College Football Week 5 Rewind
Another week of college football is in the books, as we say good-bye to September, and flip the calendar to October. We had a handful of teams resting this week, so a few less games than usual, as teams transition from the non-conference schedule and get ready for the regular season. We also had some games affected by weather, especially in the Mid-Atlantic and northeast, due to the remnants of Hurricane Ian.
The good story of the Kansas Jayhawks also continued, as it remains unbeaten at 5-0 SU. The five victories matches its entire total for the 2019-2021 seasons combined (5-28). We also had plenty of upsets, one near-upset of monumental proportions, and, of course, the bad beats.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 RESULTS
WAGER (Favorites-Underdogs)
Straight Up (SU): 43-17
Against the Spread (ATS): 28-32
WAGER (Home-Away)
Straight Up (SU): 40-20
Against the Spread (ATS): 33-27
WAGER (Totals O/U)
Over-Under: 30-30
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEASON RESULTS
WAGER (Favorites-Underdogs)
Straight Up (SU): 301-73
Against the Spread (ATS): 190-183-1
WAGER (Home-Away)
Straight Up (SU): 273-97
Against the Spread (ATS): 191-178-1
WAGER (Totals O/U)
Over-Under: 190-184
BIGGEST UNDERDOGS TO CASH
UConn (+23.5, ML +1200) 19 vs. Fresno State 14
Georgia Tech (+21.5, ML +850) 26 @ Pittsburgh 21
FIU (+16, ML +550) 21 @ New Mexico State 7
Boston College (+13.5, ML +375) 34 @ Louisville 33
Rice (+10.5, ML +280) 28 vs. UAB 24
Purdue (+9.5, ML +260) 20 @ Minnesota 10
Illinois (+6.5, ML +205) 34 @ Wisconsin 10
TCU (+5.5, ML +170) 55 vs. Oklahoma 24
Troy (+5.5, ML +165) 34 @ Western Kentucky 27
Wake Forest (+5.5, ML +175) 31 @ Florida State 21
BIGGEST FAVORITES TO CASH
Syracuse (-54.5) 59 vs. Wagner 0
Appalachian State (-39.5) 49 vs. The Citadel 0
South Carolina (-39.5) 50 vs. South Carolina State 10
Ohio State (-34.5) 49 vs. Rutgers 10
James Madison (-24.5) 40 vs. Texas State 13
Memphis (-18.5) 24 vs. Temple 3
Alabama (-17.5) 49 @ Arkansas 26
Arizona (-17.5) 43 vs. Colorado 20
Oregon (-17) 45 vs. Stanford 27
Western Michigan (-15.5) 44 vs. New Hampshire 7
BIGGEST ROAD FAVORITES TO CASH
Alabama (-17.5) 49 @ Arkansas 26
Michigan (-10.5) 27 @ Iowa 14
East Carolina (-9.5) 48 @ South Florida 28
BIGGEST BAD BEAT OF THE WEEK
For the second straight week we're down south, and this one was a Dirty South bad beat.
If you bet on South Carolina from the FCS, you already have some pretty big balls. Who bets the Bulldogs? This is a team which was coming off a 41-27 loss at North Carolina A&T, and then had a quick five-day turnaround to face South Carolina in a payday game against a Power 5 team. Originally the game was to be played Saturday, but it was moved up to Thursday night due to the approach of Hurricane Ian to the Palmetto State.
The Bulldogs of SC State were catching +39.5, and they did a good job hanging on most of the game. It went down 22-0 at halftime, but the Bulldogs answered the bell out of the locker room, cutting the lead to 22-7 early in the third quarter. The Gamecocks scored 21 unanswered points, however, making it 43-7 early in the fourth quarter.
However, the Bulldogs picked up the field goal with 6:48 to go, making it 43-10. Bulldogs side bettors were feeling good, UNDER bettors (57.5) were also hanging in there, and it looked like the game would be salted away, finishing up at that score.
Unfortunately for SC side bettors and UNDER bettors, backup QB Luke Doty was giving his best effort down the stretch with some rare playing time. He rumbled for a 14-yard touchdown run with 1:46 to go in regulation, flipping the game to a cover for the Gamecocks, and an unfortunate loss for UNDER bettors.
BAD BEAT HONORABLE MENTIONS
TEXAS STATE at JAMES MADISON (Total - 51.5)
This was just wrong if you were an UNDER bettor, and probably would be the top bad beat of the weekend if the line was also affected in the end, like the game above. The odds are -1000 (YES) that you will see this on SVP's Bad Beats segment on Monday night, that's for sure.
So James Madison was enjoying a 24-7 lead heading to the fourth quarter after Texas State cut the lead to 17 with its first score of the afternoon at 8:15 to go. That's how things stayed until JMU scored a pair of rushing touchdowns in the fourth quarter. The touchdowns, both by RB Latrele Palmer, came without 67 seconds of each other. Suddenly, with 7:46 to go in regulation, there were 45 points on the board, with JMU up 38-7.
That's how it stayed, however, much to the pleasure of UNDER bettors. But you know how this goes.
On the final drive of the game, the Bobcats offense came alive. QB Layne Hatcher hit two pass plays of 15 or more yards to move the ball down the field, and RB Jahmyl Jeter hit a big gainer for 21 yards. The second of Hatcher's big passes got it down inside the JMU 5 with less than 20 seconds to go. With ZEROES on the clock, Jeter scored a 5-yard touchdown, and they didn't even bother to kick the extra point. Final score - 40-13, and a filthy bad beat.
UTAH STATE at BYU (Total - 60)
The Aggies surprised and covered the +25.5 spread on the road against the Cougars. In fact, Utah State was more than surprising, as it was tied 17-17 at halftime in this Beehive State rivalry. BYU started to pull away a little bit in the third quarter, taking a 31-20 lead into the final 15 minutes, and then it went up 38-20 with 8:18 to go in regulation. UNDER bettors were still in good shape, but nervous, as a field goal or touchdown would sink them.
The game plodded on into the waning moments. With just 69 seconds remaining in regulation, Utah State QB Cooper Legas hit WR Brian Cobbs for a 27-yard touchdown strike to cut the BYU lead to 38-26. More importantly, it flipped the UNDER to an OVER late in the game to get your week off to a bad start on Thursday night if you played the UNDER.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at COASTAL CAROLINA (ML +280)
If you had a money line play on Georgia Southern, the fourth quarter was a wild ride.
Georgia Southern took a 17-14 lead into the third quarter, and it was up 24-14 with 12:09 to go, thanks to a RB Jalen White 18-yard touchdown run. That's when the seesaw battle started.
Coastal cut it to 24-21 with 10:10 to go, before Southern had a 30-yard field goal to make it 27-21. Coastal Carolina struck for a 61-yard touchdown from QB Grayson McCall to WR Jared Brown, making it 28-27. But Georgia Southern money line bettors had hope, as the Eagles drove deep into the red zone before settling for a chip-shot 20-yard field goal with 2:05 to go. The Eagles led 30-28, but the field goal, and not a touchdown, really cost them.
The Chanticleers drove the field and RB C.J. Beasley shook free for a 24-yard touchdown run with :38 left in regulation to stun Eagles side bettors, as Georgia Southern went down 34-30.
MIAMI-OHIO at BUFFALO (ML +125, +3.5)
This was a tough bad beat for Miami money line bettors and side bettors, but a miraculous win for those holding Buffalo tickets. You will likely also see this one on SVP.
Miami cut the lead to 14-10 at halftime, and the RedHawks really came alive in the third quarter. Buffalo took a 17-10 lead midway through the third quarter, but Miami responded with a 3-yard touchdown run to tie the game at 3:55 to go in the third, before going away with a chip-shot field to make it 20-17. Really, Miami probably should have had the touchdown, but bogged down in the red zone. It cost them.
The two defenses took over in the fourth quarter, however, keeping things scoreless. Inside a minute, the Bulls elected to go for the game-tying field goal to force overtime. However, there is a defensive offsides penalty on the RedHawks, giving Buffalo a first down. On first down, Buffalo had a small gain on a run, before an incompletion. However, with just 31 seconds left in regulation, Buffalo scored on a 15-yard touchdown strike from QB Cole Snyder to WR Justin Marshall for the game-winning score, crushing Miami side bettors and money line bettors in the process.
TULANE at HOUSTON (-4.5, Total - 51.5)
The Cougars trailed 14-7 heading into the fourth quarter after a defensive touchdown by the Green Wave midway through the third. So there were just 21 points on the board, and OVER bettors weren't feeling it anyway. But then their ears perked up in the fourth.
Houston scored two touchdowns to take a 21-14 lead, and suddenly Cougars side bettors were feeling pretty good, too. Then, the Green Wave surged back and posted a 3-yard touchdown with just :39 left in regulation tie it and force overtime.
OVER bettors were feeling pretty good, needing a pair of touchdowns and/or double-overtime. Houston opened with a field goal to make it 24-21, and side bettors were actually cheering for a Tulane field goal to extend the game, still giving it a chance to cover. Oddly enough, OVER bettors were also cheering for the field goal over a touchdown, hoping for double-overtime.
No one got what they wanted, unless they were a Tulane money line bettor, side bettor or UNDER bettor. The Green Wave scored on a 10-yard scoring strike, winning it 27-24. It wasn't necessarily a bad beat, just an unfortunate ending for some, a great ending for others, and very close on the money line, spread and total.
VIRGINIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA (Total - 56.5)
This isn't necessarily a textbook bad beat, but maybe a raw beat or an unfortunate beat, nonetheless.
North Carolina piled up the offense on a beleaguered Virginia Tech team, leading 24-10 lead at halftime before piling it on in the third quarter with 17 more points. The Tar Heels were up 41-10, and the rout was on.
Heading into the fourth quarter, OVER bettors simply needed a pair of field goals, a touchdown - something. They got nothing.
VIRGINIA at DUKE (Total - 54.5)
It was a teeny bad beat. Heading into the fourth quarter, Duke led Virginia 28-10. The Blue Devils broke a long 59-yard touchdown run just 57 seconds into the final stanza, taking a 35-10 lead. With 10:30 to go, UVA QB Brennan Armstrong called his own number for a 5-yard touchdown run to cut the lead to 35-17. Things were going south for UNDER bettors, but then the defenses took over.
Well, the defenses took over until exactly 3:00 to go, when Duke elected to kick a 34-yard field goal, making the score 38-17, while crushing UNDER bettors in the process.
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