Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

The Wisconsin Badgers and Ohio State Buckeyes open their Big Ten conference schedule Saturday at Ohio Stadium in Columbus. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ABC.

Updated on 11/21/2024

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WISCONSIN BADGERS vs. OHIO STATE BUCKEYES BETTING PREDICTION

The Badgers have outscored Illinois State and New Mexico State by a combined 104-7 score in Week 1 and 3, sandwiching a disappointing 17-14 home loss against Washington State as a 17.5-point favorite as the UNDER cashed. While the Wisconsin offense failed to show up at that game in Camp Randall Stadium against Wazzu, the defense continues to answer the bell week in and week out, and will be tasked with doing big things in C-Bus.

You need a good defense to stop this Ohio State side, as the offense is rolling, and gaining more and more confidence by the day. It was actually down 10-7 at half against Notre Dame in the opener, but in the past 10 quarters of football, the Buckeyes have rolled up 136 points, while allowing just 33. Of course, the past two games were against an undersized Arkansas State team and an overmatched Toledo side. Facing the Badgers will be a much more stern test.

Ohio State holds a 61-18-5 series lead, including wins by the Buckeyes in each of the previous eight meetings. The last time these teams met in the regular season was a 38-7 beatdown for Ohio State at the 'Shoe. The last win by the Badgers came Oct. 16, 2010 in Madison, a 31-18 victory.

Score Prediction: Ohio State 34, Wisconsin 17
Best Bet: Wisconsin +19 (-110)
Best Bet: UNDER 57.5 (-110)

WISCONSIN BADGERS vs. OHIO STATE BUCKEYES BETTING ODDS

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WISCONSIN BADGERS vs. OHIO STATE BUCKEYES BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Saturday, Sept. 24, 2022
Matchup: Big Ten
Venue: Ohio Stadium
Location: Columbus, Ohio
Time-TV: ABC, 7:30 p.m. ET
Expert Picks

WISCONSIN BADGERS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Badgers are playing traditional Wisconsin football. They're not the most exciting team in the world, they seem to still be stuck in the 1980's and 1990's, but for some reason the formula (mostly) works for them. Run the ball. Play good defense. Don't make mistakes.

Wisconsin ranks 34th in the nation with 478.7 total yards per game, while ranking 28th with 218.3 rushing yards per outing. The Badgers are posting 39.3 PPG, but that's likely to decrease over time, as Illinois State and New Mexico State will be well in the rear-view mirror now that conference play has started, and there are no more tomato cans coming up.

The Badgers rank 11th in total yards allowed (246.0), while ranking 19th in passing yards allowed (170.0) and 13th in rushing yards allowed (76.0). Wisconsin is giving up just 8.0 PPG to check in eighth, and certainly no one with any sense is putting the loss against Washington State at the feet of the defense. It did its job, the offense just stunk.

OHIO STATE BUCKEYES BETTING ANALYSIS

The Buckeyes started off rather sluggish against Notre Dame, trailing 10-7 at halftime. Some Johnny-Come-Lately fans were already spreading the 'this is fine' meme with the dog in a hat sitting in a fire-filled room. There was alarm. Worry. Concern. The Buckeyes outscored the Fighting Irish 14-0 in the second half, and pulled away for a 21-10 victory. After getting a little more on track against Arkansas State, and then absolutely pulverizing Toledo, the swagger is back from tOSU fans, and they're puffing out their chests again.

The 56-point win last week against the Rockets was the first cover and first OVER result of the season for the Buckeyes. It had allowed just 11.0 PPG in the first two games, but the defense was working in third- and fourth-stringers in the Toledo game, and the points and yardage allowed in the second half was more due to reserves.

Ohio State has managed to cover just one of the past five games overall dating back to last season. The good news for the Buckeyes is that the Badgers are in town. Ohio State is 5-0-1 ATS in the past six meetings at the 'Shoe, while going 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings overall. The home team is also 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series, while the UNDER has connected in five of the past seven.

WISCONSIN BADGERS vs. OHIO STATE BUCKEYES BETTING TRENDS

• Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in the past seven Big Ten games
• Wisconsin is 3-10 ATS in the past 13 vs. winning teams
• Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall
• UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for Wisconsin
• UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven road games for Wisconsin
• OVER is 9-4-1 in the past 14 Big Ten games for Ohio State
• Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings
• Underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings
• Wisconsin is 3-8-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings
• Wisconsin is 0-5-1 ATS in the past six trips to Ohio State
• UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven meetings

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish