New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Picks, Predictions, Odds

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Analysis

The Mets and the Braves will square off at Truist Park for the first of a three-game set on Monday, July 11, 2022.

New York leads the National League East with a record of 53-33, despite yielding a 25-18 record on the road so far this season. The Braves are 1.5 games back in the National League East standings with records of 52-35 overall and 30-18 at home on the year.

Updated on 12/23/2024

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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Prediction

The New York Mets enter this matchup atop the NL East standings with a one and half-game lead over the second place Atlanta Braves. The Mets went 2-2 SU in their most recent series against the Marlins and have won six of their last 10 games. New York had a double-digit lead in this division not too long ago but have lost quite a bit of ground over the past month or so. The offense has been solid throughout the season, averaging 4.75 runs per game (4th). The Mets bullpen haven't been quite as good, but still have a respectable ERA of 3.76 (9th). The right-hander Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.26 ERA) will make his second start back from injury Monday. Scherzer dominated in his return against Cincinnati, striking out 11 batters in 6.0 innings while allowing just two hits and zero runs.  

The Atlanta Braves are currently second in the NL East standings, one and a half games behind the first-place New York Mets. The Braves swept the Nationals in their most recent three-game series and have won eight of their last 10 games. After a slow start to the season, the Braves have been one of the best teams in the league over the past month and it looks like they may have finally figured things out. Atlanta's offense is playing great, averaging 4.78 runs per game (3rd). The bullpen has been just as good with a team ERA of 3.57 (5th). Braves ACE Max Fried (9-2) is scheduled to start Monday. Fried has been pitching lights out with an ERA of 2.52 in 17 games.  

If you like a great pitching matchup, this is the game for you. Fried and Scherzer are two of the best in the league and should provide a low scoring game. I’m not confident in picking a side here, so will be playing this pitching matchup and taking the under.  

Score Prediction: Braves 4, Mets 3
Best Bet: Under 7.5 Runs

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Odds

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Resources

• Date: Monday, July 11, 2022
• Matchup: NL East vs. NL East
• Venue: Truist Park
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Time-TV: 7:20 p.m. ET – FS1

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves – Current Form

The Mets won against the Reds last Wednesday with 2-1 and then split the series with the Marlins last Sunday. The Marlins were unable to score a single run against the New York Mets on Thursday, which was New York’s best result in the last two series. Their best performance was in the first contest of a four-game series, on Thursday, when New York routed the Miami Marlins by posting 10 runs. The Braves have played excellent recently, highlighted by Atlanta posting back-to-back series victories over the Cardinals and the Nationals squads, resulting in a solid 6-1 record across that window. In the third contest against the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday, the Atlanta Braves were in their best form in the last seven games, not allowing St. Louis Cardinals to score one single run. The first of three matches on Friday marked an 12-run effort by Atlanta against the Washington Nationals, which was their best performance this week.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves – Pitching Matchup

New York: Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.26 ERA)

The Mets’ right-hander Max Scherzer owns a 5-1 record and 2.26 ERA in his eighth start of the season. Scherzer also posted a 0.88 WHIP, while striking out 70 and walking 11 batters in 55.2 innings this season. In his most recent start against the Cincinnati Reds, Scherzer received a no-decision, as New York’s right-hander had two hits and 11 strikeouts during the Mets’ 1-0 road loss on July 5, 2022. Scherzer is 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA across this season’s five starts on the road, which includes five walks, 41 strikeouts, and a 0.90 WHIP over 30 innings of action.

Atlanta: Max Fried (9-2, 2.52 ERA)

Atlanta ace Max Fried toes the rubber for his 17th start of the season as he looks to improve on a 9-2 mark and 2.52 ERA. The left-hander has put together a 1.02 WHIP to go along with 100 strikeouts and 17 walks in 107.1 innings of work. Fried grabbed the win in his last start, which came at home against the St. Louis Cardinals on July 6, 2022. He threw five hits with one walk and four strikeouts during the six innings in an eventual 3-0 Braves win. In 11 home starts this season, Fried has compiled a 5-2 record in 67.2 innings, while striking out 66, walking 13 batters, and putting together a 2.66 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves – Series History

Atlanta had a very solid 2021 season in its head-to-head encounters, going 10-9 overall. In the current season, the series is split with both teams winning two wins out of four games.