Mavericks vs Thunder Game 1 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Mavericks vs Thunder Game 1 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

The second round of the NBA Playoffs continues with a solid 2-game slate on Tuesday night -- and the second matchup of the evening we'll preview is Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 1, which is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Mavs are 3.5-point road underdogs on the spread in Tuesday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 217 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals between the Mavericks and Thunder -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Tuesday, May 7.

Mavericks vs Thunder Odds

DAL @ OKC Odds

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Mavericks vs Thunder Picks & Prediction

After splitting the first four matchups (2-2) of their first round playoff series against LAC, the Mavericks closed out the Clippers in emphatic fashion, as Dallas won the final two games of the series by a combined margin of 43 points. So, on the heels of back-to-back impressive efforts, the Mavs now find themselves tagged as surprisingly narrow underdogs against the top-seeded Thunder in the Western Conference Semis.

The Mavericks have all the flashy tools and gadgets on offense. Scoring is rarely an issue for Dallas with the superstar duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving at the helm, as the Mavericks earned the five-seed in the West with a record of 50-32 behind an offense that ranks top-10 in both offensive rating (117.6) and points per game (117.9). However, despite winning the series, those numbers didn’t quite translate to the first round of the playoffs, considering Dallas ranks 8th in team field goal percentage (46.5) and 7th in offensive rating (115.9) among the 16 teams that punched a ticket to the opening postseason round.

There’s no denying the fact the Mavs wield enough firepower to win this series, especially if they continue to somewhat replicate their top-ranked defensive rating (106.1) from the final month of the regular season – and they nearly achieved that feat in the opening round against the Clippers with a defensive rating of 109.5 through six playoff games.

However, let’s not pretend the Mavs had their hands particularly full against LAC in the absence of Kawhi Leonard for most of the previous series, and they still lost two of those games. So I’m not quite ready to pull the trigger on Dallas in Round 2 against a top-seeded Thunder team that ranked top-4 in both offensive rating (119.5) and defensive rating (112.1) during the regular season, and now owns a considerable rest advantage in addition to homecourt advantage after casually sweeping New Orleans (+63 point differential) in the previous round. I'll lay the points with OKC in Game 1.

Pick: Thunder -3.5 (-110)

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Mavericks vs Thunder Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Tuesday, May 7
Matchup: Southwest vs. Northwest
Venue: Paycom Center
Location: Oklahoma City, OK
Time-TV: TNT, 9:30 p.m. ET

Mavericks vs Clippers Betting Stats

1) Oklahoma City Thunder
(1st Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +750
  • Odds to Win Conference: +270
  • Odds to Win Series: -130
  • SU: 57-25
  • ATS: 46-35-1
  • O/U: 45-36-1
  • PPG: 120.1
  • OPPG: 112.7

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5) Dallas Mavericks
(1st Place, Southwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +1100
  • Odds to Win Conference: +370
  • Odds to Win Series: +106
  • SU: 50-32
  • ATS: 48-34
  • O/U: 36-45-1
  • PPG: 117.9
  • OPPG: 115.6

NBA Playoffs Betting Resources