76ers vs Knicks Game 1 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

76ers vs Knicks Game 1 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

The 2024 NBA Playoffs begin with a jam packed 4-game slate this Saturday -- and the third matchup of the weekend we'll preview is 76ers vs Knicks Game 1, which is scheduled for 6:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The 76ers are 2.5-point underdogs on the spread in Saturday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 208 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about 76ers vs Knicks -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Saturday, April 20. For more basketball action, check out our NBA odds.

76ers vs Knicks Odds

PHI @ NY Odds

Maximize your NBA action with our DraftKings promo code.

76ers vs Knicks Picks & Prediction

It wasn’t pretty, but the 76ers managed to escape with a 1-point victory over the Heat in the first round of the Play-In Tournament on Wednesday night. So now they’ll face the second-seeded Knicks in the opening round of the playoffs, and the oddsmakers opened the series market with Philadelphia (-112) tagged as a narrow favorite over the 2-seed in the East, despite New York being favored by three points on the spread in Saturday’s contest.

As ugly as their latest win over Miami was though, I still believe the oddsmakers have the right team favored in this series. Take nothing away from what New York has accomplished. The Knicks had a great season, and they have nothing to hang their heads about regardless of the outcome of this series. New York earned the two-seed in the East with a record of 50-32, while ranking 7th in offensive rating and 10th in defensive rating.

Unfortunately for New York, however, Philly isn’t your average seven-seed. This is a Sixers team that played like the best team in the conference when Joel Embiid was healthy and in the lineup during the regular season – and if the reigning MVP manages to stay healthy, they just might have what it takes to finally make a run to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Embiid was sidelined for 43 of 82 games for Philadelphia this season, and the Sixers went in the tank in the absence of the reigning MVP, as they posted a miserable record of 16-27 in those contests – and from January 25 through March 30, they were one of the worst teams in basketball, yielding a record of 10-22 while ranking 22nd in offensive rating and 26th in defensive rating during that stretch.

With that in mind though, Embiid is back in the lineup for the Sixers, and he played pretty well in the closing days of the regular season, scoring 29+ points in four of his five outings since his return to action, and securing 11+ rebounds in three of them – and once Embiid was officially declared active, the Sixers immediately flipped a switch and won eight straight games to close the regular season, while ranking 2nd in the NBA in net rating during that span. 

Which is pretty similar to the product we’ve seen from the current iteration of this team during the brief stints when Embiid has been healthy too, considering Philadelphia has posted a stellar record of 31-8 to go along with a net rating of +10.5 in 39 games with the reigning MVP, which would be the 2nd-best net rating in the entire league if that number persisted, only behind Boston (+11.7).

On a game-to-game basis though, I’m actually looking at the total for my best bet for Game 1 on Saturday. Wednesday’s Play-In Tournament matchup between the Heat and 76ers went to the fourth quarter at a score of 74-69 before both teams combined for 66 points in the final stanza to barely send the game over the total of OU 208 – and that was a matchup between a pair of teams that rank 18th (PHI) and 29th (MIA) in pace, respectively.

Believe it or not, however, this series will likely be played at an even slower pace than the slugfest we saw from Philly in the Play-In, considering the Knicks are the only team in the NBA that plays slower than Miami – with New York ranked 30th in pace at 95.2.

There’s been a lot of noise surrounding the lack of fouls called in the NBA since the All-Star Break – and even more so in the Play-In Tournament, the officials let them play incredibly physical. This series likely won’t be any different. I expect a highly competitive series where points come at an absolute premium. And while ultimately, I trust the Sixers to make more shots when it matters most, the under still strikes me as the best play on a game-by-game basis in a series that has the makings of a rough-and-tumble, old school defensive battle.

Pick: Under 208.5 (-110)

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements leading up to the NBA Finals!

76ers vs Knicks Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Saturday, April 20
Matchup: Atlantic
Venue: Madison Square Garden
Location: New York, NY
Time-TV: ESPN, 6:00 p.m. ET

76ers vs Knicks Betting Stats

2) New York Knicks
(2nd Place, Atlantic)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +3000
  • Odds to Win Conference: +1100
  • Odds to Win Series: +100
  • SU: 50-32
  • ATS: 44-37-1
  • O/U: 37-45
  • PPG: 112.8
  • OPPG: 108.2

7) Philadelphia 76ers
(3rd Place, Atlantic)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +2000
  • Odds to Win Conference: +850
  • Odds to Win Series: -122
  • SU: 47-35
  • ATS: 48-33-1
  • O/U: 35-47
  • PPG: 114.6
  • OPPG: 111.5

NBA Playoffs Betting Resources