WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Our VI PGA handicapping experts have compiled their best bets for the the World Golf Championships - Dell Technologies Match Play, which is set to take place on Wednesday, March 23 and ends on Sunday, March 27 at the Austin Country Club in Austin, Texas.

This event features the Top 64 golfers in the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR) for a round-robin type tournament of 16 groups, with the rare Wednesday start to an event.

The course length is set at 7,100 yards and Par 71, and we have three Par 5 holes with Bermudagrass greens and water in play on five of the 18 holes for the Pete-Dye designed setup.

Betting for the event is short, but sweet, too. We'll pick an overall winner, which we rarely do, because of the unique setup. And the betting will consist of Round 1 betting, as we cannot look ahead to matchups we cannot possibly predict. This event sets up like the NCAA Tournament, with matchups to be determined daily.

Billy Horschel is the defending champion in this event.

• Scottie Scheffler over Ian Poulter - Round 1 (-150)
• Brian Harman Top 4 Finish (+1600)
• Patrick Cantlay - Overall Winner (+2200)

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SCOTTIE SCHEFFLER OVER IAN POULTER (-150)

Scheffler excelled in this event last season, advancing all the way to the Final before eventually bowing out against Billy Horschel, who ending up winning 2 and 1. Scheffler still came away with a cool $1.15 million for his troubles.

Scheffler ran through the event topping a group of Xander Schauffele, Jason Day and Andy Sullivan in the ground stage, while topping Ian Poulter in the Round of 16 by a 5 & 4 score on Thursday of last season's event. Look for a repeat performance here.

Scheffler went on to top Jon Rahm 3 & 1 in the quarters, before edging Matt Kucher 1 Up in the semifinals to set up his winner-take-all against Horschel. The most important part here is his win over Poulter last season. The latter did top Group 11, featuring Rory McIlroy, Cameron Smith and Lanto Griffin, but Scheffler had his way head-to-head.

Play Scheffler in the Match Winner (tie no bet) wager for a slightly higher price, although you can play the 3-way line at -125, but a tie will cost you.

BRIAN HARMAN TOP 4 (+1600)

Harman doesn't have to win this event to still have a substantial payday. He just needs to replicate the success he had last season, and then some.

Harman appeared in the quarterfinals last season, falling to Matt Kuchar in the Final 8 to earn a $337,000 paycheck. Kuchar Won 2 & 1 in a matchup which easily could have gone in Harman's favor. This is worth a roll of the dice to multiply your initial stake by 16, as Harman seems very comfortable with the format.

Not only that, but Harman comes in with a ton of momentum after a Top 5 finish at the Valspar Championship last weekend, posting a 14-under 270 to end up fifth, fattening up his wallet in the process. Not that missing the cut is a worry here, but he has made the cut in eight of his past nine events, finishing 14th or higher in three of the past six. He is on a roll, and the sky's the limit this weekend in Austin.

PATRICK CANTLAY OVERALL WINNER (+2200)

Picking an overall winner in a golf event is like picking a needle out of a haystack. But in a condensed field of 64, it's a little easier, although this setup makes it a bit more challenging. Still, picking Cantlay here is like picking Duke to win the NCAA Tournament as a 2-seed, although in golf there are certainly a lot more upsets. And hopefully Cantlay doesn't pull a Kentucky as a 2-seed, and lose to Keith Mitchell, serving as the Saint Peter's in Round 1 at 2:22 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

Like Harman above, it's all about momentum, although Cantlay lost some of it at The PLAYERS Championship, where he missed the cut. He'll be champing at the bit to get back out there and prove himself, though.

Prior to the ugly second-round 77 at TPC Sawgrass, Cantlay was running things with four Top 10 finishes in his first five events of the season, including a playoff loss at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, and fourth-place finishes at both the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and the Sentry Tournament of Champions against star-studded fields. He'll rebound this weekend in a big way.

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish