Pacers vs Knicks Game 7 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Pacers vs Knicks Game 7 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

The second round of the NBA Playoffs continues with a pair of highly anticipated winner-take-all matchups this Sunday, and the first series finale of the day we'll preview is Pacers vs. Knicks Game 7, which is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

The Knicks are 2-point favorites on the spread in Sunday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 208.5 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals between the Pacers and Knicks -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Sunday, May 19.

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Pacers vs Knicks Odds

IND @ NY Odds

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Pacers vs Knicks Picks & Prediction

Forget the injury report. Throw out all the analytics. The home team has posted a perfect 6-0 record in the first six games of this series, and that’s the main reason why I’m betting on New York in Game 7. The Knicks have the benefit of hosting Sunday’s winner-take-all matchup at Madison Square Garden, and as much as we love to hyper-analyze every single detail in today’s NBA, it feels rather naive to reduce the outcome of the this matchup to whichever team has homecourt advantage in the final bout. 

But, just remember who told you so when Indiana is within striking distance in the fourth quarter of Game 7, and then all of a sudden, Indiana can’t buy a foul call while Jalen Brunson continues to get every ticky tack whistle down the stretch, which leads to Donte DiVincenzo hitting a few threes and Josh Hart doing something weirdly effective in crunch time, and the game is over in a flash. We’ve heard this tune before…

In all seriousness though, homecourt advantage is a critical piece of the puzzle in this series, especially for New York, and the fact that the home team has won all six games is no fluke. These teams play very different brands of basketball, quite frankly, almost the exact opposite. The Pacers rank 1st in scoring (123.3) and 2nd in pace (101.7). The Knicks rank 19th in scoring (112.8) and 30th in pace (95.2). The Pacers rank 27th in points allowed (120.2) and 24th in defensive rating (118). The Knicks rank 2nd in points allowed (108.2) and 10th in defensive rating (113.4).

Any way you slice it, these two teams are pretty much polar opposites, and they are both far more comfortable in a specific type of game-flow that the other actively aims to avoid. The Knicks love a slugfest. They want a slow, physical defensive battle in which they can illegally fight for every offensive rebound and lean on their defense. While on the other side of that same coin, the Pacers prefer to run-and-gun and see who can score the most points the fastest like an NBA All-Star Game. 

So, in a constant back-and-forth struggle to dictate the overall style of play, something had to give in this series, and so far, the fluctuation in the officials’ leniency based on game location appears to be the main factor capable of moving the needle. It’s much easier for the referees to simply “let them play” and call a physical game both ways as opposed to reining in the Knicks’ extraneous contact through foul-calls in front of the home crowd – but it’s much tougher to play like that on the road, especially against a Pacers team that’s always looking to run and push the pace.

Before the playoffs even began, the Knicks were already behind the 8-ball in the injury department in the absence of 3-time All-Star Julius Randle. However, throughout this series, the injuries have really piled up for New York, with key pieces such as OG Anunoby, Mitchell Robinson, and Bojan Bogdanovic also joining Randle on the sidelines. But fortunately, none of it matters against a Pacers team that ranked 24th in defense during the regular season, and ranks 12th out of 16 eligible teams since the start of the postseason.

The Knicks posted a point differential of +43 in their first three home games of this series, winning two of those three contests by nine points or more, and while some of the underlying metrics may suggest that Indiana can (and will) win this game, shooting 51% from the field and 41% from 3-point range on the way to a 3-3 split through six games thus far, don’t take the bait. Game 7 is destined to be the most physical battle of them all, and Indiana simply isn’t built to win a slugfest in a hostile NY environment. The Knicks are +49 in free throw attempts in this series, +17 in offensive rebounds, +2 in turnovers. Everybody will say they got lucky, and it’ll be torture to watch it all unfold. But at least we’ll make some money in the process. Lay the points with New York in Game 7.

Pick: Knicks -2 (-110)

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Pacers vs Knicks Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Sunday, May 19
Matchup: Atlantic vs. Central
Venue: Madison Square Garden
Location: New York, NY
Time-TV: ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET

Pacers vs Knicks Betting Stats

2) New York Knicks
(2nd Place, Atlantic)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +2700
  • Odds to Win Conference: +900
  • Odds to Win Series: -130
  • SU: 50-32
  • ATS: 44-37-1
  • O/U: 37-45
  • PPG: 112.8
  • OPPG: 108.2

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6) Indiana Pacers
(3rd Place, Central)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +5500
  • Odds to Win Conference: +1400
  • Odds to Win Series: +110
  • SU: 47-36
  • ATS: 45-37-1
  • O/U: 42-40
  • PPG: 123.3
  • OPPG: 120.2

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