Free Golf Picks & Predictions – The Genesis Scottish Open
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Stay tuned for our picks for the Scottish Open!
(Featured Image Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images)
Free Golf Winner Picks
Tournament winner markets are the most commonly wagered in golf betting, simply selecting a golfer to win the event for very good value. Because the value is so high, many bettors will wager on anywhere from one to five golfers in a single event.
VegasInsider provides Golf Free Picks for each event, picking winners for golfers that are favored, given mid-range odds, or long shots to consider.
Maverick McNealy – Outright Winner (+8000)
McNealy’s not the first name that jumps off the page this week, but at 80/1, he’s an intriguing long shot with a legitimate path to contention. He’s made three straight cuts, including a T5 finish, and has gained strokes putting in all of them—a good sign since putting has historically been one of his strengths. He’s also averaging over 300 yards off the tee, giving him the length to hang on a course that rewards distance more than precision. In fact, he ranks 27th in total strokes gained and 34th in SG: Putting this season, both quietly solid numbers. McNealy posted a T16 here in 2022 and gained 1.76 strokes that week—he knows how to navigate this track. If the putter heats up again and he keeps driving it well, there’s enough upside to justify a flier at this price.
Rasmus Højgaard – Outright Winner (+9000)
This is definitely a boom-or-bust play, but Højgaard has flashed enough upside on this course to justify a swing at 90/1. He finished T10 here in 2022 and added a T21 last year—so even with a missed cut in between, the comfort level is clearly there. His recent form isn’t great (he missed the cut in his last start), but his game sets up well for this layout. He’s 8th on Tour in driving distance, averaging over 315 yards, and he’s strong with long irons—particularly from 200+ yards out, which will be key on some of these longer par 4s and reachable par 5s. At a course where distance matters more than accuracy, Højgaard’s skill set can open up birdie chances most players won’t have. If the putter shows up, he has the firepower to get hot and contend. Not the safest bet on the board, but the upside is real.
Free Golf Matchup Picks
Keen on one particular golfer outperforming another? Perhaps you’re on the Brooks Koepka team and want to bet against his nemesis, Bryson DeChambeau?
Regardless, VegasInsider provides the best matchup selections for Golf Free Picks.
Instead of picking a tournament winner, bettors will select one specific golfer to finish in a higher position than another specific golfer.
This is known as matchup betting, and our experts provide top analysis on matchups for 72 holes of play or just one round.
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Golf Free Prop Picks
From group bets to nationality winners, even winning stroke margins, there are ample golf prop bets to select from.
Our VegasInsider golf experts go through the various prior markets for each event to find you the best value in exotic wagers.
Chris Gotterup – Top 10 Finish (+700)
Gotterup’s been flying a bit under the radar, but his recent form and profile fit this course perfectly. He’s quietly posted top-30 finishes in three straight starts and has cracked the top 20 five times in his last nine events. Even more encouraging—he’s gained strokes in 8 of his last 9 tournaments, a sign of consistency we didn’t see from him earlier in his career. Stat-wise, he's built for a track like this: 7th in driving distance and 10th off the tee, with an 11th-ranked scoring average that suggests he's converting those big drives into birdies. This is a course where you can take some aggressive lines off the tee without being punished too harshly, which plays right into Gotterup’s strengths. At +700 for a top-10, he brings a nice mix of upside and value.
Kevin Yu – To Make the Cut (-150)
It’s easy to be scared off by Yu’s course history—two missed cuts here the last two years—but this is a much different player now. He’s coming in on a strong run with finishes of 3rd at the RBC Canadian Open, T25 at the Travelers, and T21 at the John Deere. The ball-striking has been excellent during that stretch, and the numbers back it up: Yu ranks 6th in total driving, 6th in strokes gained off the tee, and hits 70% of greens in regulation. He’s also longer than tour average off the tee, which gives him a nice edge on this setup. While past results at this course haven’t been kind, his game now is more polished and consistent than it was in those previous starts. At -150, this feels like a fair price for someone who’s playing some of the best golf of his young career.
Isaiah Salinda – To Make the Cut (+105)
Salinda’s recent form isn’t going to impress anyone—two WDs, a missed cut, and a lone T60—but the underlying skill set makes him an interesting cut-maker at plus money. Despite the rough stretch, he ranks 17th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, 10th in total driving, and is 14th in driving distance at over 313 yards on average. That type of power is a big asset on this course, where distance is rewarded and accuracy isn’t overly penalized. He also ranks inside the top 30 in both sand saves and one-putt percentage, which shows some resilience around the greens. While he hasn’t teed it up here before, the setup plays right into his strengths. If he can keep it in play off the tee and avoid a blow-up round, there’s enough upside here to justify a shot at +105.
Justin Thomas – To Miss the Cut (+200)
This is a bold call, but there’s real value in fading Justin Thomas this week. His course history doesn’t inspire confidence—he’s missed the cut once and finished no better than T60 in his other two appearances here. His recent form has been hit-or-miss, literally, with a T9 in his most recent start but missed cuts in two of his last four. What really pushes this bet over the line is how the course sets up: it takes the wedge game out of the equation on many holes and leans more on long-range approaches and lag putting—two areas where JT has been inconsistent. His strength has always been his creativity and touch around the green, but that skillset won’t have as much impact here. At +200, you’re getting solid odds to bet against a volatile player at a course that simply doesn’t seem to fit his eye.
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Golf Free Picks Offered by VegasInsider
The golf season is in full swing, as the golf Expert Picks feature will be offered on a weekly basis.
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How to Bet on Golf
Golf sports betting has gained much more exposure and interest in the past few years, and with plenty of plus-money prices littered throughout the various forms of golf wagers, the chance for bigger scores is part of the reason behind that increased popularity.
How Do Golf Odds Work?
The most popular bet in Golf is the “Odds to Win” wager or what some might call a future wager.
Put simply, you just need to pick the overall winner of the tournament. You select any of the golfers in the field and your payout for the bet will depend on the odds given at the time of the wager.
For example, Justin Thomas is listed as a 10/1 betting choice. If you wager $100 on Thomas to win the event and he comes in first, then you would win $1,000 (100 x10).
You would collect $1,100, which includes your win and stake ($100).
How Do you Bet on Golf Matchups?
Matchup betting in golf is just as simplistic as “Odds to Win” wagers.
In this bet, the objective is to select one golfer to finish ahead of another golfer.
Similar to other sports, there is money-line odds associated with each matchup, which means there will always be a favorite and an underdog.
For example, Dustin Johnson (-135) vs. Jason Day (+115) where Johnson is the favorite and Day is the underdog.
In this particular matchup, gamblers looking for a payout of $100 on Dustin Johnson would have to risk $135 to win $100.
Those betting $100 on Jason Day (+115) would earn a payout of $115 if Day finishes ahead of Johnson in the tournament.
To win your matchup wagers, you need the golfer you selected to post a lower score than the opponent selected in the matchups.
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How Does Betting the Field in Golf Work?
Many golf events will include a betting selection called the Field.
This bet consists of all golfers not listed in the “Odds to Win.”
The size of golf tournaments vary and it’s rare to see oddsmakers put a price on every ball striker that will tee off.
Golfers who are given the least opportunity to win will be grouped into the “Field” odds and paid out accordingly if they win.
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