Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Baylor Bears Picks, Predictions, Odds

Joe Hedrick Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) will travel to take on the Baylor Bears (3-1) in a Big-12 matchup. Saturday’s kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas and can be viewed on FOX.

Updated on 12/23/2024

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OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS vs. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PREDICTION

Ninth ranked Oklahoma State comes into this matchup undefeated after three games played. The Cowboys offense has been rolling, averaging 49.7 points and over 500 yards of offense per game. Not to take anything away from this program, but they have not faced much talent yet. Their three wins on the season come against Central Michigan, Arizona State, and Arkansas-Pine Bluff. QB Spencer Sanders has been great with 916 passing yards and 10 touchdowns. We’ll see if Sanders and the Cowboys can keep it up against their first true test of the season in the Baylor Bears.

The 16th ranked Baylor Bears are 3-1 SU on the season with their only loss coming in double-overtime to BYU in week two. Aside from that, the Bears have looked solid this season and managed their first conference win of the season against Iowa State this past weekend. They’ve seen success rushing the ball with RB Richard Reese who has six TDs on the season and would expect him to play a significant role in Saturday’s game plan. Baylor’s defense has held up thus far but much like Oklahoma State’s offense, this will be their toughest test of the season.

I like the Cowboys in this matchup. Spencer Sanders threw four interceptions in last year's Big-12 title game loss to Baylor. He has done a much better job taking care of the ball thus far and expect this to be a perfect revenge game for him. I like Oklahoma State to win this game but will take the points here just to be on the safe side.

Score Prediction: Oklahoma State 28, Baylor 24
Best Bet: Oklahoma State +2.5 (-110)

OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS vs. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING ODDS

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OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS vs. BAYLOR BEARS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022
Matchup: Big 12
Venue: McLane Stadium
Location: Waco, Texas
Time-TV: FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET
Expert Picks

OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS BETTING ANALYSIS

Oklahoma State enters this matchup 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. The Cowboys are 9-1 SU over their last 10 games, but just 3-6 SU in their last nine games against Baylor. The total has gone under in their last nine games played on the road. Following this trend, the total has gone under in six of their last seven games when playing on the road against Baylor.

The Cowboys lowest scoring game of the season was putting up 34 points against Arizona State. In their other two games they scored 58 against Central Michigan and 63 against Arkansas-Pine Bluff. I would not expect them to have that kind of success against Baylor’s defense, but this team knows how to score the ball. As a team they are averaging 348.0 passing yards (9th), 163.3 rushing yards (65th), and 49.7 points per game (6th). QB Spencer Sanders has looked solid thus far and found his go-to target in Braydon Johnson who has 14 REC, 300 YDS, and three TDs to start the season.

Oklahoma State’s defense gave up 44 points to Central Michigan in their opener but have only given up a combined 24 points since then. As a team the Cowboys are allowing opponents 265.33 passing yards, 111.3 rushing yards, and 22.67 points per game. It is a bit concerning this defense gave up that many points to Central Michigan when the Bears offense has much more fire power, but hopefully head coach Mike Gundy will have his guys ready to go. Also expect them to bring the rush as they already have nine sacks on the season.

BAYLOR BEARS BETTING ANALYSIS

Baylor comes into this game with a 3-1 SU and ATS record. The Bears are 8-1 SU over their last nine games and 9-0 SU in their last nine games at home. The total has gone under in seven of their last nine games. Following this trend, the total has gone under in six of their last seven when playing at home against Oklahoma State. Baylor is 5-0 SU in their last five Big-12 matchups.

The Bear’s offense has had a nice balanced attack to start the season. Their lowest point total was 20 against BYU, but BYU is no easy place to play so cannot judge them too hard on that one. As a team Baylor is averaging 224.3 passing yards (86th), 206.8 rushing yards (26th), and 40.5 points per game. QB Blake Shapen is doing a nice job running the offense with 773 yards, seven TD’s, and one INT. He’s also shown he has big play capability as he has rushed and thrown for a touchdown 35+ yards this season.

Baylor’s defense has given up just 67 total points in their first four games. As a team they are allowing opponents 225.75 passing yards, 79.5 rushing yards, and 16.75 points per games. The Bears will want to slow down the Cowboys passing game in this one and force them to run the ball. The key for the Baylor’s defense will be to slow Oklahoma State down early. The Cowboys like to score early and often and have not trailed at any point this season. Should be interesting to see how this defense holds up against Oklahoma States passing attack.