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Featured Last Updated Apr 3 2025, 3:51 PM

NBA: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat Pick & Prediction

Derek Mountain Sports Betting Expert
8 minute read
NBA: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat Pick & Prediction

Updated on 4/3/25

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The Memphis Grizzlies travel to South Beach to try to right the ship against the surging Miami Heat, who are winners of six straight, including a decisive victory at Boston last night.

These teams are heading in opposite directions as the Grizz have lost four straight by an average margin of 12.7 points. In addition, in a shocking move, Memphis elected to fire Taylor Jenkins last week just before the conclusion of the regular season in an attempt to kickstart the team before the postseason.

Please continue reading below on everything you need to know heading into this one, including our pick.

MEM @ MIA Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-3.5 -110 -3 -105 + -2.5 -118 + -3 -110 + -3 -105 + -2.5 -125 + -3.5 -106 + -2.5 -118 -2.5 -118 + -5.5 -108  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+3.5 -110 +3 -115 + +2.5 -102 + +3 -110 + +3 -115 + +2.5 -105 + +3.5 -114 + +2.5 -108 +2.5 -108 + +5.5 -112  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
o225.5 -110 o109.5 -110 + N/A o109 -112 + o109 -110 + o108.5 -120 + o109 -110 + o109.5 -110 o109.5 -110 + o226.5 -112  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
u225.5 -110 u109.5 -110 + N/A u109 -108 + u109 -110 + u108.5 -110 + u109 -110 + u109.5 -118 u109.5 -118 + u226.5 -108  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-162 -190 + -180 + -180 + -178 + -170 + -178 + -195 -195 + -225  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+136 +160 + +145 + +150 + +150 + +135 + +144 + +150 +150 + +185  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-3.5 -110 N/A N/A -2.5 -115 + -1.5 -125 + N/A N/A -2.5 -110 -2.5 -110 + -5.5 -108  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+3.5 -110 N/A N/A +2.5 -105 + +1.5 -105 + N/A N/A +2.5 -118 +2.5 -118 + +5.5 -112  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
o225.5 -110 N/A N/A o117.5 -115 + o116.5 -110 + N/A N/A o115.5 -118 o115.5 -118 + o226.5 -112  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
u225.5 -110 N/A N/A u117.5 -115 + u116.5 -120 + N/A N/A u115.5 -113 u115.5 -113 + u226.5 -108  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-162 N/A N/A -180 + N/A N/A -158 + -165 -165 + -225  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+136 N/A N/A +140 + N/A N/A +128 + +130 +130 + +185  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-3.5 -110 -1 -115 + -1.5 -115 + -1.5 -110 + -1.5 -115 + -1.5 -115 + -1.5 -118 + -1.5 -112 -1.5 -112 + -5.5 -108  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+3.5 -110 +1 -105 + +1.5 -105 + +1.5 -110 + +1.5 -115 + +1.5 -120 + +1.5 -104 + +1.5 -114 +1.5 -114 + +5.5 -112  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
o225.5 -110 o54.5 -110 + N/A o54.5 -112 + o54.5 -115 + o54.5 -120 + o54.5 -115 + o54.5 -124 o54.5 -124 + o226.5 -112  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
u225.5 -110 u54.5 -110 + N/A u54.5 -108 + u54.5 -115 + u54.5 -110 + u54.5 -111 + u54.5 -105 u54.5 -105 + u226.5 -108  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-162 -140 + -160 + -148 + -150 + -150 -162 + -162 -162 + -225  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+136 +120 + +130 + +124 + +120 + +120 +132 + +128 +128 + +185  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-3.5 -110 -1 -120 + N/A -1.5 -112 + -1.5 -115 + -1.5 -115 + -1.5 -110 + -1.5 -114 -1.5 -114 + -5.5 -108  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+3.5 -110 +1 -110 + N/A +1.5 -108 + +1.5 -115 + +1.5 -120 + +1.5 -110 + +1.5 -114 +1.5 -114 + +5.5 -112  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
o225.5 -110 o54 -125 + N/A o54.5 -115 + o54.5 -115 + o54.5 -120 + o54.5 -106 + o54.5 -109 o54.5 -109 + o226.5 -112  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
u225.5 -110 u54 -105 + N/A u54.5 -115 + u54.5 -115 + u54.5 -110 + u54.5 -118 + u54.5 -122 u54.5 -122 + u226.5 -108  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-162 -150 + N/A -154 + N/A N/A -150 + -159 -159 + -225  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+136 +120 + N/A +120 + N/A N/A +122 + +125 +125 + +185  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-3.5 -110 -1 -120 + N/A -2 -105 + -1.5 -110 + -1.5 -115 + -1.5 -110 + -1.5 -113 -1.5 -113 + -5.5 -108  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+3.5 -110 +1 -110 + N/A +2 -115 + +1.5 -120 + +1.5 -120 + +1.5 -110 + +1.5 -115 +1.5 -115 + +5.5 -112  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
o225.5 -110 o59 -125 + N/A o60.5 -105 + N/A o59.5 -115 + o59.5 -122 + o59.5 -108 o59.5 -108 + o226.5 -112  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
u225.5 -110 u59 -105 + N/A u60.5 -125 + N/A u59.5 -115 + u59.5 -104 + u59.5 -124 u59.5 -124 + u226.5 -108  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-162 -150 + N/A -166 + N/A N/A -150 + -152 -152 + -225  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+136 +120 + N/A +130 + N/A N/A +122 + +120 +120 + +185  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-3.5 -110 -0.5 -130 + N/A -1 -112 + -1.5 even + -0.5 -120 + -0.5 -115 + -1.5 -103 -1.5 -103 + -5.5 -108  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+3.5 -110 +0.5 even + N/A +1 -108 + +1.5 -130 + +0.5 -115 + +0.5 -105 + +1.5 -125 +1.5 -125 + +5.5 -112  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
o225.5 -110 o56 -125 + N/A o56.5 -120 + N/A N/A o56.5 -113 + o56.5 -113 o56.5 -113 + o226.5 -112  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
u225.5 -110 u56 -105 + N/A u56.5 -110 + N/A N/A u56.5 -113 + u56.5 -118 u56.5 -118 + u226.5 -108  
Memphis Grizzlies 555 Grizzlies
-162 -145 + N/A -145 + N/A -130 + -130 + -139 -139 + -225  
Miami Heat 556 Heat
+136 +115 + N/A +114 + N/A even + +106 + +110 +110 + +185  

The Grizzlies hit a low point this past Tuesday after blowing a late lead to the Golden State Warriors.

However, despite their recent spiral, I like their chances to bounce back tonight for a few reasons. First, this is a tough situational spot for Miami, which is playing their third game in four days, as well as on a back-to-back, where they were in Boston last night and will be at home tonight.

While the Grizzlies will be motivated by their recent embarrassing loss, don’t be surprised if the Heat are sleepwalking into this one coming off an emotional win.

Second, with a closer look at Memphis’s recent losing skid, it’s against much better competition than the Miami Heat. In each of their four losses, Memphis lost to four of the top six NBA title favorites in the Oklahoma City Thunder, Boston Celtics, Los Angeles Lakers, and Golden State Warriors, where Memphis was really competitive in three of these contests.

And finally, on paper, this is a good matchup for Memphis. These teams squared off two weeks ago, where Memphis took care of business, 125-91. 

Although Miami has shifted around some personnel since then, relying more heavily on the likes of Pelle Larsson, Alec Burks, and Davion Mitchell, Jaren Jackson Jr.’s versatility should be an issue for Miami. JJJ finished with 31 points in their first matchup, while Memphis was dominant on the glass. I expect rookie Kel’el Ware to have his hands full, as Ja Morant should be able to finish around the rim consistently, and Jackson Jr. should play well in this one.

These teams are heading in opposite direction, but don't let that scare you off Memphis. Let's sell high on the Heat and buy low on Memphis here.

PICK: GRIZZLIES -4.5

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Derek Mountain

Derek Mountain works in the Boston area as an SEO Performance Associate for Better Collective. Derek is a recent graduate of the College of the Holy Cross in Worcester, MA where he played football for five years as well as walking on the basketball team his freshman year. Derek has experience writing and editing casino content for nearly four years. More from Derek Mountain
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