San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Picks, Predictions, Odds

The San Diego Padres will travel to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers for game-one of the NLDS. First pitch is scheduled for 9:37 PM ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California and can be viewed on FS1.  

Updated on 11/21/2024

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SAN DIEGO PADRES vs. LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PREDICTION

The Padres won a three-game series against the Mets over the weekend to advance to the NLDS. San Diego’s offense came alive against some exceptionally good pitchers with seven runs scored in game-one, three in game-two, and six runs scored in their game-three win on Saturday. The bullpen struggled in game-two, allowing seven runs, but allowed just one run combined in games one and three. San Diego’s bullpen has pitched well throughout the season and if their offense can continue the success they had against the Mets, this could be a dangerous ball club. The right-hander Mike Clevinger (7-7, 4.33 ERA) is expected to take the mound game-one.  

The Los Angeles Dodgers finished the regular season with the best record in baseball and champions of the NL West division. Los Angeles capped things off by winning 13 of their last 20 games. The offense ranks atop the league in all major categories and feels like they can score whenever they want to. The bullpen has also played extremely well and opposing offenses have not found much success against them this season. The Dogers have not named a starter for Tuesday, but it will either be left-handed pitcher Clayton Kershaw (12-3, 2.28 ERA) or left-hander Julio Urias (17-7, 2.16 ERA).  

This should be a competitive series, but I think the Dodgers handle business fairly easy in game-one. Whoever the Dodgers send to the mound should give the Padres a tough time and Los Angeles has dominated San Diego as of late, winning 14 of the last 16 matchups. I also like the total to go over as I think the Dodgers could very well cover on their own. Backing the Dodgers run line and the over here in game-one. 

Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 3
Best Bet: Over 6.5 (-110)

SAN DIEGO PADRES vs. LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING ODDS

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SAN DIEGO PADRES vs. LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Tuesday, October 11, 2022
• Matchup: NL West
• Venue: Dodger Stadium
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• Time-TV: 9:37 p.m. ET – FS1
• Expert Picks

SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING ANALYSIS

San Diego comes into this matchup 91-74 SU and 74-91 ATS. San Diego is 4-2 SU in their last six games and 1-4 SU in their last five games against the Dodgers. The total has gone over in five of their last six games and four of their last five on the road. The Padres are 2-14 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against the Dodgers.  

The Padres offense looked great against the Mets over the weekend and have really improved since the start of the second half of the season. Throughout the season San Diego had a batting average of .241 (16th), on base percentage of .318 (8th), slugging percentage of .382 (22nd) and scored 705 runs (13th). The right-fielder Juan Soto came up huge in the Wild Card round, going 4-12 with two RBIs. The left fielder Jurickson Profar also came up clutch, going 3-12 with one home run and four RBIs.  

San Diego’s bullpen looked dominant in games one and three against the Mets thanks to fantastic starts by Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove. As a team this season they allowed opponents a batting average of .232 (9th), had a WHIP of 1.20 (9th), and a team ERA of 3.81 (11th). Right-handed pitcher Clevinger is scheduled to start game-one. Clevinger went 7-7 SU this season with an ERA of 4.33 and gave up 102 hits, 55 earned runs, and struck out 91 batters in 114.1 innings of work. Clevinger struggled in all three of his outings against the Dodgers, giving up a combined 16 hits and 14 runs in 13.0 innings.  

LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Los Angeles finished the regular season 111-51 SU and 97-65 ATS. The Dodgers are 13-7 SU over their last 20 games and 14-2 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against the Padres. The total has gone under in eight of their last 10 games. Following this trend, the total has also gone under in four of their last five home games.  

The Dodgers offense ranks as one of the best in the league this season. As a team they have a batting average of .257 (4th), on base percentage of .333 (1st), slugging percentage of .442 (2nd) and have scored 847 runs (1st). The first baseman Freddie Freeman is having an excellent first year as a Dodger with a batting average of .325 (199-612), 21 home runs, and 100 RBIs. Right fielder Mookie Betts has made an impact on this offense as well with a batting average of .269 (154-572), 35 home runs, and 82 RBIs. 

The Dodgers bullpen has been very impressive this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .209 (1st), have a WHIP of 1.05 (1st), and team ERA of 2.80 (1st). Either Kershaw or Urias will get the start on Tuesday. Kershaw went 12-3 with an ERA of 2.28 while Urias went 17-7 with an ERA of 2.16 in the regular season. Either one will be a tough matchup for the Padres as both pitched very well against San Diego throughout the season.  

KEY PLAYERS

• SND: Manny Machado - 3B (Last Game: 2-5, 2B, RBI)
• SND: Juan Soto - RF (Last Game: 2-4, 2 RBI)
• LAD: Mookie Betts - CF (-)
• LAD: Freddie Freeman - 1B (-)

PROBABLE PITCHERS

• SND: Mike Clevinger - RHP (-)
• LAD: TBD