MLB Home Run Props and Best Bets for Today, May 26th
Here are the three MLB home run best bets for today, Monday, May 26:
- Ketel Marte (+250)
- Bobby Witt Jr. (+525)
- Ty France (+575)
Keep reading for Monday’s MLB home run prop bets.
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Be sure to check out our comprehensive MLB home run odds.
Home Runs Odds
Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+270 | bet365) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (SP: Andrew Heaney)
Ketel Marte’s baseball savant page is populated with blood-red, and for good reason. He has 8 home runs in May, and his underlying statistics indicate that the total could go up quickly. Marte is in the 80th percentile or higher in six categories, including xBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.
Marte also benefits from a favorable matchup against Heaney. In 11 plate appearances, Marte has tallied four hits, two of which have been home runs. The skill set and matchup is there for Marte to go yard.
Bobby Witt Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+525 | bet365) vs. Cincinnati Reds (SP: Nick Martinez)
You know what you are going to get when you face an innings-eater like Martinez. Low-90’s fastballs, soft contact, and if you are the pitcher, hopefully ground balls. However, when you have a sub-25% whiff rate you always increase the risk of a batter taking you yard.
Bobby Witt has a short but successful history against Nick Martinesz. In four at-bats against the Reds pitcher, Witt has hit a double and a home run. We all know what kind of power Witt is capable of generating. Combine it with an innings eater on the mound, and we may see some fireworks from Witt.
Ty France to Hit a Home Run (+575 | bet365) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (SP: Zack Littell)
France only has four home runs on the season, but he is one of the most underrated players currently in the MLB. Not because his ceiling is super high, but because he is viewed as a tertiary or worse offensive force on this Twins team when he may be one of the best.
Ty France has two fewer home runs than expected, indicating that some positive regression may be due. While he has a short history with Littell, France is 2-6 with a homerun and a .413 xBA when facing the Rays’ righty. Thanks to a good matchup and strong performance against the slider/splitter/fastball, France could be one of the Twins going yard today.
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