NFL Odds Week 1: Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends For Every Game

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

34 minute read

NFL Odds Week 1

NFL odds for Week 1 have been percolating for months now. Thankfully, those numbers are about to come to a boil. Also thankfully, there are a host of intriguing matchups, including the bookends of Detroit Lions-Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills-New York Jets.

Here’s everything you need to know about NFL odds for Week 1: the lines, spreads and betting trends for every game, as multiple oddsmakers provide insights on NFL Week 1 odds and action. Check back regularly for updates.

NFL Odds for Every Game of Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Odds

• Opening point spread: Pick
• Opening moneyline: Bills -140/Jets +120
• Opening total: Over/Under 46 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday, Sept. 11 (ESPN)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: With kickoff looming, Buffalo is a 2.5-point favorite at Caesars Sports. This Monday night matchup opened Bills -1 months ago, and today alone, the line toggled between -2/-1.5/-2.5.

"Right now, we'll need Buffalo, but I don't think it'll be huge one way or another," Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. "Bettors are taking the Jets on the moneyline, but the bigger bets are on the Bills spread."

And it's a very well-bet game.

"Obviously, it's Monday Night Football. Nothing else needs to be said. Aaron Rodgers making his Jets debut. It'll be can't-miss television," Pullen said. "You can't ask for much more from a Monday night game, and the bettors are torn. Handle is gonna be huge. It'll be interesting to see the final numbers."

The total opened at 47.5 and got as low as 44 this afternoon. It's now at 44.5.

"Most of the money is on the Under," Pullen said, noting bettors are following a Week 1 trend in which NFL Unders are 11-4.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET MONDAY: TwinSpires Sportsbook pegged the Bills 1.5-point favorites at the outset, and Buffalo is currently -2. The Bills are taking 60% of spread tickets, while 70% of spread cash is on the Jets.

"We've seen a flurry of money on the New York Jets today. As of now, we need the Bills," TwinSpires director of retail trading Zachary Lucas said.

The total is down to 44.5 from a 47 opener, with 52% of tickets on the Over/64% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Nationally, BetMGM opened this Monday night contest at Bills -1.5. Buffalo has been at -2.5 since Aug. 31, with ticket count and money 2/1 on the Bills.

The total opened at 47.5, bottomed out at 45 (Over -120) Thursday morning and is now 45.5 at BetMGM. The Over is landing 58% of tickets/67% of money.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT. 1: The finale in the NFL odds Week 1 market currently has Buffalo -2.5 against AFC East rival New York. BetMGM Nevada opened this game at pick in mid-May and quickly went to Bills -1.5. The Bills reached -2.5 on Aug. 31.

"It's basically all Bills. Ticket count is 6/1 and money is roughly 6/1," Shelton said, while noting that – like Dallas – the favorite is getting moneyline play too. "It's almost 5/1 money on the Bills. Even sharp play on Bills -120. But that could change next week."

Indeed, with Aaron Rodgers making his regular-season debut for the Jets, it wouldn't be surprising to see a mountain of moneyline tickets and cash show up on New York. BetMGM Nevada's moneyline is currently Bills -135/Jets +115.

The total went from 47 to 47.5, then down to 46.5 about a month ago. It's still 46.5, but Shelton said there's "hardly anything to it" yet at BetMGM's Vegas operations.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: It's the big regular-season debut everyone is waiting for, with Aaron Rodgers and his Jets taking on Josh Allen and the AFC East rival Bills in the Week 1 Monday nighter.

New York acquired four-time NFL MVP Rodgers in an April trade with the Green Bay Packers. The Jets are attracting plenty of attention in Super Bowl and playoff markets. Delivering on those bets would represent a massive jump from the 2022-23 campaign, when New York went 7-10 SU (8-9 ATS).

Buffalo was the Super Bowl favorite much of last season. But the Bills (14-4 SU, 8-9-1 ATS) dropped out in the Divisional Round. Allen & Co. got rocked at home by the Cincinnati Bengals 27-10.

"We took some early Bills money, which we kind of expected, just because some other shops [had] the Bills as a small favorite," Degnon said, noting The SuperBook opened Jets-Bills at pick.

Buffalo went to -1 in mid-May, -1.5 Aug. 2, -2 Aug. 16 and -2.5 this morning. The total topped out at 47.5 Aug. 4, then dipped to 46.5 Sunday. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

In-Progress Games for NFL Week 1

No games currently in progress.

Completed Games for NFL Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Odds

• Opening point spread: Cowboys -3
• Opening moneyline: Cowboys -170/Giants +145
• Opening total: Over/Under 46 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (NBC)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than an hour before kickoff, BetMGM has Dallas at -3.5 (-105). The Cowboys opened -3 way back in May and toggled to -3.5 a couple of times.

It's two-way spread play with a lean toward the underdog Giants, who are taking 52% of tickets/54% of money. Moneyline bettors are also leaning toward the Giants, with 62% of tickets/60% of money on New York.

BetMGM opened the total at 46.5 and now sits at 44.5. There's two-way action here, as well, with the Under taking 54% of tickets/56% of money.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Back in May, BetMGM pegged Dallas a 3-point chalk to open in the NFL odds Week 1 market. The Cowboys spent time at -3.5, at various juice, over the summer, then Monday went to -3 (-115).

That's where the line remains this evening, on two-way action with a lean toward the road fave. Dallas is getting 55% of spread bets/52% of spread money. No real surprise, moneyline action favors New York, at 73% of tickets/69% of cash.

The total opened at 46.5, spent time at 47, returned to 46.5 in mid-August and fell to 45.5 by this morning at BetMGM. The under is drawing 62% of tickets/77% of money.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT. 1: Dallas opened as a 3-point road favorite at BetMGM Nevada for the Sunday Night Football opener. The Cowboys are now at -3.5.

"It's 2/1 tickets and 3/1 money on the Cowboys," Shelton said, while noting moneyline play on the favorite, too. "This is the one favorite they're playing on the moneyline. It's 2/1 tickets and 4/1 money on Dallas."

The total toggled from 46.5 to 47 and back to 46.5. Shelton said that market is seeing very limited action thus far.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: The Sunday Night Football opener features an NFC East clash between two teams that reached the playoffs last year.

Dallas (13-6 SU, 10-8-1 ATS) got to the Divisional Round before bowing out in a 19-12 rock-fight loss to the host San Francisco 49ers.

New York (10-8-1 SU, 14-5ATS) was the NFL's No. 2 spread-covering outfit last season. The Giants got a Wild Card bid and beat Minnesota on the road. But like the Cowboys, the G-Men exited in the Divisional Round, getting blasted at Philadelphia 38-7.

"It feels like the NFL loves this matchup on Sunday Night Football Week 1," Degnon said. "The Cowboys were always going to be the favorite. There was just some discussion at what number, 2.5 or 3. We went with 3, and I'm interested to see where the action comes in, because the Cowboys are always popular among the public.

"But I could also see some love for the home 'dog Giants."

Throughout the summer, The SuperBook toggled between Cowboys -3 and -3.5, at various juice. Dallas is now -3.5 (even). The total went to 46.5 way back on May 12 and hasn't budged since. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Odds

• Opening point spread: Bears -3
• Opening moneyline: Bears -130/Packers +110
• Opening total: Over/Under 45.5 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (FOX)

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Chicago is down to -1 at The SuperBook, after opening -3 months ago and dipping steadily over the past two weeks. However, it's two-way play on the spread.

"A lot of money on both sides of that game. Not a big decision," SuperBook executive director John Murray said. "Sharp players were on the Under. The total has gone from 44.5 to 41."

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET FRIDAY: After getting as low as -1 from a -2.5 opener at BetMGM nationally, the Bears inched up to -1.5 this afternoon. Spread tickets and money are in the 60% range on Chicago.

However, early moneyline bettors are intrigued with Green Bay. Ticket count is 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Packers. BetMGM's moneyline is currently Bears -125/Packers +105, after opening -140/+115.

This afternoon, the total reached its basement of 41.5, after opening at 44. The under is taking 53% of tickets/64% of money at BetMGM.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 3: Chicago is down to a 1-point favorite at BetMGM Nevada, after opening -2.5 and hitting -2 on the way down.

"Major sharp play on the Packers +2.5," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said of action in the sportsbook operator's Las Vegas market. "There are a few more tickets on the Bears, but it's almost 2/1 money in favor of the Packers."

The total is down to 43 from a 44.5 opener.

"Not much going on with this total, but almost all the money we do have is on the Under," Shelton said.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: It's the beginning of the post-Aaron Rodgers era in Green Bay. Last season, the Packers went 8-9 SU and ATS. In Rodgers' final game for Green Bay, the Pack – needing only a win to get to the playoffs – lost to Detroit 20-16 as a 4-point home favorite.

Chicago matched Houston for the NFL's worst SU record at 3-14 (5-11-1 ATS). The Bears won the tiebreaker to get the No. 1 draft pick. But Chicago traded that pick to Carolina, showing faith in QB Justin Fields. That's even after the Bears' 0-10 SU/2-8 ATS nosedive in their last 10 games.

"With the Rodgers era over in Green Bay, the Bears are actually a favorite in this series for once," Degnon said. alluding to Chicago being a 'dog in the last eight meetings vs. Green Bay. "It's tough to say what you're going to get out of Jordan Love right away, but we actually took some action on the Packers +3, as well as on Under 45.5. The Bears played to some high numbers last year, so it'll be interesting to see where this total goes."

Shortly after this matchup opened May 11, The SuperBook went to Bears -2.5 on that early Packers money. On Aug. 21, the number shortened to Bears -2. The total fell to 44.5 in late June, 44 on Aug. 24 and is now 43.5. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Odds

• Opening point spread: Broncos -3.5
• Opening moneyline: Broncos -200/Raiders +170
• Opening total: Over/Under 44 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (CBS)

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Raiders obviously attract plenty of public action from Las Vegas bettors. And in Week 1, even the sharp bettors jumped on board for a bit at The SuperBook.

Denver opened -3 back in May, peaked at -5.5 on Aug. 24, then steadily receded. The Broncos are now at their low point of -3.

"A lot of action on this game. Sharp money pretty steadily on the Raiders. It certainly looks like the Raiders are the sharp side," Murray said. "The public is doing their typical Raiders betting, too, the local flavor. We'll need Denver here."

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Nationally, BetMGM opened the Broncos as 3-point favorites, and that's where Denver sits this afternoon, albeit at -120 juice. In between the mid-May opener and now, the Broncos got as high as -4.5. The number then steadily worked its way to Denver -3 (-120) a couple times, the latest coming this afternoon.

The Broncos are netting 61% of early spread bets, while 65% of early spread money is on the road 'dog Raiders. Early moneyline play favors Las Vegas, with tickets 2/1 and money 3/1. BetMGM opened the moneyline at Broncos -185/Raiders +150 and is now at -175/+145.

The total opened at 44.5 and hit its low point of 43 this afternoon. Tickets and money are in the 3/1 range on the Under.

UPDATE 7 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT 1: Denver opened -3.5 at BetMGM Nevada and got to -4.5 a couple times, most recently on Aug. 24. The Broncos are currently -4.

"It's 2/1 tickets on the Raiders, and money is pretty close, maybe 1.5/1 in favor of the Raiders. Sharp play on Broncos -4," Shelton said, before noting BetMGM's Vegas market is seeing plenty of moneyline support for the hometown team. "They are playing the Raiders on the moneyline, over 10/1 tickets and money."

The total moved from 44.5 to 43.5 to 44, but Shelton said there's hardly anything bet into that market yet.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Year 1 with Russell Wilson under center wasn't what Denver expected, as it went 5-12 SU/7-10 ATS. First-year coach Nathaniel Hackett was fired late in the season, and Sean Payton was hired in February.

Las Vegas (6-11 SU, 8-9 ATS) parted with QB Derek Carr after nine seasons. The Raiders then signed ex-49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo to be the starter. Some key good news for Las Vegas: Star running back Josh Jacobs ended his holdout Aug. 26, signing a one-year worth up to $12 million.

"Denver was bad last year, but I think the expectation is that the Broncos can't be worse, and Sean Payton should make them better," Degnon said. "The Jimmy G era is underway in Vegas and gets a tough ask in Week 1, going on the road.

"It's another game where I think we'll see good action on both sides."

The SuperBook opened Denver a 3.5-point favorite in the NFL odds Week 1 market and got out to Broncos -5.5 briefly on Aug. 24. But within two hours, that number got reeled in to Denver -4.

The total went from 44 to 44.5 back in May, dipped to 43.5 Aug. 24, then inched to 44 this morning. And while The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Odds

• Opening point spread: Chargers -2.5
• Opening moneyline: Chargers -155/Dolphins +135
• Opening total: Over/Under 50.5 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (CBS)

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: At The SuperBook, Murray compared this matchup with the Packers-Bears contest. Los Angeles moved from -2.5 to -3 in mid-August, and the line hasn't budged since.

"Betting is pretty similar to Packers-Bears. A lot of money on both teams," Murray said, "At our shop, the sharper guys are on the Chargers. We need Miami for a little bit."

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Weeks ago, the Chargers moved from -2.5 to -3 at BetMGM nationally. But that's not indicative of where the action is in this NFL odds Week 1 market. Spread tickets and dollars are in the 2/1 range on the short underdog Dolphins.

BetMGM's total opened at 50.5, fell back to 49.5, then climbed to 51 by Aug. 30, with no movement since. Tickets and money are almost 3/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT. 1: Los Angeles opened -2.5 at BetMGM Nevada and is now at -3.

"Tickets are 2/1 on the Chargers, but the money is actually really close, a little bit more on the Chargers," Shelton said.

The total opened at 50, inched to 49.5 and is now at 51.

"Almost all the tickets and money are on the Over," Shelton said.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Miami just hopes to keep rising star QB Tua Tagovailoa upright and concussion-free. Tagovailoa, at one point in the MVP conversation last season, suffered two concussions. The second one kept him out of Weeks 17/18 and the Dolphins' Wild Card game at Buffalo.

Yet Miami nearly pulled the upset, overcoming a 17-0 second-quarter deficit in a 34-31 loss as a 14-point underdog to the Bills. The Dolphins finished 9-9 SU/10-8 ATS.

Los Angeles went 10-8 SU/11-6-1 ATS and also bowed out on Wild Card Weekend. Laying 2 points at Jacksonville, the Chargers lost 31-30 on a final-seconds field goal.

Dolphins-Chargers moved to L.A. -3 at The SuperBook on Aug. 17. The total spent most of the summer at 50 before going to 51 on Aug. 23. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots Odds

• Opening point spread: Eagles -5
• Opening moneyline: Eagles -200/Patriots +170
• Opening total: Over/Under 46 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (CBS)

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than an hour before kickoff, Philadelphia is down to -3.5 (even) at The SuperBook. Back in May, the Eagles opened -5. The line went to Philly -4.5 in mid August and -3.5 in late August.

Over the past week, the number bounced between Eagles -3.5 and -4.

"A lot of sharp guys are on New England in this game. But the public is on Philadelphia," Murray said. "New England is probably our biggest need of the late games."

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The defending NFC champion Eagles opened -4.5 nationally at BetMGM. Philly touched -5 over the summer, slid to -3.5 by late August and has been at -4 since Sunday.

That said, it's all Eagles on the spread, with ticket count 3/1-plus and money 8/1.

The total is down to 44.5 from a 46.5 opener, with BetMGM's latest move coming this afternoon, from 45 to 44.5. Ticket count is 4/1 and money 9/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT. 1: BetMGM Nevada opened Philly a 5-point road fave and is now at -3.5, going from -4.5 to -3.5 on Aug. 30.

"Even though the line has come down, almost all the money is on the Eagles, running almost 10/1. Ticket count is almost 4/1 Eagles," Shelton said.

The total went from 46 to 45, but Shelton said that market is getting very little attention so far.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Philadelphia nearly nabbed a Super Bowl title last season, losing to Kansas City 38-35 on a late-seconds field goal. That brought a sour end to a superb 16-4 SU year (10-10 ATS).

New England was 8-9 SU/7-9-1 ATS in 2022-23. The Pats lost five of their last seven games (1-6 ATS), after standing 6-4 SU through 10 games.

The SuperBook was stable at Eagles -5 much of the summer, then nudged to -4.5 on Aug. 20. On Aug. 24, the total hit its low point so far at 45, where it remains today. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks Odds

• Opening point spread: Seahawks -5.5
• Opening moneyline: Seahawks -210/Rams +175
• Opening total: Over/Under 46 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (FOX)

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Seattle opened -5.5 at BetMGM and toggled between -5.5/-5/-4.5 from late August to early September. On Thursday, the line fell to Seahawks -4, and it's now at Seattle -4.5.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET FRIDAY: On Wednesday, Rams wideout Cooper Kupp (hamstring) was ruled out for Week 1. But that was already baked into BetMGM's NFL Week 1 odds cake, with the Seahawks sticking at -5.5.

That's where BetMGM opened this game back in May. On Aug. 21, the line dipped to Seattle -4.5, but followed with a couple trips back to -5.5, the latest coming on Sunday.

However, late Thursday afternoon, BetMGM dropped Seattle straight to -4. The Seahawks are now -4.5 (-105), while taking 74% of spread bets/70% of spread dollars.

The total opened at 46.5, peaked at 47.5 a couple times and receded to 46 by Sunday. The Under is taking 59% of bets/52% of money.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Seattle won its final two regular-season games to land a Wild Card bid last season. The Seahawks then gave NFC West rival San Francisco a challenge for a half, leading 17-16 at the break.

But Seattle got rolled in the second half, losing 41-23 as a 10-point road pup to finish 9-9 SU/7-11 ATS.

After winning the Super Bowl in the 2021-22 season, Los Angeles had an injury-plagued 5-12 SU/7-9-1 ATS campaign. QB Matt Stafford (concussion/neck issues) missed the final seven games, though the Rams were already in a 3-7 SU hole at that point.

Wideout Cooper Kupp (ankle) sat out the second half of the season.

All that noted, this line is down a point to Seahawks -4.5 at The SuperBook. The latest move from Seattle -5 to -4.5 came on Aug. 23. The total peaked at 47.5 Aug. 2 and regressed to 46.5 Aug. 24. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

San Francisco 49ers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

• Opening point spread: 49ers -3
• Opening moneyline: 49ers -140/Steelers +120
• Opening total: Over/Under 41 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (FOX)

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Pittsburgh continues to be a trendy underdog at BetMGM. Three hours before kickoff, the home 'dog Steelers are netting 60% of spread tickets/69% of spread dollars.

Further, moneyline bettors like the Pittsburgh. Ticket count is almost 3/1 and money almost 4/1 on the Steelers.

San Fran opened as a 3-point road chalk, briefly got as low as -1.5 Thursday and is now at -2.5. The moneyline is at Niners -130/Steelers +110. The total is at 41.5 and drawing two-way play.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET FRIDAY: San Francisco opened as a 3-point chalk back in May at BetMGM nationally. The line toggled from -3 to -2.5 a couple of times, the latest on Aug. 28. Then on Thursday, it briefly got as low as Niners -1.5, before rebounding to -2, where it sits now.

Pittsburgh is definitely a trendy 'dog with early bettors, taking 62% of spread tickets/77% of spread money. Further, early moneyline action is on the Steelers, with tickets and cash in the 4/1 range at BetMGM. The moneyline is currently 49ers -130/Steelers +110, after opening -155/+130.

The total opened at 41.5, receded to 40.5 during the summer and climbed to 42 by Wednesday afternoon. It's now at 41.5 on two-way play, with tickets almost even and 56% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT 1: BetMGM Nevada pegged San Fran a 3-point road favorite back in May, and the line is now Niners -2.5.

"Tickets are really close, a handful more on the 49ers. Money is approximately 2/1 on the Steelers. Sharp play on Steelers +3," Shelton said.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: San Francisco reached the last two NFC Championship Games, but couldn't convert either into a Super Bowl bid. The Niners (15-5 SU, 13-7 ATS in 2022-23) saw QB Brock Purdy (elbow) exit early in last season's NFC final and subsequently got drilled at Philadelphia 31-7 as 2.5-point 'dogs.

Purdy had offseason elbow surgery and will be the 49ers' starter.

Meanwhile, Pittsburgh (9-8 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) kept alive coach Mike Tomlin's 16-year run of never having a losing record. But barely so. The Steelers went 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games, winning and cashing the last four, but didn't make the playoffs.

San Fran toggled between -3 and -2.5 a couple times this summer in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. The latest move was on Aug. 20, from -3 (even) to -2.5 flat. The total went to 41.5 shortly after opening in May, then returned to 41 in mid-July.

""We took some sharp action on the home 'dog Steelers +3, moving us to 2.5," Degnon said. "I think we will see some public money come in on the 49ers."

While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Odds

• Opening point spread: Bengals -2.5
• Opening moneyline: Bengals -125/Ravens +105
• Opening total: Over/Under 48 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (CBS)

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Cincy opened -2.5 and got as low as -1 at BetMGM, before rebounding to -2. On game day, it's now Bengals -1.5, with 62% of spread tickets/52% of spread money on Cincinnati.

The moneyline is also drawing two-way action on these AFC North rivals. On the total, BetMGM opened 47.5, peaked at 48.5 and is now at its low point of 47. The Under is taking 59% of bets/61% of money.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: A few weeks ago, Bengals QB Joe Burrow suffered a calf strain that some thought might keep him out of Week 1. However, Burrow was a full-practice participant today and should start Sunday.

Even before today's news, BetMGM already moved Cincy from -1.5 to -2.5, with that shift coming Tuesday. The Bengals opened -2.5 months ago and got down to -1 in mid-August.

Spread ticket count is 2.5/1 and money almost 2/1 on the road favorite. But the Browns are getting some moneyline looks, with 60% of tickets and cash on Cleveland. BetMGM's moneyline is at Cincy -135/Cleveland +115.

BetMGM's total has been fairly stable at 47.5, though it was at 48 from Aug. 30-Sunday. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Cincinnati was in the Super Bowl two years ago and reached the AFC Championship Game last season. The Bengals went 14-5 SU and a stout 13-5-1 ATS, including a league-best 12-3-1 regular-season ATS mark.

Cleveland was 7-10 SU/8-9 ATS last season, with Deshaun Watson only available for the final six games, after an 11-game suspension. The Browns obviously hope to have Watson under center all season this year.

The Bengals and Browns split last year's meetings, with the home team going 2-0 SU and ATS.

This line got down to pick 'em on Aug. 10, but it quickly rebounded to Cincy -2 at The SuperBook. The total bottomed out very briefly at 46.5 on Aug. 9 before going to 47.5. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Odds

• Opening point spread: Falcons -3
• Opening moneyline: Falcons -170/Panthers +150
• Opening total: Over/Under 42.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (FOX)

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: After opening -2.5, Atlanta has been steady at -3.5 for the past month at BetMGM. Ticket count and money are both 3/1 on the Falcons.

The total dipped from 43.5 to 39.5, then nudged up this morning to 40. The Under is seeing 62% of tickets/53% of money.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: With Carolina prepared to trot out No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young at QB, BetMGM customers are leaning toward home favorite Atlanta.

The Falcons opened -2.5 and have been stable at -3.5 much of the past month. Ticket count is 2/1-plus and money 3/1 on Atlanta.

After opening at 43.5, BetMGM's total dipped significantly over the past couple weeks. It was down to 40 by Aug. 22 and went to 39.5 Sunday, with early tickets 3/1 and early cash beyond 9/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Carolina, coming off a 7-10 SU/9-8 ATS campaign, made a trade with Chicago to get the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft. With that pick, the Panthers took Alabama quarterback Bryce Young, who's set to start this season.

Atlanta also went 7-10 SU/9-8 ATS in the laughably mediocre NFC South, which sent a losing team (Tampa Bay, 8-9 SU) to the playoffs. QB Desmond Ridder, who as a rookie started the Falcons' final four games last season, is the starter this year.

Last season, Carolina went 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS vs. Atlanta.

Over the past three weeks, Atlanta has toggled between -3 and -3.5, at various juice, in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. The Falcons are now -3.5 flat.

The total peaked at 43 in mid-May, shortly after opening, then dipped to 42 by Aug. 20. On Aug. 24, the number made stops at 41.5 and 41 on the way to 40, where it stands now. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Odds

• Opening point spread: Ravens -9.5
• Opening moneyline: Ravens -450/Texans +350
• Opening total: Over/Under 44.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (CBS)

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Opinions on Baltimore have gotten a little stronger since Friday at BetMGM (see previous update below). The Ravens (-9.5) are taking 63% of tickets/59% of money on the spread.

The total is steady at 43.5 on two-way action.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET FRIDAY: BetMGM opened Baltimore -9.5 back in June, and the line was steady at Ravens -10 much of the past two weeks. But Thursday afternoon, BetMGM backed up to Ravens -9.5. Baltimore is taking 53% of early spread bets, but money is running dead even.

On BetMGM's moneyline, rookie QB C.J. Stroud and Houston are getting early attention. Tickets are running 3/1 and cash 2/1 on the Texans. The moneyline is currently at Ravens -450/Texans +350, after opening -500/+375.

The total is down a point to 43.5 in BetMGM's NFL odds Week 1 market. The latest move came Monday, from 44 to 43.5. Ticket count is almost dead even, while 71% of money is on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Baltimore went 10-7 SU/6-9-2 ATS last regular season, earning a Wild Card bid. But with star QB Lamar Jackson (knee) out the final month, the Ravens' season ended with a 24-17 road playoff loss as 7.5-point underdogs to Cincinnati.

Houston was dreadful last season at 3-13-1 SU (8-8-1 ATS), and as such had the No. 2 pick in the draft. The Texans took Ohio State's C.J. Stroud, who has already been deemed the starter.

The SuperBook opened Baltimore -9.5 on May 11 and stuck there until inching to -10 on Aug. 24. The total fell to 43.5 on Aug. 23, then went to 44 on Aug. 24. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Odds

• Opening point spread: Jaguars -4
• Opening moneyline: Jaguars -210/Colts +175
• Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (FOX)

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Jacksonville nudged down from -5 to -4.5 Friday at BetMGM. But bettors are still solidly on the Jags, with spread tickets and money running 4/1 on the favorite.

The total opened at 43.5, peaked at 46.5 Thursday and is now 46, on rather interesting splits. The Under is seeing a modest majority 55% of tickets, but those bets are translating into 88% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Jaguars opened -3.5 back in mid-May at BetMGM. Over the past two weeks, the line advanced from -4 to -4.5 and the current -5.

It's all Jacksonville on the spread, with early ticket count and money running 6/1-plus. And while moneyline ticket count is almost even, 89% of moneyline cash is on the Jags. BetMGM's moneyline is currently at Jags -225/Colts +185.

The total is up to 45.5 from a 43.5 opener, moving from 45 to 45.5 in just the past couple hours. The Over is getting a nominal majority 53% of bets, but 79% of money.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Jacksonville went a middling 9-8 SU/8-8-1 ATS last season. But that was enough for a Wild Card bid, and the Jags took advantage of it. Trevor Lawrence & Co. beat the L.A. Chargers 31-30 as 2-point home 'dogs on Wild Card Weekend, before falling to the Chiefs 27-20 while covering as 10-point pups in the Divisional Round.

Indianapolis was a meager 4-12-1 SU/6-11 ATS, and things aren't looking so great for this season at the moment. Stud running back Jonathan Taylor wants to be traded, a deal that could come soon.

These two teams split last year's meetings, with the home team going 2-0 SU and ATS.

Jacksonville fell from -4 to -3.5 at The SuperBook in early July. Over the past two weeks, the Jags have made two trips to -4.5, where the line sits now. The total went straight from 43.5 to 45 on Aug. 24. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings Odds

• Opening point spread: Vikings -6.5
• Opening moneyline: Vikings -260/Buccaneers +210
• Opening total: Over/Under 45 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (CBS)

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: BetMGM now has the Vikings taking 69% of spread tickets/56% of spread money. That's up on both counts from Friday (see below). The total crept from 45.5 to 46 on two-way action with a lean toward the Over.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET FRIDAY: BetMGM pegged the Vikings 6.5-point favorites to open, then toggled between -6.5 and -6 a couple times in late August. The line stood at Vikes -6 much of the past two weeks, then went to -5.5 Thursday afternoon.

Minnesota is landing 63% of early spread bets, but 54% of early spread money is on Tampa Bay. The moneyline rests at Vikings -250/Bucs +200, with 61% of tickets/68% of money on underdog Tampa Bay.

BetMGM's total is stable at 45.5, with 52% of tickets/63% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Minnesota went a strong 13-4 SU (7-9-1 ATS) last year, then couldn't get through Wild Card Weekend. The Vikings, 2.5-point home faves vs. the Giants, lost 31-24.

Tampa Bay went a subpar 8-9 SU and a dismal 4-12-1 ATS in the regular season, yet won the awful NFC South. However, the Bucs then lost 31-14 as 2.5-point home pups to Dallas in the Wild Card round.

Then Tom Brady really retired, so the Bucs will have a new QB, with Baker Mayfield currently pegged as the starter.

Minnesota has been a 6.5-point chalk almost all summer in The SuperBook's NFL Week 0 odds market, save for a late-June-to-mid-July stint at -7. On Aug. 24, the total reached its high point of 46, where it sits now. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints Odds

• Opening point spread: Saints -3.5
• Opening moneyline: Saints -185/Titans +155
• Opening total: Over/Under 42.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (CBS)

UPDATE 10 A.M. ET SUNDAY: The Saints are down to -2.5 (-115) at BetMGM, after toggling between -3 and -3.5 the past couple weeks. Tennessee is still somewhat a trendy 'dog, taking 61% of spread tickets/67% of spread money.

Furthermore, moneyline tickets and cash are both running 4/1 on the Titans. BetMGM's moneyline opened at Saints -190/Titans +150 and is now -145/+120.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET FRIDAY: New Orleans has bounced between -3 and -3.5 a couple times in the past two weeks. BetMGM's NFL odds Week 1 market now has the Saints -3 (even).

Spread tickets are running 2/1 and spread money 3/1 on underdog Tennessee. And early bettors like the Titans moneyline, too, with ticket count beyond 4/1 and money nearly 8/1 on the 'dog. BetMGM's moneyline is currently at Saints -155/Titans +130, after opening -190/+155.

The total at 41.5, after opening 42.5 and going as low as 41 on Aug. 28. Tickets are almost even, but 78% of money is on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Both teams went 7-10 SU last season, with the Saints also going 7-10 ATS, while the Titans were 9-6-2 ATS.

New Orleans has a new No. 1 QB in Derek Carr, let go by the Raiders after last season. Jameis Winston is listed at No. 2. The Saints also won't have star running back Alvin Kamara, serving a three-game suspension for off-field issues.

The SuperBook has toggled between Saints -3 and -3.5, at various juice, and is currently at Saints -3.5 flat. The total was at 41 since July 24, 1.5 points below the opening number, until going to 41.5 Aug. 27. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders Odds

• Opening point spread: Commanders -6
• Opening moneyline: Commanders -310/Cardinals +250
• Opening total: Over/Under 39.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 10 (FOX)

UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Nobody wants much to do with the Cardinals at BetMGM Nevada. The Commanders opened -6, initially receded to -5.5, but they've been at -7 for almost three weeks.

"I can't believe the Commanders are favored by 7 over any professional team," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. "But all the tickets and all the money are on the Commanders. Tickets are 6/1 and almost all the money is on Washington. The public is all over Washington."

That includes a $200,000 bet on Commanders -7.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Commanders hit BetMGM's NFL Week 1 odds board as 5.5-point favorites, and they've been at -7 since Aug. 22. Arizona has plenty of issues, not the least of which is Kyler Murray (ACL) missing at least the first four weeks.

Early spread tickets are 6/1 and early spread money 9/1-plus in favor of Washington.

Thanks in part to Arizona's lackluster situation at QB, the total is the lowest on the NFL odds Week 1 board. BetMGM opened the total at 41.5 and is down to 38. Tickets and money are in the 2/1 range on the Under.

Last week, the Cards released Colt McCoy – who was expected to start in Murray's absence – and named Josh Dobbs the starter. Dobbs has only been with Arizona since Aug. 24, acquired by the Cards in a trade with Cleveland.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Washington is looking to move forward under new ownership, with the Dan Snyder era over. The Commanders were a perfectly middling 8-8-1 SU and ATS last season. Washington had a reasonable chance to make the playoffs before a three-game SU and ATS skid from Weeks 15-17.

Arizona is just hoping for the return of QB Kyler Murray, who tore his right ACL late last season. Murray hasn't practiced yet, and there's no set timetable for his return. Last year, the Cards limped to a 4-13 SU mark (8-9 ATS).

On Aug. 24, The SuperBook moved the Commanders from -6 to -7. The total moved from 39.5 to 40 shortly after opening in May. But the number dipped to 38.5 on Aug. 14. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far.

Detroit Lions vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -7
• Opening moneyline: Chiefs -275/Lions +225
• Opening total: Over/Under 54 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday, Sept. 7 (NBC)

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Two-plus hours before kickoff, Kansas City is a 4.5-point chalk in BetMGM's NFL odds Week 1 market. The Chiefs opened -7 back in May and briefly got to -7.5 in late July. K.C. then bounced between -7 and -6.5 much of the past month.

But with Tuesday's news that Travis Kelce (knee) was questionable, the line made its way down to Chiefs -4.5.

"Great action coming in. The best outcome for us is the Chiefs winning, but not covering 4.5," BetMGM's Seamus Magee said. "Great two-way action on the total at 53.5. The total ticked down to 52.5, which has seen some Over play in the last hour or so."

Magee also pointed out some popular player props.

"Amon-Ra St. Brown and Isiah Pacheco are getting a lot of action for first TD scorer," he said of the Lions wideout and Chiefs running back, respectively. "Plenty of action coming in on David Montgomery, too."

Montgomery is the Lions' starting running back.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: With the NFL season heading toward kickoff, PointsBet has the Chiefs a 4.5-point favorite. Months ago, this matchup opened K.C. -6.5, and the Chiefs were -7 a month ago. Much of the movement has come in just the past 48 hours.

That's due to the news that Travis Kelce (knee) is questionable for tonight's game. Starting Tuesday evening, the line went from Chiefs -6.5 to -6, then -5.5 and -5 on the way to -4.5.

"All the business is coming for the Detroit Lions in the past 24 hours," said Kevin Lawler, head of U.S. trading for the rebranded PointsBet, a Fanatics Experience. "Chiefs backers have been completely turned off by the Kelce news, and given the Chiefs' reliance on the league's best tight end last season, it's understandable. Since the news, weight of money has been heavy enough to move the line 2 full points, making Detroit a loser in the book and Kansas City a winner."

Kelce's uncertain status obviously also impacts popular playoff props. Lawler said prior to the injury news, in the anytime touchdown market, Kelce's ticket count was more than double that of any other player.

The total also plunged to as low as 51.5 Wednesday afternoon, from a 54.5 opener and 55 high point at PointsBet. However, that number is on the rebound, climbing back to 54 by this afternoon.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The past 24 hours brought a noteworthy shift to this line. That's due largely to reports Tuesday that Chiefs star tight end Travis Kelce has a hyperextended knee.

Kelce's status is questionable for the Thursday night opener, which of course is impacting the NFL Week 1 odds market. BetMGM first moved down from Chiefs -6.5 to -6 Tuesday afternoon. The latest moved from K.C. -5 to -4.5 came this morning.

Correspondingly, the moneyline is now at Chiefs -225/Lions +180, from an opener of -300/+240.

The odds movement has led to an interesting shift in betting.

"We were [seeing] heavy Chiefs action at -6.5. It's a little closer to two-way action at -4.5," BetMGM trader Christian Cipollini said this afternoon. "A Chiefs win and a Lions cover is the ideal outcome at the moment. I'd guess our customers in Michigan are taking the Lions outright, instead of on the point spread."

Kelce's uncertain status also impacted BetMGM's total, which is down to 52.5.

Interestingly, Circa Sports – which caters to a sharp clientele – got down to Chiefs -4 Tuesday afternoon, before nudging up to -4.5 this morning.

Moments ago, Circa Sports director of operations Jeff Benson tweeted: "Doesn't matter what we think. The only thing that matters is what the market thinks."

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT. 1: BetMGM Nevada opened this season-opening matchup in mid-May, with Kansas City a 7-point home chalk. The Chiefs nudged to -7.5 in late July and have spent the past few weeks bouncing between -7 and -6.5.

K.C. is currently -6.5. BetMGM's moneyline is at Chiefs -275/Lions +220.

"It's 2/1 tickets and close to 4/1 money in favor of the Chiefs," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said of action in the sportsbook's Las Vegas market. "They are playing the Lions moneyline, almost 2/1 tickets and 2/1 money. But the Chiefs are in all the parlays.

"A Chiefs win and Lions cover would be good at this point. But a Lions win wouldn't be bad."

The total opened at 54, spent time at 53.5 and 54.5, and it's now at 54 again.

"Approximately 2/1 tickets on the Over, and money almost 5/1 on the Over. There's a $10,000 bet on Over 54," Shelton said.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, AUG. 28: Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs open defense of their Super Bowl title against the Lions, one of the hotter teams in the league during the second half of the 2022-23 season.

K.C. is coming coming off a riveting 38-35 Super Bowl victory over the Philadelphia Eagles. That capped a 17-3 SU season, but the Chiefs were just 7-12-1 ATS, including 5-11-1 ATS in the regular season.

Detroit went 8-2 SU/9-1 ATS in its last 10 regular-season games, nearly nabbing a Wild Card bid in the process. The Lions finished 9-8 SU and a solid 12-5 ATS.

For nearly three months, The SuperBook didn't budge off its May 11 opener of Chiefs -7. On Aug. 7, the risk room finally relented by dipping to Chiefs -6.5. While The SuperBook's spread/total opened back on May 11, the moneyline just opened today, hence no movement so far..

"We have taken some action on the underdog Lions +7," SuperBook senior risk supervisor Casey Degnon said. "More money on the Lions via straight bets, but there is more parlay liability built up on the Chiefs -7. Some parlays are also tied to the Over."

"I think the current betting trend for this game will continue. The Chiefs will be tied to a ton of parlays and teasers, but I expect the straight bets to continue to roll in on Detroit."

The total moved to 54.5 in mid-July, then this morning inched back to the 54 opener.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson