Warriors vs. Kings Game 5 Best Bets

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

NBA Playoffs Picks
Series Odds | Expert Picks
Free Picks | Prop Picks | Parlay Picks

The opening round of the NBA Playoffs resumes on Wednesday night with a pivotal Game 5 in the Western Conference between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings. Coverage begins from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento at 10:00 p.m. ET on TNT.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PREDICTION

Despite finishing sixth in the Western Conference with a record of 44-38 this season, the Warriors still opened their first round playoff matchup as steep -260 favorites over the third-seeded Kings, which certainly didn’t come as a total surprise given the history of this Golden State’ team, however, Sacramento immediately flipped the script in the waking days of the series, as the Kings rumbled to a pair of home victories in Games 1 and 2, and then hit the road for Game 3 in San Francisco as -175 favorites to advance to the second round.

Even the most adamant Warriors’ bettors could still easily argue that the first two matchups of this series turned out exactly as expected, though. The Warriors posted a miserable record of 10-31 on the road during the regular season, while ranking 23rd in the league in net rating in those contests. So, the fact that they dropped Games 1 and 2 was never an overly worrisome notion regarding their ability to bounce back at home, highlighted by Golden State getting tagged as a six-point favorite in Game 3, despite trailing in the series 2-0 at that point and time.

On the other side of that same coin, though, the Warriors are a completely different team on their homefloor, and their discrepancy in performance based on game location was on full display in Games 3 and 4 as Golden State erupted for 120 PPG on 45% FG and 36% 3P in back-to-back home wins to even the series, and now, to muddy the waters even more,  De’Aaron Fox is listed as doubtful for the Kings due to a finger injury ahead of Game 5.

In the first two matchups of this series, Sacramento managed to escape with a pair of wins despite posting relatively modest clips on offense, highlighted the Kings shooting just 45% FG and 30% 3FG in Games 1 and 2, which was good enough to skate by at home, but well short of the production level needed to contend with Golden State in a hostile environment, as shown in Games 3 and 4.

In the aftermath of Fox’s injury, Golden State appears to have the clear upper-hand in regards to scoring offense as we brace for the homestretch; but, can we really trust the Warriors to win one of their next two road games under any given set of circumstances?

There’s no denying the fact that Fox’s injury is going to be a crucial blow for the Kings moving forward, but with two home games still left on the docket in this series for Sacramento, it may be unwise to hitch your wagon to a Warriors’ squad that’s posted miserable records of 11-32 SU and 11-30-1 ATS on the road this year. Take the points with Sacramento in Game 5.

Score Prediction: Kings 116, Warriors 112
Best Bet: Kings +4 (-110)

Take SAC!

BET NOW!

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING ODDS

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Wednesday, April 26, 2023
Venue: Golden 1 Center
Location: Sacramento, California
TV-Time: TNT, 10:00 p.m. ET
Matchup
Expert Picks

NBA Finals Betting Odds

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING STATS

Golden State Warriors
SU: 46-40
ATS: 41-45
O/U: 48-38
PPG: 118.9
OPPG: 117.1

Sacramento Kings
SU: 50-36
ATS: 48-37-1
O/U: 43-43
PPG: 120.7
OPPG: 118.1

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)

Updated on 01/16/2025

BetMGM Get a 20% Deposit Match up to $1,500 in Sports Bonus!

Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 Claim Now

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING TRENDS

• The Warriors are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.
• The Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against Sacramento.
• The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last eight games.
• Sacramento are 2-5 SU in their last seven games.
• Sacramento are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
• The Warriors are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against Sacramento.
• The Warriors are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 road games.
• The Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games against Sacramento.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson