Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies Picks, Predictions, Odds
The Michigan State Spartans (2-0) will travel to take on the Washington Huskies (2-0) Saturday night. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET at Husky Stadium in Seattle, Washington and can be viewed on ABC.
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS vs. WASHINGTON HUSKIES BETTING PREDICTION
The eleventh ranked Spartans had no trouble in their first two weeks of play after defeating Western Michigan 35-13 in week 1 and Akron 52-0 in week 2. The defense has looked solid in both those games, giving up around 200 passing yards and zero passing touchdowns. They also lead the nation in sacks (12) while Washington QB is top five in the country in passing yards (682) and passing TD’s (6). The Spartans have relied on the run game thus far, averaging 228.5 rushing yard per game. QB Payton Thorne has struggled a bit with four TD’s and three INT’s so I would expect the run game to be the main focus for the Spartans headed into this matchup.
Washington has taken care of business in their first two games of the season. The Huskies opened things up with a 45-20 win over Kent State followed by a 52-6 win over Portland State. Washington has relied heavily on their passing game under new head coach Kalen DeBoer, and it appears to be working as QB Michael Penix Jr is top-5 in both passing yards (682) and passing TD’s (6). This will be his first true test of the season as Michigan State’s defense will be much tougher than Kent State or Portland State’s. The line will need to be ready to go as Michigan State leads the country in sacks (12) with 5.5 of those coming from Jacoby Windman.
Michigan State is getting no respect from sportsbooks as the Spartans are 3.5-point road dogs headed into Husky Stadium. Washington has not hosted a ranked power-5 opponent since 2010 so emotions should be running high to begin this one. I think taking the points and the Spartans is the play here. If the lines were reversed I would more than likely back the Huskies, but I like the Spartans to keep it within a field goal if not win this thing outright. Taking the Spartans and the points here although there is definite value in playing the Spartans moneyline.
Score Prediction: Michigan State 31, Washington 28
Best Bet: Michigan State +3.5 (-107)
Best Bet: Over 56.5 (-110)
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS vs. WASHINGTON HUSKIES BETTING ODDS
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MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS vs. WASHINGTON HUSKIES BETTING RESOURCES
Date: Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022
Matchup: Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Venue: Husky Stadium
Location: Seattle, Washington
Time-TV: ABC, 7:30 p.m. ET
Expert Picks
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING ANALYSIS
Entering week three of the college football season, the Spartans are currently 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS. Michigan State is 13-2 SU in their last 15 games and 8-0 SU in their last eight games played in September. The Spartans have struggled against the PAC-12 in the recent past with a 2-11 SU record in their last 13 games against PAC-12 opponents. The total has gone under in four of their last five games and four of their last six games on the road.
Michigan State’s offense has been solid through their first two games of the season. Coming into this game the Spartans are averaging 234.5 passing yards (75th), 228.5 rushing yards (24th), and 43.5 points per game (T-39th). QB Payton Thorne simply needs to be better as he has completed just 57.7% of his passes and thrown for three interceptions and only four touchdowns. The running game has been on point for the Spartans thus far. Sophomore Jalen Berger has led the way with 227 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Expect the run game to dominate the Spartans game plan again in week three against the Huskies.
The Spartan's defense has allowed just 13.0 points through their first two games, but Washington’s offense will be a much better test to see where this defense stands. They are allowing opponents and average of 141.0 rushing yards per game, 193.0 passing yards per game, and 6.5 points per game. As mentioned before, Michigan State leads the country in sacks this season (12) and this will be key for the Spartans as Washington has been a pass dominant team.
WASHINGTON HUSKIES BETTING ANALYSIS
The Huskies have started their season strong with a 2-0 SU and ATS record. Washington is 5-11 SU in their last 16 games. The total has gone over in five of their last seven home games. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in five of their last seven games against a Big Ten opponent. Washington tends to play well in September, going 16-4 SU in their last 20 games played in September. The Huskies are also 9-0 SU in their last nine week three games.
Washington’s offense will look to continue their success through the air against Michigan State. The Huskies enter this matchup averaging 384.5 passing yards (6th), 186.5 rushing yards (48th), and 48.5 points per game (T-19th). QB Michael Penix Jr has been the leader of this team with 682 passing yards, 6 TD’s, and 1 INT. WR Jalen McMillan has been Penix Jr’s go-to target with 9 REC, 214 yards, and 3 TD’s. I do not expect the Huskies game plan to switch up all that much, although they may need to incorporate the run game a bit more if the Spartans are finding ways to get to Penix Jr.
The Huskies defense will face their biggest challenge yet going up against Michigan State on Saturday. After two games played, Washington is allowing opponents 114.0 rushing yards, 121.5 passing yards, and 13.0 points per game. Stopping the run will be the Huskies game plan in this matchup. If they can force the Spartans to throw the ball, they could force a turnover or two and change the course of this game. However, if they are not able to stop the run it could be a long day for Washington’s defense.
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS vs. WASHINGTON HUSKIES BETTING TRENDS
- Michigan State is 5-1 ATS last six games.
- Michigan State is 13-2 SU last 15 games.
- Michigan State is UNDER in four of last five games.
- Washington is 5-11 ATS last 16 games.
- Washington is 2-4 SU last six games.
- Washington is OVER in four of its last five games.
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