MLB Home Run Props and Best Bets for Today, June 17th
These are the three best home run props for today, June 17, 2025:
- Brandon Lowe (+375)
- Yainer Diaz (+400)
- Addison Barger (+420)
We have a juicy full slate of 15 MLB games ready to go this Tuesday, where lots of dingers may be on the horizon as there is generally formidable weather throughout the league.
Keep reading for more details about Tuesday's MLB home run prop bets.
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Be sure to check out our comprehensive MLB home run odds.
Home Runs Odds
Brandon Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+375 | bet365) vs. (SP: Dean Kremer)
First up is a guy who has been absolutely obliterating the baseball as of late: Brandon Lowe.
Lowe is in the midst of a five-game hitting streak, where he has gone 10-for-22 in that span with two extra-base hits, including a dinger in last night’s win. In addition to Lowe’s hot streak, he gets his advantageous split against a right-hander. Lowe has 12 of his 14 home runs against righties, where he has a 146 wRC+ and is slugging .520.
On the mound, he’ll face off against Dean Kremer, who is allowing 1.36 HR/9 and has historically given up fly balls and hard hits at a high rate.
It’s been fun to bet dingers at George Steinbrenner field, and hopefully, that fun can continue tonight as the weather forecasts are expecting a hot 88 degrees with 7-8 mph winds blowing out in Tampa Bay.
Yainer Diaz to Hit a Home Run (+400 | BetMGM) vs. (SP: JP Sears)
Similar to the Rays, it has been fun to bet home runs on Oakland A’s players, who, on their own, are an entertaining lineup, but that is especially compounded at Sutter Health Park.
But instead of going with an Athletic, we’re going to go with someone on the opposition: Yainer Diaz.
In a limited sample size, Diaz has hit three home runs in just 32 at-bats against left-handers. Diaz draws an extra juicy matchup tonight against JP Sears, who has relinquished 11 home runs in his last seven starts and has allowed the fourth most home runs this season with 15.
Over the years, Sears has flashed high-end potential but has regressed significantly in 2025. Via Baseball Savant, Sears is in the 18th percentile with his fastball velocity, 23rd in average exit velocity, and 13th in whiff percentage.
Addison Barger to Hit a Home Run (+420 | FanDuel) vs. (SP: Brandon Pfaadt)
Lastly, we have one of Toronto’s biggest revelations of the 2025 season, Addison Barger. Prior to this season, Barger had a brief stint with Toronto in 2024, but the Blue Jays have enjoyed his steady production against right-handed pitching.
Barger has all seven of his home runs against righties, where he is slugging just under .600 against those same matchups.
On the mound, the Diamondbacks are trotting out Brandon Pfaadt, one of baseball’s most susceptible to the long ball. Pfaadt has allowed a staggering 1.79 HR/9 and is tied for 6th in most home runs allowed (14).
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