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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 6 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 6 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

The second round of the NBA Playoffs continues with one crucial matchup on Thursday night, and it's going to be a doozie, as Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 takes center stage at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The T-Wolves are 2-point favorites on the spread in Thursday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 204.5 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals between the T-Wolves and Nuggets -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Thursday, May 16.

For more basketball action, check out our NBA odds.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Odds

DEN @ MIN Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+3 -112 +1.5 -105 -1.5 +145 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -115 +0.5 +104 +1.5 -114 +1.5 -115 +2 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-3 -108 -1.5 -115 +1.5 -175 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -115 -0.5 -128 -1.5 -112 -1.5 -115 -2 -112  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
o205 -110 o105.5 -105 N/A o105.5 -110 o105.5 -105 o105 -110 o105.5 -120 o105.5 -110 o205 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
u205 -110 u105.5 -115 N/A u105.5 -110 u105.5 -125 u105 -112 u105.5 -109 u105.5 -120 u205 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+120 N/A +115 +124 +115 +114 +116 N/A +108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-142 N/A -140 -148 -150 -140 -148 N/A -126  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+3 -112 -6 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A +1.5 -136 N/A +2 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-3 -108 +6 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.5 +104 N/A -2 -112  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
o205 -110 o101.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A o98.5 -122 N/A o205 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
u205 -110 u101.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A u98.5 -109 N/A u205 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+120 N/A N/A N/A N/A -102 -105 N/A +108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-142 N/A N/A N/A N/A -120 -121 N/A -126  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+3 -112 +1 -110 +3.5 -185 +1 -108 +1.5 -120 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -113 +1.5 -120 +2 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-3 -108 -1 -110 -3.5 +150 -1 -112 -1.5 -110 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -113 -1.5 -110 -2 -112  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
o205 -110 o53 -105 N/A o53.5 -105 N/A o52.5 -113 o52.5 -109 o52.5 -115 o205 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
u205 -110 u53 -115 N/A u53.5 -115 N/A u52.5 -113 u52.5 -120 u52.5 -115 u205 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+120 N/A +115 +114 +110 +110 +102 N/A +108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-142 N/A -140 -135 -140 -134 -129 N/A -126  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+3 -112 +0.5 -115 N/A +0.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -114 +1.5 -125 +0.5 -105 +2 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-3 -108 -0.5 -115 N/A -0.5 -110 -0.5 -120 -0.5 -106 -1.5 -104 -0.5 -120 -2 -112  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
o205 -110 o53 -110 N/A o52.5 -108 N/A o52.5 -113 o53.5 -113 o52.5 -110 o205 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
u205 -110 u53 -120 N/A u52.5 -112 N/A u52.5 -113 u53.5 -118 u52.5 -115 u205 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+120 N/A N/A +102 N/A +102 +112 N/A +108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-142 N/A N/A -122 N/A -124 -141 N/A -126  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+3 -112 +0.5 -120 N/A +0.5 -120 +0.5 -130 +0.5 -114 -1.5 +120 +0.5 -125 +2 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-3 -108 -0.5 -110 N/A -0.5 even -0.5 even -0.5 -106 +1.5 -155 -0.5 -105 -2 -112  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
o205 -110 o50.5 -115 N/A o50.5 -102 N/A o49.5 -122 o49.5 -114 o49.5 -110 o205 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
u205 -110 u50.5 -115 N/A u50.5 -118 N/A u49.5 -104 u49.5 -117 u49.5 -120 u205 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+120 N/A N/A -108 -115 -104 -114 N/A +108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-142 N/A N/A -112 -115 -118 -112 N/A -126  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+3 -112 +0.5 -125 N/A -0.5 -102 -0.5 -105 +0.5 -118 +1.5 -139 -0.5 -105 +2 -108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-3 -108 -0.5 -105 N/A +0.5 -118 +0.5 -125 -0.5 -104 -1.5 +108 +0.5 -125 -2 -112  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
o205 -110 o49.5 -110 N/A o49.5 -102 N/A o49.5 -113 o49.5 -110 o48.5 -120 o205 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
u205 -110 u49.5 -120 N/A u49.5 -118 N/A u49.5 -113 u49.5 -121 u48.5 -105 u205 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 525 Nuggets
+120 N/A N/A -115 N/A -106 even N/A +108  
Minnesota Timberwolves 526 Timberwolves
-142 N/A N/A -105 N/A -114 -127 N/A -126  

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Picks & Prediction

Forgive me for the continuation of this corny bit, but these are Superman references after all, and they are warranted following the Nuggets’ third straight victory, a win in which Nikola Jokic tallied 40 points on 15-of-22 shooting to go along with 13 assists. So, when in Rome…who’s ready for the sequel?

The Timberwolves are a tough matchup of a Denver team that tends to run its offense through the center position. Nikola Jokic is Superman for the Nuggets, and the goal is for him to touch the ball on every single possession. But against Minnesota, however, playing through Jokic oftentimes puts the ball in arm’s length of 4-time Defensive Player of the Year, Rudy Gobert – and while Karl-Anthony Towns isn’t particularly known for lockdown defense, he’s still another big body for Minnesota to throw at Jokic defensively, which may not be an ideal solution for every matchup, but it worked as Kryptonite against the reigning MVP for most of the year, as the Wolves posted a perfect 4-0 record against the defending champs during the regular season, and then jumped out to a 2-0 lead in this series.

Superman isn’t overly concerned with petty crimes like regular season losses though. He only puts on the cape when faced by a foe with the power and willingness to use Kryptonite against him in a meaningful battle, and the villain of this movie was Anthony Edwards in the first two games of this series. 

Edwards erupted for 35 points per game on 28-of-46 shooting (60.9%) for the Timberwolves in Games 1 and 2 of this series in Denver, accounting for roughly 33% of his team’s points, which bought plenty of breathing room for their duo of big men to exploit the weaknesses of the Nuggets’ Kryptonian superhero, as they held Jokic well-below his season averages at 24 points per game on 16-of-38 (40.5%) from the field and 2-of-10 from 3-point range (20%) in a pair of commanding road victories for Minnesota to open the series. But you guys didn’t actually think that’s how this movie was gonna’ go, right?

Of course not, because Nikola Jokic is still Superman in this scenario. He’s the 3-time MVP and the reigning Finals MVP – and and whenever you think you have him exactly where you want him, that’s when you should be most afraid of him throwing on the cape and saving the city. After falling in a quick two-game hole to start the series, Jokic bounced back with 33 points per game on 61% shooting on the way to three straight victories for the Nuggets in Games 3, 4, and 5, while also lifting up the rest of his teammates with averages of 9.7 assists and 9.3 rebounds per game across their latest trio of wins.

However, with all that said, I still don’t think we’ll see this series end with Denver winning a fourth straight in Game 6. From the very beginning, I picked Denver to win this series in seven games, and I still believe that prediction will inevitably come true, although it hasn’t quite played out as I originally imagined. The way I see it, once you get past the notion of the Wolves winning Game 1, there’s plenty of situational and motivation factors that could help explain why the road team won the first four games of this series. But, with both teams back even at 2-2 ahead of Game 5, the home-away splits finally returned to the norm via a home win for Denver in the latest meeting between these teams.

The Nuggets posted records of 33-8 at home and 24-17 on the road this season, while the Wolves went 30-11 at home versus 26-15 on the road -- and while all hope may appear to be lost for Minnesota in the aftermath of three straight losses, superhero movies wouldn't be any fun if the villains went down as easy as Minnesota did the last few games, and I still think the Wolves have one final evil burst in store for their home crowd on Thursday night. They were way too dominant in the first two games of this series to go out like this. I’ll lay the points with Minnesota at home in Game 6, but the play for this series was always Denver in seven.

Pick: Timberwolves -2 (-110)

Click this link for our picks and predictions for all NBA Playoff matchups!

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Thursday, May 16
Matchup: Northwest
Venue: Target Center
Location: Minneapolis, MN
Time-TV: ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Betting Stats

2) Denver Nuggets
(2nd Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +260
  • Odds to Win Conference: -125
  • Odds to Win Series: -500
  • SU: 57-25
  • ATS: 39-43
  • O/U: 35-47
  • PPG: 114.9
  • OPPG: 109.6

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets from VegasInsider Senior Reporter Patrick Everson!

3) Minnesota Timberwolves
(3rd Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +1700
  • Odds to Win Conference: +700
  • Odds to Win Series: +360
  • SU: 56-26
  • ATS: 41-41
  • O/U: 41-40-1
  • PPG: 113.0
  • OPPG: 106.5

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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