Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

The Baylor Bears travel to meet the West Virginia Mountaineers in a Big 12 conference game on Thursday at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on FS1.

Updated on 11/21/2024

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BAYLOR BEARS vs. WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING PREDICTION

The Bears of Baylor dropped their second game of the season in a home loss to Oklahoma State last time out on Oct. 1, falling 36-25. In three wins this season, Baylor has scored 31 or more points, averaging 36.5 PPG in two games against FBS opponents. In two losses, the Bears are averaging just 22.5 PPG, including an overtime contest.

West Virginia heads into this one looking to avoid its fourth loss of the season. It dropped a 55-42 overtime decision to Kansas in Morgantown in the conference opener back on Sept. 10, and fell 38-20 at Texas last time out on Oct. 1. It cannot start 0-3 inside the conference, or suffer a fifth loss overall before the leaves have fully started to change, or bowl eligibility might very well be in jeopardy.

West Virginia has a 6-4 lead in the all-time series, but Baylor won 45-20 in the most recent meeting on Oct. 9 last season. The home team has won each of the previous four in the series, with the Mountaineers scratching out a 27-21 win on Oct. 3, 2020 in the most recent game at Milan Puskar Stadium. The Bears should be able to break that home-team win streak here, however, as they are just the better team.

Score Prediction: Baylor 34, West Virginia 29
Best Bet: Baylor -3.5 (-106)
Best Bet: OVER 54.5 (-105)

BAYLOR BEARS vs. WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING ODDS

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BAYLOR BEARS vs. WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022
Matchup: Big 12
Venue: Milan Puskar Stadium
Location: Morgantown, West Virginia
Time-TV: FS1, 7:00 p.m. ET
Expert Picks

BAYLOR BEARS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Bears head north looking to get back on track after suffering a loss at home to the top-10 Cowboys last weekend. Baylor has managed 436.6 total yards per game to rank 47th in the country, while going for 188.2 rushing yards per game to rank 37th, and 37.4 PPG to rank 26th in the nation. On the defensive side of the ball, Baylor has been a wall against the run, allowing just 96.8 yards per game on the ground to check in 17th, while allowing 20.6 PPG.

Baylor is an impressive 13-5 ATS in the past 18 games overall dating back to last season, while hitting in four of the past five games on the road, including last time out at Iowa State in a 31-24 win on Sept. 24. The lone non-cover during the span came in a 26-20 overtime loss at BYU on Sept. 10. In its past five appearances on a Thursday, the Bears are 1-4 ATS in the past five games.

On totals, Baylor has cashed the UNDER at a 7-3 clip across the past 10 games. The UNDER is also 4-1 in the previous five on the road, while going 10-4-1 in the past 15 games following a straight-up loss.

WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Mountaineers have some pretty impressive numbers for a team sitting at 2-3 SU. West Virginia is good for 452.8 total yards per game to rank 33rd in the country, while posting 38.2 PPG to rank 24th in the nation. It is also 38th in passing yards per game (266.6), and 39th in rushing yards per contest (186.2).

On the defensive side of the ball, West Virginia has also been surprisingly stout, allowing just 100.8 rushing yards per game to check in 22nd, while ranking 31st in total yards per game at 331.6. The Mountaineers bleed a little against the pass, yielding 230.8 yards per game through the air, a major part of the reason it is allowing 29.6 PPG.

West Virginia is 10-3-1 ATS in the past 14 games at Milan Puskar, while gong 4-1 ATS in the past five appearances on a Thursday. The Mountaineers have cashed in just one of the past six games inside the Big 12, however.

The home team has won four in a row straight up, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings overall.

BAYLOR BEARS vs. WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING TRENDS

• Baylor is 13-5 ATS in the past 18 games overall
• Baylor is 4-1 ATS in the past five road games
• Baylor is 1-4 ATS in the past five Thursday games
• West Virginia is 10-3-1 ATS in the past 14 home games
• West Virginia is 1-5 ATS in the past six Big 12 games
• West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in the past five Thursday games
• UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 games for Baylor
• UNDER is 4-1 in the past five road games for Baylor
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish