Championship Game. Miami, a 12-point favorite, blew a 21-0 second-quarter lead and lost at Syracuse 42-38.

However, the Tigers (9-3 SU/5-6 ATS) enter the conference final on a sour note. Clemson was a 2.5-point home favorite vs. South Carolina and lost 17-14 in a nonconference rivalry game.

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Southern Methodist (11-1 SU/8-4 ATS) proved to be the ACC's top regular-season team. In Week 14, the Mustangs drilled California 38-6 giving 12.5 points at home. SMU is on a 9-0 SU/7-2 ATS run.

The ACC title game is at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C. DraftKings Sportsbook has already made significant moves in its college football odds Week 15 market. Clemson opened -2.5 and dipped to -1.5 Saturday night.

This morning, the number jumped the fence to SMU -1.5, then -2.5. Early ticket count is 3/1 and early money 5/1 on the Mustangs.

The total opened at 54.5 and is now at 55 (Over -115), with ticket count 2.5/1 and money beyond 9/1 on the Over.

Georgia vs. Texas Odds

• Opening point spread: Texas -1
• Opening moneyline: Texas -122/Georgia +102
• Opening total: Over/Under 49.5 points scored
• Time: 4 p.m. ET Saturday (ABC)

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With 45 minutes until kickoff, Texas is -3 (-105) in BetMGM's college football odds Week 15 market. The Longhorns opened -1.5 (-115) and quickly went to -2.5 Sunday, then -3 Monday.

The line has since toggled between Texas -3/-2.5.

"Lots of action on Texas -2.5, and then Georgia moneyline. But as of now, it doesn't look like there's much of a need," BetMGM trading manager Seamus Magee said. "Texas by 1 or 2 would be the best result. But Texas by 3 or more, or Georgia outright still looks OK for us."

The total opened at 48.5, spent most of the week at 49.5, at various juice, and is now 50.5. Magee said BetMGM needs the Under.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings opened Texas -1.5 Saturday night and stretched out to -3 multiple times this week. The Longhorns are currently -3 (-105), while attracting 69% of early spread tickets/79% of early spread dollars.

DraftKings' total went from 49.5 to 49 Sunday, then returned to 49.5 Tuesday. The Over is taking 63% of tickets/55% of money in Week 15 college football odds.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Texas opened -2.5, briefly touched -3 and is back to -2.5 on Borgata Sports' college football Week 15 odds board.

"The first time these two met, we had a pretty big decision on the game and needed Georgia. And they played one of their best games of the year to away with the win. I have a feeling we are going to need them again this week," Borgata sportsbook director Tom Gable said.

The total is stable at 48.5.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Georgia has a double-digit win total on the field, but is among the nation's worst at covering the number. Week 14 perfectly demonstrated both.

The Bulldogs (10-2 SU/3-9 ATS) dug themselves into a 17-0 halftime hole and still trailed Georgia Tech 20-6 after three quarters. But Georgia rallied to tie it at 27. Then eight overtimes later, the Bulldogs won 44-42, miles short of covering as 17-point home favorites.

Texas (11-1 SU/7-5 ATS) rebounded from its lone loss of the season – at home vs. Georgia – by winning five in a row. In Week 14, the Longhorns held off Texas A&M 17-7 giving 4.5 points on the road to reach the SEC Championship Game.

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That ended a 1-4 ATS stretch for Texas, a slide that began in Week 8 against Georgia. In that matchup, the Bulldogs were 4-point road underdogs and jumped out to 23-0 halftime lead en route to a 30-15 victory.

The SEC final is at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, so it's a quasi-home game for Georgia. However, DraftKings Sportsbook opened Texas -1.5 in college football Week 15 odds, and the Longhorns went to -2, then -3 (-105) this morning.

It's now Texas -2.5 (-118), with 72% of spread bets/88% of spread money on the Longhorns.

DK opened the total at 49.5 and is down a tick to 49, with 53% of bets on the Over/78% of money on the Under.

Iowa State vs. Arizona State Odds

• Opening point spread: Iowa State -1
• Opening moneyline: Iowa State -115/Arizona State -105
• Opening total: Over/Under 50.5 points scored
• Time: Noon ET Saturday (ABC)

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Two hours before kickoff, BetMGM just jumped the fence on the spread in this Big 12 title matchup. Arizona State was -1.5 an hour ago, and it's now Iowa State -1 (-105).

And the moneyline is a -110 pick 'em.

"It's starting to look like Pros vs. Joes in Iowa State-Arizona State," BetMGM trading manager Seamus Magee said. "Arizona State moneyline has been a popular bet all week among the public. We're gonna need Iowa State to win this game, at the moment.

"We'll see if any big late bets come in closer to kickoff."

BetMGM opened the total at 50.5, went to 49.5 Wednesday and returned to 50.5 Friday. The number is now 50.5 (Over -115), and Magee said the book needs the Under.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Late Saturday night, Iowa State hit DraftKings' college football odds Week 15 market as 1-point chalk. By mid-Sunday morning, the line jumped the fence to Arizona State -1, then -2.5.

On Monday, the Sun Devils receded to -2, and this afternoon, the line dipped to ASU -1.5. That said, early point-spread play solidly favors the Sun Devils, at 76% of tickets and money. Arizona State is getting similar percentages in moneyline tickets and dollars.

DK opened the total at 50.5, peaked at 51 a couple times early in the week, but is now down to 49.5. The Over is seeing 71% of tickets/53% of money.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET MONDAY: Arizona State opened -1.5 and is up to -2.5 in Borgata Sports' Week 15 college football odds. That's despite losing top wideout Jordyn Tyson, who suffered an unspecified injury in the Sun Devils' 49-7 Week 14 rout of Arizona.

"ASU is coming off a blowout victory," Borgata sportsbook director Tom Gable said. "The early money has been on Arizona State, and it's no surprise, as the Sun Devils are playing great football. Iowa State will look to minimize the potent ground game of the Sun Devils."

The total is up a tick from 50.5 to 51.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Arizona State is in the midst of a solid season on the field and at the betting window, at 10-2 SU and ATS. In Week 14, the Sun Devils went to Arizona as 7.5-point favorites and rolled 49-7, clinching a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game.

Iowa State (10-2 SU/7-5 ATS) needed to win in Week 14, and have BYU beat Houston, as well. Both those outcomes occurred. The Cyclones topped Kansas State 29-21 giving 2 points at home, and BYU beat Houston 30-18.

The Big 12 title game is at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Iowa State opened -1 in DraftKings' Week 15 college football odds. However, this morning, the line jumped the fence to ASU -1, then -2.5.

It's all Arizona State early on the spread, at 84% of tickets/86% of money.

The total nudged from 50.5 to 51 this morning, with 93% of tickets/98% of dollars on the Over.

UNLV vs. Boise State Odds

• Opening point spread: Boise State -5.5
• Opening moneyline: Boise State -205/UNLV +170
• Opening total: Over/Under 58.5 points scored
• Time: 8 p.m. ET Friday (FOX)

UPDATE 6:30 P.M.ET FRIDAY: With 90 minutes until kickoff, Boise State is -4.5 (-105) in BetMGM's college football Week 15 odds. Early Sunday, the Broncos opened -4.5 (-115), then dipped to -4 within a few hours and -3.5 by Sunday evening.

The line climbed back to Boise State -4.5 Thursday evening. That said, BetMGM is rooting for the favorite at the moment.

"It sure looks like we'll be better off with Boise State covering -4.5 tonight," BetMGM trading manager Seamus Magee said. "Lots of UNLV money came in this afternoon, pushing our need from being a Boise State win and no cover to Boise State covering -4.5."

The total opened at 59.5, went to 58.5 within a few hours Sunday and bottomed out at 57.5 Wednesday. It's now 57.5 (Over -115), but Magee said the total is not a notable decision.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: At DraftKings Sportsbook, Boise State opened -5.5 late Saturday night. But by late Sunday afternoon, the Broncos were down to -3.5, with stops at -5/-5 along the way.

Boise State has been steady at -4 since Monday morning in DK's college football odds Week 15 market. The Broncos are landing 72% of early spread bets, but 55% of early spread money is on the underdog Rebels.

DK's total opened at 58.5, peaked at 59.5 Sunday, then made its way down to 57.5 by this afternoon. The Over is seeing 64% of bets, while 53% of cash is on the Under.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET MONDAY: Borgata Sports opened Boise State -4.5 and is down to -4 in college football Week 15 odds.

"Early respected money came in on UNLV at the opening +4.5, and also on the Under for the opening total of 59.5," Borgata sportsbook director Tom Gable said. "The power rating on Boise State has been lowered in the last couple of weeks. The Broncos were 4-point favorites at UNLV [in Week 9] and now find themselves as 4-point favorites at home."

Boise State on the regular-season meeting 29-24. Both teams have plenty to play for, as the winner should land the Group of 5 bid for the 12-team playoff.

"UNLV is looking to avenge its regular-season loss to Boise State," Gable said, noting Rebels quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams was sacked six times, but still ran for 105 yards and a touchdown, and threw for 179 yards and two TDs. "This is the rematch everyone wanted to see, so I'm happy we get to book another matchup between these two.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Boise State (11-1 SU/6-5-1 ATS) rode Heisman Trophy candidate Ashton Jeanty to a huge season in the Mountain West. The Broncos' only loss came to No. 1 Oregon in Week 2.

Boise State led that game 34-27 in the fourth quarter, but ultimately lost 37-34 on a final-seconds field goal.

In Week 14, the Broncos topped Oregon State 34-18, but fell short of covering as 17.5-point home favorites.

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UNLV (9-2 SU/6-5 ATS) notched nine regular-season wins for the second straight year, after almost nothing but futility this century. In Week 14, the Rebels dumped Nevada 38-14 laying 17.5 points at home.

Boise State and UNLV met in Week 9, with the Broncos earning a 29-24 victory as 4-point road favorites. These two teams also met in last year's Mountain West Championship Game, with Boise State rolling 44-20 as 2.5-point road favorites.

This time around, the game is in Boise.

DraftKings Sportsbook opened Boise State -5.5 and moved to -5 shortly thereafter on Saturday night, then went to -4 this morning. The Broncos are getting 57% of early spread bets, but 85% of early cash is on the Rebels in the college football odds Week 15 market.

DK opened the total at 58.5, got to 59.5 this morning and is now back at 58.5. The Over is seeing 72% of bets, while 80% of money is on the Under.

Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson