2022 US Open Picks, Predictions, Odds

Our VI PGA handicapping experts have compiled their best bets for the third major of the season, the US Open. The site for this year’s US Open will be The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts, just a few miles outside of Boston. The 2022 US Open will run from June 16-19. 

The Country Club is one of the most iconic golf courses in the United States. It is one of the oldest country clubs in the United States, and it is one of the five charter clubs that founded the United States Golf Association back in 1894. This will be the fourth time it has hosted the US Open, and the three previous US Opens held here were all decided by playoff.

Even the best golfers in the world are going to have trouble staying under par at The Country Club. The legendary Francis Ouimet finished +12 when he won the US Open here in 1913, and Julius Boros was +9 when he claimed the 1963 US Open title at this venue. We saw 11 golfers finish under par at the 1988 US Open, and Curtis Strange bested Nick Faldo in a playoff after both players finished 72 holes at -6.

We aren’t going to see a lot of low scores because of just how punishing this course can be if you’re inaccurate. The fairways are very narrow, the greens are small, and the rough is thick. Rock outcroppings are also present throughout the course, and there is the potential for wind to be a major factor from Friday through the weekend.

Updated on 11/21/2024

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U.S. OPEN BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: June 16 - June 19, 2022
• Venue: The Country Club
• Location: Brookline, Massachusetts
• Course Length: 7,264 yards
• Course Par: 70
• Defending Champion: Jon Rahm
• More Golf Futures

U.S. OPEN CONTENDER PICKS

• Rory McIlroy (+1400)
• Justin Thomas (+1400)
• Scottie Scheffler (+1300)

Rory McIlroy is now the favorite to win the US Open after his win at the RBC Canadian Open on Sunday. McIlroy had odds of 14-1 to win this tournament before the final round, but his 62 on Sunday led to the oddsmakers putting him ahead of Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, and Justin Thomas. The 2011 US Open champion and four-time major winner has had a resurgence this season and finished runner-up at the Masters and T8 at the PGA Championship.

PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas has the second lowest odds on the board. Thomas has never finished better than T8 at the US Open, but he has been in excellent form with five T8 finishes in his last eight events. He leads the PGA Tour in bogey avoidance, and that’s extremely important at Brookline.

The other previous major winner this year is Scottie Scheffler, and he is tied with Jon Rahm for the third lowest odds to win the US Open at 13-1. Scheffler won the Masters in April, and he is currently the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world. He has four wins and three runner-up finishes this year, so he must be feared although he failed to make the cut at the PGA Championship last month.

U.S. OPEN MID-RANGE PICKS

• Xander Schauffele (+2200)
• Sam Burns (+2900)
• Will Zalatoris (+2200)

It’s only a matter of time before Xander Schauffele wins a major. Schauffele has eight T7 finishes at a major since 2017, and five of those competitive performances have come at the US Open. This hasn’t been his best year as he missed the cut at THE PLAYERS Championship and the Masters, but he won the Zurich Classic and ranks among the top golfers in GIR.

Perhaps the best value on the board lies in Sam Burns to win the US Open at 29-1. Burns ranks second in the FedEx Cup rankings, as he has won three tournaments and placed in the top ten on eight occasions this season. He was underwhelming in the two previous majors, missing the cut at the Masters and finishing T20 at the PGA Championship, but he ranks in the top eight on the PGA Tour in adjusted scoring and bogey avoidance.

Will Zalatoris is the reigning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, and he has the potential to win his first major this week. Zalatoris lost the playoff at the PGA Championship and also finished T6 at the Masters in April after a final round 67. He has five T6 finishes in his last seven tournaments.

U.S. OPEN LONG SHOT PICKS

• Max Homa (+3600)
• Tony Finau (+4100)
• Brooks Koepka (+4400)

Max Homa has quietly been one of the top golfers on the PGA Tour over the last two years. Homa has won two tournaments in the last two seasons, and he is currently eighth in the FedEx Cup rankings. He won the Wells Fargo Championship last month and finished T5 at the Memorial, so there is a lot to like about Homa at 36-1 to win the US Open.

Arguably the best player without a major win on the PGA Tour is Tony Finau. He has won three PGA Tour events in his career, and he has a T5 finish at every golf major over the last four years. Finau has two runner-up finishes in the last two months, and his improved putting has made him a fringe contender at Brookline.

You can never count Brooks Koepka out of a major even if Koepka has just two T10 finishes this season. He missed the cut at THE PLAYERS Championship and the Masters, and he finished T55 at the PGA Championship. However, Koepka has four major titles in the last five years, and he has been exceptional at the US Open. He has won the US Open twice and finished runner-up and T4 in his last four appearances at this major, so 44-1 is extremely tempting value.

U.S. OPEN TOP MATCHUP BET

• Tony Finau to win Group D (+250)

While Tony Finau has finished T4 in three of his last five competitions, the other three golfers on this list have struggled. Collin Morikawa has failed to finish T25 in five events over the last two months, and Viktor Hovland hasn’t finished T20 in an event since March. Billy Horschel won the Memorial and finished runner-up at the Zurich Classic, but he has been awful at majors with just one T15 finish in 33 appearances.

U.S. OPEN TOP FINISH BET

• Brooks Koepka Top 5 (+650)

It hasn’t been the best season for Brooks Koepka. He has missed the cut in six events, and he has just two T5 finishes. However, Koepka is a living legend at majors even if he didn’t perform great at either the PGA Championship or the Masters. He has 12 T5 finishes at majors since 2014, and he is still just 32 years old.