Warriors vs. Kings Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

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The opening round of the NBA Playoffs concludes on Sunday afternoon with a do-or-die Game 7 showdown between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings. Coverage begins from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PREDICTION

The Warriors appeared to have Sacramento on the ropes in the aftermath of their gutsy Game 5 victory at Golden 1 Arena, as many bettors previously doubted their ability to steal a win on the road in this series, but to the surprise of the Golden State’ doubters, the Warriors played pretty well on the road in Game 5, aside from Steph Curry knocking down just 2-of-10 three-point attempts in the contest, and all of a sudden, even their most rigid skeptics seemed to have little-to-no doubt as to whether Golden State would close out the series at home in Game 6.

However, in a rather stunning turn of events, the Warriors shot just 37% FG and 31% 3P in an ugly 118-99 home loss in Game 6. So, now we’re right back to where we started prior to Game 5 with the Warriors hitting the road for Sacramento in desperate need of a win, but it’s almost impossible to trust them because they’ve been garbage on the road all year.

The Warriors posted a miserable record of 10-31 on the road during the regular season, while ranking 23rd in the league in net rating in those contests. On the other side of that same coin, though, the Warriors are a completely different team on their homefloor, and their discrepancy in performance based on game location was on full display in Games 3 and 4 as Golden State erupted for 120 PPG on 45% FG and 36% 3P in back-to-back home wins to even the series, which is why we saw them tagged as relatively hefty favorites at home in Game 6.

Golden State really dropped the ball in Game 6, though, and quite frankly, if the Warriors were ever going to make it out of this series alive, they probably needed to win it then and there, because this team’s struggles away from home tend to be far more pressing than they have been throughout this series, and it’s bound to catch up with them at some point.

Back in Game 5, the Warriors needed every ounce of 20-point performances by Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green in order to secure their first victory of this series on the road, and they managed to do it on a combined 60% shooting. If Steph Curry happens to receive a similar amount of help from his supporting cast again in Game 7, the Warriors could easily steal another one on Sunday afternoon, but given their horrendous records of 12-32 and 12-30-1 on the road this year, I’m willing to bet that he won’t. Take Sacramento in Game 7.

Score Prediction: Kings 116, Warriors 109
Best Bet: Kings ML (-105)

Take SAC!

BET NOW!

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING ODDS

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
Venue: Golden 1 Center
Location: Sacramento, California
TV-Time: ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET
Matchup
Expert Picks

NBA Finals Betting Odds

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING STATS

Golden State Warriors
SU: 47-41
ATS: 42-46
O/U: 49-39
PPG: 118.9
OPPG: 117.1

Sacramento Kings
SU: 51-37
ATS: 49-38-1
O/U: 44-44
PPG: 120.7
OPPG: 118.1

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING TRENDS

• The Warriors are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
• The Warriors are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games.
• The Kings are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
• The total has gone UNDER in seven of Sacramento's last ten games.
• The Kings are 3-6 SU in their last nine games.
• The Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
• The Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last ten matchups against Sacramento.
• The Warriors are 11-4 SU in their last 15 matchups against Sacramento.
• The Warriors are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson