Kentucky Derby Track Trends for Saturday, May 7

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

7 minute read

We're back on the track as the 2022 Kentucky Derby is finally here. Check out the track trends for the horses entering this year's race which can be found below with our other Kentucky Derby betting resources.

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MO DONEGAL (10-1)

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr. (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher (Kentucky Derby Wins: 2)

• Won three of his last four races.
• Top 3 result in five straight races.

Recent Result: 1st at Wood Memorial, Dirt (9 furlongs finished at 1:47.96)

HAPPY JACK (30-1)

Jockey: Rafael Bejarano (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Doug O'Neill (Kentucky Derby Wins: 2)

• Two straight third-place finishes.
• No Top 2 results in last three races that were at least 8 furlongs

Recent Result: 3rd at Santa Anita Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs)

EPICENTER (7-2)

Jockey: Joel Rosario (Kentucky Derby Wins: 1)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Won four of his last five races
• Top 3 result in five straight races.

Recent Result: 1st at Louisiana Derby, Dirt (9.5 furlongs finished at 1:54.38)

SUMMER IS TOMORROW (30-1)

Jockey: Mickael Barzalona (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Bhupat Seemar (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Top 3 result in four of his last six races.
• Only race at least 8 furlongs saw a second-place finish.

Recent Result: 2nd at UAE Derby, Dirt (9.5 furlongs)

SMILE HAPPY (20-1)

Jockey: Corey Lanerie (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Ken McPeek (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Top 3 result in four straight races.
• Won two of last four races.

Recent Result: 2nd at Blue Grass Stakes, Dirt (9 furlongs)

MESSIER (8-1)

Jockey: John Velazquez (Kentucky Derby Wins: 3)
Trainer: Tim Yakteen (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Top 3 result in six straight races.
• Won two straight races after finishing in second-place the race prior.

Recent Result: 2nd at Santa Anita Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs)

CROWN PRIDE (20-1)

Jockey: Christophe Lemaire (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Koichi Shintani (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Won three of last four races.
• Only career finish outside the Top 3 was his only race under at least eight furlongs.

Recent Result: 1st at UAE Derby, Dirt (9.5 furlongs finished at 1:59.76)

CHARGE IT (20-1)

Jockey: Lusi Saez (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher (Kentucky Derby Wins: 3)

• Second-place finish in two of his last three races.
• Top 2 result in three straight races.

Recent Result: 2nd at Florida Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs)

TIZ THE BOMB (30-1)

Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr. (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Ken McPeek (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Won five of his last seven races.
• Only one Top 3 result in his last three races when racing on a dirt track.

Recent Result: 1st at Jeff Ruby Steaks, Synthetic (9 furlongs finished at 1:48.60)

ZANDON (3-1)

Jockey: Flavien Prat (Kentucky Derby Wins: 1)
Trainer: Chad Brown (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Top 3 result in four straight races when racing on a dirt track.

Recent Result: 1st at Blue Grass Stakes, Dirt (9 furlongs finished at 1:50.35)

PIONEER OF MEDINA (30-1)

Jockey: Joe Bravo (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher (Kentucky Derby Wins: 3)

• Third-place or worse in three of his last five races.
• Top 3 in five of his last six races.
• Won two of last four races when racing on a dirt track.

Recent Result: 3rd at Louisiana Derby, Dirt (9.5 furlongs)

TAIBA (12-1)

Jockey: Mike Smith (Kentucky Derby Wins: 2)
Trainer: Tim Yakteen (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Won his only two races.

Recent Result: 1st at Santa Anita Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs finished at 1:48.67)

SIMPLIFICATION (20-1)

Jockey: Jose Ortiz (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Antonio Sano (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Three straight wins after failing to win the race prior.
• Top 3 result in six straight races.
• Only finish outside the Top 3 was raced on a synthetic track.

Recent Result: 3rd at Florida Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs)

BARBER ROAD (30-1)

Jockey: Reylu Gutierrez (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: John Ortiz (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Second-place result in four of his last five races.
• Top 3 result in seven straight races.

Recent Result: 2nd at Arkansas Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs)

WHITE ABARRIO (10-1)

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Saffie Joseph, Jr. (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Won four of his last five races.
• Top 3 result in five straight races.

Recent Result: 1st at Florida Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs finished at 1:50.64)

CYBERKNIFE (20-1)

Jockey: Florent Geroux (Kentucky Derby Wins: 1)
Trainer: Brad Cox (Kentucky Derby Wins: 1)

• Won three of his last four races.
• Top 3 result in five of his last six races.

Recent Result: 1st at Arkansas Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs finished at 1:50.42)

CLASSIC CAUSEWAY (30-1)

Jockey: Julien Leparoux (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Brian Lynch (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)

• Won two of his last three races
• Finished 11th last race.
• Top 3 result in five of his last six races.

Recent Result: 11th at Florida Derby, Dirt (9 furlongs)

TAWNY PORT (30-1)

Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr. (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Brad Cox (Kentucky Derby Wins: 1)

• Won last dirt track race, but finished in fifth-place the dirt track race prior.
• Top 3 result in four of his last five races.
• Won three of his last five races, only one of those wins was on a dirt track race however.
• No wins when racing at 9 furlongs or more.

Recent Result: 1st at Lexington Stakes, Dirt (8.5 furlongs finished at 1:45.24)

ZOZOS (20-1)

Jockey: Manny Franco (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: Brad Cox (Kentucky Derby Wins: 1)

• Won three of his last four races.

Recent Result: 1st at Louisiana Derby, Dirt (9.5 furlongs finished at 1:54.38)

ETHEREAL ROAD (30-1)

Jockey: Luis Contreras (Kentucky Derby Wins: 0)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas (Kentucky Derby Wins: 4)

• No Top 3 results in four of his last seven races, including two straight.
• One win in last seven races.

Recent Result: 4th at Lexington Stakes, Dirt (8.5 furlongs)

Betting on the Kentucky Derby

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers