Ole Miss Rebels vs. LSU Tigers Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

The Ole Miss Rebels travel to meet the LSU Tigers in an SEC West tussle Saturday at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on CBS.

Updated on 11/21/2024

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OLE MISS REBELS vs. LSU TIGERS BETTING PREDICTION

The 7th-ranked Rebels of Ole Miss put their unbeaten record on the line in Death Valley against the Tigers of LSU. Ole Miss is coming off a 48-34 victory against Auburn last week, moving to 3-0 inside the conference. But so far it has topped Auburn, Vanderbilt and Kentucky inside the SEC, three teams with a combined 3-8 conference record. Facing LSU, and its 3-1 conference mark, will represent its biggest test yet.

In fact, Ole Miss currently sits in first place in the SEC West, as the only team with an unblemished conference mark in the division. It is a half-game above Alabama, which lost last week, and LSU.

LSU registered a 45-35 win over Florida on the road, cashing as a 1.5-point underdog as the OVER cashed. It was a rare offensive explosive for the Bayou Bengals, which had managed 34 total points in the past two SEC games against Tennessee and Auburn. The OVER was also its first in six games against an FBS opponent. The defense is a little bit of a concern for LSU, as the Tigers have coughed up 40 and 35 in the past two games after allowing 74 total points across the first five outings.

In this series, Ole Miss won 31-17 in Oxford last season, but LSU had won the past five, and it leads 64-41-4 in the all-time series. LSU has covered each of its past four home meetings with Ole Miss, while the OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings, with the favorite going 5-2 ATS in the past seven in the series.

Score Prediction: Ole Miss 34, LSU 30
Best Bet: Ole Miss +105 ML
Best Bet: Under 66.5 (-110)

OLE MISS REBELS vs. LSU TIGERS BETTING ODDS

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OLE MISS REBELS vs. LSU TIGERS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022
Matchup: SEC
Venue: Tiger Stadium
Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Time-TV: CBS, 3:30 p.m. ET
Expert Picks

• Week 8 Odds Movements
• Week 8 Betting Trends
• Week 8 VI Title Rankings

OLE MISS REBELS BETTING ANALYSIS

Head coach Lane Kiffin has the Rebels rolling up some big numbers. Ole Miss ranks 14th in the nation with 502.9 total yards per game, while rolling up 271.4 rushing yards per contest to rank 3rd in the country. RB Quinshon Judkins has been a star, going for 720 yards with 10 touchdowns. When the Rebels aren't running the ball, QB Jaxson Dart has done a decent job. He has completed 61.7% of his passes for 1,488 yards, 11 touchdowns and 6 INT, while running for 371 yards and 7.0 yards per attempt.

On defense, Ole Miss ranks 16th in the country, allowing 17.3 PPG, while checking in 33rd against the pass with 202.0 yards, and it is 39th with 349.4 total yards per game allow. If it is beaten, Ole Miss has allowed 147.4 yards per game on the ground, which is just 72nd overall.

The Rebels are 4-1 ATS in the past five games on the road, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight road games against teams with a winning home mark. The Rebels failed to cover at most shops last week against Auburn. Ole Miss is 5-1 ATS in its past six games following a non-cover.

For totals, it's all about the UNDER lately, going 12-3 in the past 15 games overall, while going 6-1 in the past seven road contests. The UNDER is 9-1 in the past 10 against teams with a winning overall record, while going 7-2 in the past nine inside the SEC.

LSU TIGERS BETTING ANALYSIS

LSU bounced back from a 40-13 whitewashing from Tennessee at Death Valley to top Florida on the road in its place. It snapped a mini 0-2 ATS skid, and the OVER was the first in five games overall, and in six games against FBS teams.

LSU doesn't do one particular thing well, but it doesn't do anything poorly, either. It ranks 38th in total yards on offense (443.0), while it ranks 26th in total yards allowed (336.4). The Bayou Bengals have posted 33.7 PPG to rank 42nd, while allowing 21.3 PPG to check in 31st in the nation.

QB Jayden Daniels has been the Swiss Army Knife for head coach Brian Kelly, completing 69.4% of his pass attempts for 1,564 yards, 10 TD and 1 INT, while also leading the team with 403 rushing yards and 6 TD.

LSU is just 2-6 ATS in the past eight games in the month of October despite last weekend's road victory and cover, but it is 5-2 ATS in the past seven on a grass surface. For totals, the UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games overall, and 4-1 in the past five at home. The UNDER is also 6-2 in the past eight SEC contests.

OLE MISS REBELS vs. LSU TIGERS BETTING TRENDS

• Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS in the past five road games
• LSU is 2-6 ATS in the past eight October games
• UNDER is 12-3 in the past 15 games overall for Ole Miss
• UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven road games for Ole Miss
• UNDER is 7-2 in the past nine SEC games for Ole Miss
• UNDER is 9-1 in the past 10 vs. winning teams for Ole Miss
• UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for LSU
• UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for LSU
• UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight SEC games for LSU
• UNDER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for LSU
• LSU is 4-0 ATS in the past four home games vs. Ole Miss
• Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings
• OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish