Warriors vs Kings Picks, Odds | NBA Play-In Tournament Prediction

Warriors vs Kings Picks, Odds | NBA Play-In Tournament Prediction

The 2024 SoFi NBA Play-In Tournament begins with a pair of Western Conference battles on TNT this Tuesday -- and the second matchup of the evening we'll be previewing is Warriors vs. Kings, which is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET.

The Warriors are 3-point road favorites on the spread in Tuesday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 233.5 total points at BetMGM.

Here's everything you need to know about Warriors vs. Kings -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Play-In Tournament on Tuesday, April 16.

Warriors vs Kings Odds

GS @ SAC Odds

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Warriors vs Kings Picks & Prediction

The Kings earned the three-seed in the Western Conference last season behind a fast-paced scoring attack that led the entire league in both points per game and offensive rating. 

Yet, their downfall was always their poor defensive play, as the Kings finished their previous campaign ranked 24th in points allowed and 25th in defensive rating – which is how the Warriors managed to bounce them in the first round of the playoffs despite ranking 11th in net rating.

This time around, however, it was a totally different story for Sacramento. The Kings took a huge step forward on defense this season, as they enter tonight’s contest ranked 14th in defensive rating and 17th in points allowed per game. 

But unfortunately, it hasn’t been enough to account for the enormous leap backward they took on offense – ranked 13th in offensive rating and 9th in scoring – which has resulted in their plummet to the Play-In.

Whereas on the flip side, Golden State has also taken a step back this season – but the story of the Warriors’ season has been more of a rollercoaster as opposed to purely trending downward like Sacramento.

The Warriors appeared to be doomed from the start after posting a frustrating record of 19-24 out of the gate this season, while ranking 11th in offensive rating and 24th in defensive rating during that stretch. 

However, Golden State has transformed into a completely different team since that point, considering the Warriors closed the season with an impressive 27-12 run, while ranking top-7 in the NBA in both offensive and defensive rating during that span.

Any way you slice it, both of these teams have underperformed this season, and I wouldn’t count on either of them to make a deep playoff run. However, the underlying metrics suggest that Golden State has actually been a top-5 team for nearly half of the season now. 

So at the very least, I believe we can expect the Warriors to get by a Sacramento squad that went 4-7 down the stretch and ranks 16th in net rating on the season overall.

Pick: Warriors -3 (-110)

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Warriors vs Kings Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Tuesday, April 16
Matchup: Pacific
Venue: Golden 1 Center
Location: Sacramento, CA
Time-TV: TNT, 10:00 p.m. ET

Warriors vs Kings Betting Stats

9) Sacramento Kings
(4th Place, Pacific)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +24000
  • Odds to Win Conference: +10000
  • SU: 46-36
  • ATS: 42-39-1
  • O/U: 38-44
  • PPG: 116.6
  • OPPG: 114.8

10) Golden State Warriors
(5th Place, Pacific)

  • Odds To Win Finals: +8500
  • Odds to Win Conference: +4500 
  • SU: 46-36
  • ATS: 43-39
  • O/U: 41-40-1
  • PPG: 118.9
  • OPPG: 117.1

NBA Playoffs Betting Resources