Cavaliers vs Magic Game 4 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Cavaliers vs Magic Game 4 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

The 2024 NBA Playoffs continue with a jam packed 4-game slate this Saturday -- and the first matchup of the day we'll preview is Cavaliers vs Magic Game 4, which is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Cavs are 2-point road underdogs on the spread in Saturday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 201.5 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Cavaliers vs Magic Game 4 -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Saturday, April 27.

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Cavaliers vs Magic Odds

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Cavaliers vs Magic Picks & Prediction

After winning the first two matchups of this series at home, the Cavaliers hit the road for the Sunshine State with a commanding 2-0 lead over Orlando on Thursday night – and while many previously wondered if the Magic had what it takes to put a dent in Cleveland’s lead in Game 3, my question is now, can Orlando actually win this series?

In the first two games in Cleveland, Orlando’s offense was absolutely abysmal, as the Magic averaged just 84.5 points on 34% from the field and 24% from 3-point range on the road in Games 1 and 2 – compared to the Cavs averaging 96.5 points on 43% from the field and 29% from 3-point range in those two contests.

In my previews for Games 2 and 3, I noted that some regression could be on the horizon for a Cavs offense that received 76 points from Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Jarett Allen, and Darius Garland on a combined 54% from the field and 39% from 3-point range in Game 1 – and while that did in fact come to fruition in a very minor way in Game 2 (97 down to 96), I still believed there was still “plenty more regression to come” in Game 3.

But, I certainly didn’t expect the Cavs to totally crater like they did on Thursday night…

In the most recent meeting between these teams, Orlando won all four quarters, and they won three of them by margins of 6+ points. The Magic closed the opening frame with a 10-point lead, and Cleveland simply couldn’t recover, as the Cavs went to halftime trailing by a score of 61-45, and instead of cutting the lead down, Orlando managed to build upon its advantage in the second half extensively – cruising to a final score of 121-83 in favor of the Magic in Game 3.

However, the part about the Magic’s latest win that makes me think they may be able to sustain some of their success moving forward is the fact that there was very little 3-point variance involved in the victory. The Magic shot 13-of-37 (35.1%) from beyond the arc in Game 3, which aligns almost perfectly with their 3-point percentage for the season (35.2%).

The free throw margin was also relatively balanced, although it did slightly favor Orlando, as the Magic got to the line for 16 free throw attempts in Game 3, versus 13 for the Cavaliers.

With that in mind though, I still expect a drop off from the Magic’s offense in Game 4. Orlando shot 51.1% from the field in Thursday’s contest, and that simply doesn’t happen very often for a Magic squad that shot 40.5% from the floor during the regular season. On top of that, the Cavaliers are a very strong defensive team, and I trust they will return to the Kia Center for Game 4 with a variety of different looks and adjustments to throw at a relatively mediocre Orlando offense (22nd in offensive rating) after getting embarrassed their last time out.

Will Orlando’s inevitable offensive drop off be steep enough to help Cleveland get back over the hump in Game 4? Maybe. The Cavaliers shot 39% from the field and 24% from 3-point range in Game 3, and those numbers are destined to drift back toward the mean moving forward. But on the other side of that same coin, the Cavs are also shooting just 42% from the field and 27% from 3-point range for the series. So I wouldn’t count on an enormous surge in those numbers in the immediate future.

The Magic single-handedly sent Game 3 over the total (O 199.5) by cruising to 121 points in a blowout victory – making them the first (and only) team in this series to cross the 100-point mark thus far. However, it was clear that the Magic had the win in the bag early, and both teams took their foot off the gas pedal in the second half, which naturally inflated the final point total of Thursday’s contest.

The Cavaliers won Game 1 of the series by a score of 97-83, and then Game 2 was played at a very similar pace with a final score of 96-86 – an average of 181 combined points scored per game through the first two games of the series, and an overall edge of 18+ points in favor of the under in those two contests.

The Magic didn’t hold up their end of the bargain in Game 3, but Cleveland sure did with a third straight scoring output south of 100 points. Granted, it’s far more difficult to operate on the road, but we still aren’t too far removed from the Magic falling short of 90 points in the first two games of this series. Take the under and enjoy the rock fight.

Pick: Under 201.5 (-110)

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Cavaliers vs Magic Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Saturday, April 27
Matchup: Southeast vs Central
Venue: Kia Center
Location: Orlando, FL
Time-TV: TNT, 1:00 p.m. ET

Cavaliers vs Magic Betting Stats

3) Cleveland Cavaliers
(2nd Place, Central)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +5500
  • Odds to Win Conference: +1600
  • Odds to Win Series: -375
  • SU: 48-34
  • ATS: 39-43
  • O/U: 40-41-1
  • PPG: 112.6
  • OPPG: 110.2

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6) Orlando Magic
(1st Place, Southeast)

  • Odds To Win Finals: +32000
  • Odds to Win Conference: +8000
  • Odds to Win Series: +285
  • SU: 47-35
  • ATS: 51-31
  • O/U: 37-44-1
  • PPG: 110.5
  • OPPG: 108.4

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