Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Picks, Predictions, Odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies and the St. Louis Cardinals play the fourth of a four-game series on Monday, July 11, 2022 at the Busch Stadium.

Philadelphia is sitting in the third place of the National League East standings at 46-40, while owning a 22-19 record away from Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are also seven games behind the New York Mets for first place in the division. The Cardinals enter Monday’s matchup positioned second in the National League Central standings with records of 46-42 overall and 25-18 at home, which trails the division leading Brewers by 2.5 games.

Updated on 12/23/2024

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Prediction

Philadelphia enters this matchup third in the NL East standings, 7.0 games behind the New York Mets for first place. The Phillies have gone 2-1 SU against the Cardinals in this series and have won seven of their last 10 games. Philadelphia’s bullpen has been fantastic in this series, shutting out the Cardinals in games one and two and giving up just four runs in Sunday’s loss. The offense has been a bit slow, scoring two runs in game one, one in game two, and three in game four. This is well below their season average of 4.75 runs per game (T-4th). Right-handed pitcher Aaron Nola (5-6, 3.15 ERA) is expected to take the mound for the Phillies Monday.  

St. Louis is currently second in the NL Central, two and a half games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for first place. The Cardinals have won just one of three games in this series and have lost seven of their last 10 games. The offense has really struggled as of late, with three total runs scored in this series and averaging an atrocious 1.8 runs per game over their last 10. This is well below their season average of 4.47 runs per game. St. Louis’ bullpen has been much better over that stretch, holding opponents to 3.9 runs per game. The right-hander Miles Mikolas (5-7, 2.72 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Cardinals Monday.  

The Phillies have won four of their last six games against the Cardinals. I would normally take the Cardinals in this matchup with Mikolas taking the mound, but with how poorly their offense has been I like the Phillies to take Monday’s matchup. Nola has not pitched less than seven innings in his last six starts and should see success against the Cardinals. Until St. Louis can turn their offense around it’s tough to back them. Backing the Phillies moneyline here. 

Best Bet: Phillies 5, Cardinals 3
Score Prediction: Phillies ML

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Resources

• Date: Monday, July 11, 2022
• Matchup: NL East vs. NL Central
• Venue: Busch Stadium
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Time-TV: 7:15 p.m. ET – MLB.tv

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals – Current Form

The Phillies were tripped up by the Atlanta Braves last Thursday, but grabbed one of three games last Thursday against the Nationals. Their best performance was on Tuesday, when they limited the Nationals to scoring no runs in the first contest of a three-game series. The third of three matches on Thursday marked an 14-run effort by Philadelphia against the Atlanta Braves, which was their best performance this week. The Cardinals won against the Marlins last Wednesday with 2-1, only to lose to the Braves last Thursday. St. Louis didn’t allow the Marlins any runs on Monday in the first of three contests. The first of three matches on Monday marked a nine-run effort by St. Louis against the Miami Marlins, which was their best performance this week.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals – Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia: Aaron Nola (5-6, 3.15 ERA)

Aaron Nola will make his 17th start of the season for Philadelphia, who’s hoping to find some traction after posting a 5-6 record and 3.15 ERA thus far, while tallying a 0.93 WHIP, 15 walks, and 120 strikeouts across 111.1 innings of action. The 29-year-old right-hander couldn’t lift the Phillies to a home win over the Washington Nationals on July 6, 2022. In his losing start, Nola  gave up three runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and one walk in the 2-3 defeat. Nola is 2-4 with a 2.13 ERA across this season’s eight starts on the road, which includes seven walks, 61 strikeouts, and a 0.98 WHIP over 55 innings of action.

St. Louis: Miles Mikolas (5-7, 2.72 ERA)

Miles Mikolas will make his 17th start of the season for St. Louis, who’s hoping to find some traction after posting a 5-7 record and 2.72 ERA thus far, while tallying a 0.99 WHIP, 22 walks, and 83 strikeouts across 106 innings of action. Mikolas lost his most recent start against the Atlanta Braves, as St. Louis’s right-hander surrendered three runs on five hits, one walk, and four strikeouts during the Cardinals’ 3-0 road loss on July 6, 2022. Mikolas is 2-2 with a 2.60 ERA across 15 home starts this season, which includes nine walks, 42 strikeouts, and a 0.86 WHIP over 52 innings of action.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals – Series History

During the 2021 campaign, Philadelphia captured the regular season series 4-3. Philadelphia has scooped up victories in four of the six encounters between the pair.