MLB Edge Plays for Sunday, July 3

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

VI sports betting expert Thom Cunningham breaks down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Sunday, July 3. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for today's games. Also get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!

Updated on 01/15/2025

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EDGE PLAYS TRACKER (40-41-4, -317)

SUNDAY'S EDGE PLAYS

• Brewers-Pirates Over 7.5 (-114) at FanDuel
• Marlins ML (-115) at Caesars
• Rays-Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-110) at Fubo
• Braves-Reds Over 8.5 (-112) at FanDuel
• Angels-Astros Under 9 (-105) at Caesars
• Rockies ML (+105) at UniBet
• White Sox-Giants Over 8 (-110) at DraftKings
• Padres-Dodgers Under 8 (-110) at UniBet

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSWI, ATPT
• Away Pitcher: Brandon Woodruff (6-3, 4.44 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Zach Thompson (3-5, 4.47 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9.3
• Venue O/U Record: 18-19-3

Best Bet: Over 7.5 (-114) at FanDuel

MONEYLINE

• Milwaukee has won eight straight games when facing Pittsburgh after losing the game prior.
• Milwaukee is 5-2 SU last seven games.
• Milwaukee is 6-2 SU last eight road games.
• Milwaukee is 9-2 SU last 11 games when facing Pittsburgh.
• Pittsburgh is 8-17 SU last 25 games.
• Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU last eight home games.

RUN TOTAL

• Milwaukee has gone OVER the total in nine straight games.
• OVER has hit in three straight meetings.
• Milwaukee has gone OVER the total in four of five road games.
• Pittsburgh has gone OVER the total in five straight home games.
• OVER has cashed in four of six meetings when playing in Pittsburgh.

RUN LINE

• Pittsburgh is 10-4 ATS last 14 games.
• Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS last eight home games.
• Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS last six games.
• Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS last seven road games.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals

• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSFL, MASN
• Away Pitcher: Pablo Lopez (5-4, 2.98 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Erick Fedde (5-5, 4.40)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9.1
• Venue O/U Record: 19-24

Best Bet: Marlins ML (-115) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

• Miami has won eight straight when facing a team with a losing record.
• Miami is 4-2 SU last six games.
• Miami is 5-0 SU last five games when playing in Washington, D.C.
• Washington is 6-13 SU last 19 games.
• Washington is 3-11 SU last 14 home games.
• Washington has lost 15 of 16 divisional games.

RUN TOTAL

• Washington has gone UNDER the total in eight of nine divisional games played during the daytime.
• Miami has gone UNDER in four of six road games.
• UNDER has hit in four of five meetings when playing in Washington.
• Washington has gone UNDER the total in seven of 10 games.

RUN LINE

• Miami is 3-6 ATS last nine games.
• Miami is 2-4 ATS last six road games.
• Washington is 1-4 ATS last five games.
• Washington is 1-4 ATS last five games when facing Miami.

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays

• Time: 1:37 p.m. ET
• Network(s): SUN, RSN, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Shane Baz (0-1, 3.38 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Ross Stripling (4-2, 3.12 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9.5
• Venue O/U Record: 24-18

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-110) at Fubo

MONEYLINE

• Toronto has won 12 of 13 home games when playing during the daytime after losing at home the game prior.
• Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU last six games.
• Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU last 10 road games.

RUN TOTAL

• Tampa Bay has gone OVER in four of six games.
• Tampa Bay has gone OVER in four of six road games.
• Toronto has gone OVER the total in 17 of 20 home games.
• Toronto has gone OVER the total in 12 of 14 games.
• OVER has cashed in three straight meetings.

RUN LINE

• Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS last six games.
• Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS last seven road games.
• Toronto is 2-4 ATS last six games.
• Toronto is 4-9 ATS last 13 home games.

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds

• Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSSE, BSOH
• Away Pitcher: Charlie Morton (4-3, 4.73 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Luis Castillo (3-4, 3.32 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 11.3
• Venue O/U Record: 22-14-1

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-112) at FanDuel

MONEYLINE

• Cincinnati is 0-10 SU last 10 home games.
• Atlanta is 4-1 SU last five games.
• Atlanta is 5-1 SU last six road games.
• Cincinnati is 1-4 SU last five games.

RUN TOTAL

• UNDER has hit in seven of eight meetings in Cincinnati.
• Atlanta has gone OVER the total in eight of 12 road games.
• Cincinnati has gone OVER in four of its last five home games.
• Cincinnati has gone OVER in eight of 11 games.

RUN LINE

• Atlanta is 4-1 ATS last five games.
• Atlanta is 5-1 ATS last six road games.
• Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS last seven games when facing Atlanta.
• Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS last five games.
• Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS last five home games.

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins

• Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSNO, MASN2
• Away Pitcher: Tyler Wells (6-4, 3.23 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Devin Smeltzer (4-1, 2.86 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.2
• Venue O/U Record: 18-21-3

Best Bet: Under 9 (-105) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

• Baltimore has lost 12 straight games when playing in Minnesota.
• Minnesota is 6-3 SU last nine games.
• Minnesota is 5-1 SU last six home games.
• Minnesota is 20-4 SU last 24 games when Baltimore.
• Baltimore is 1-5 SU last six road games.

RUN TOTAL

• Baltimore has gone UNDER in 10 of 12 games.
• Baltimore has gone UNDER in seven of nine road games.
• Minnesota has gone UNDER in five of six games.
• Baltimore has gone UNDER the total in six straight games when facing the AL Central.
• UNDER has cashed in three straight meetings.

RUN LINE

• Baltimore is 14-3 ATS last 17 games.
• Baltimore is 10-2 ATS last 12 road games.
• Baltimore is 3-6 ATS last nine games when playing in Minnesota
• Minnesota is 2-4 ATS last six games.
• Minnesota is 2-7 ATS last nine home games.
• Minnesota is 1-9 ATS last 10 games when facing Baltimore.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

• Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): ATRM, BSAZ
• Away Pitcher: Zac Gallen (4-2, 3.32 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Chad Kuhl (5-5, 3.49 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 11.4
• Venue O/U Record: 22-20-1

Best Bet: Rockies ML (+105) at UniBet

MONEYLINE

• Arizona has lost 11 straight divisional games after losing on the road the game prior.
• Colorado is 6-2 SU last eight home games.
• Arizona is 3-7 SU last 10 games.
• Arizona is 1-4 SU last five road games.
• Arizona is 2-8 SU last 10 games when playing in Denver.

RUN TOTAL

• Colorado has gone UNDER the total in five straight divisional games played during the daytime.
• Arizona has gone OVER in five of six games.
• Arizona has gone OVER in four of six road games.
• OVER has cashed in five of seven meetings played in Denver.

RUN LINE

• Colorado is 7-3 ATS last 10 home games when facing Arizona.
• Colorado is 17-8 ATS last 24 games.
• Colorado is 6-2 ATS last eight home games.

Chicago White Sox at San Francisco Giants

• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Network(s): NSCH, CSCH, NSBA, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Lucas Giolito (4-4, 5.19 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: John Brebbia (3-1, 2.70 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.9
• Venue O/U Record: 20-17-3

Best Bet: Over 8 (-110) at DraftKings

MONEYLINE

• Chicago has won eight straight road games when facing the NL.
• Chicago is 6-1 SU last seven games when playing in San Francisco.
• San Francisco is 1-4 SU last five home games.
• Chicago is 4-2 SU last six games.
• Chicago is 9-4 SU last 13 road games.

RUN TOTAL

• Chicago has gone OVER the total in four straight games when facing the NL during the daytime.
• OVER has hit in seven of 10 meetings.
• Chicago has gone UNDER the total in seven of nine games.

RUN LINE

• San Francisco is 0-5 ATS last five games.
• San Francisco is 1-4 ATS last five games when facing Chicago.
• Chicago is 4-1 ATS last five games.
• Chicago is 6-1 ATS last seven road games.
• Chicago has covered the run line in four straight meetings.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSSD, SNLA, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Mackenzie Gore (4-3, 3.34 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (5-2, 2.94 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
• Venue O/U Record: 17-15-3

Best Bet: Under 8 (-110) at UniBet

MONEYLINE

• Los Angeles has won 10 straight divisional home games.
• Los Angeles is 4-1 SU last five games.
• Los Angeles is 5-0 SU last five home games when facing San Diego.
• Los Angeles is 14-1 SU last 15 games when facing San Diego.
• San Diego is 1-6 SU last seven games.
• San Diego is 1-7 SU last eight road games.

RUN TOTAL

• Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in four of five divisional games played during the daytime.
• Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in six of nine games.
• UNDER has hit in four of six meetings.
• San Diego has gone UNDER in five of seven road games.

RUN LINE

• San Diego is 1-6 ATS last seven games.
• San Diego is 1-7 ATS last eight road games.
• Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS last five games.
• Los Angeles is 7-1 ATS last eight games when facing San Diego.

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers