NFL Odds Week 1: Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends For Every Game

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

41 minute read

NFL Odds Week 1

NFL odds for Week 1 hit betting boards across the country in May, before the ink had time to dry on the 2023-24 schedule. And the schedule makers didn't mess around.

The season opened Sept. 5 with a massive matchup, as the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs beat the Baltimore Ravens. And odds for NFL Week 1 reveal several more appealing contests.

Here’s everything you need to know about NFL odds Week 1: opening lines, spreads and betting information on every game, and sportsbook insights on NFL Week 1 odds and action in marquee matchups. Be sure to use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

NFL Odds for Every Game of NFL Week 1

New York Jets vs San Francisco 49ers Odds

• Opening point spread: 49ers -6
• Opening moneyline: 49ers -240/Jets +200
• Opening total: Over/Under 44.5 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday, Sept. 9 (ESPN/ABC)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, SEPT. 9: News just broke that 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (calf/Achilles) will not play tonight.

Prime Sports, which operates in Ohio and New Jersey and is known to cater to sharp bettors, dropped the Niners from -4 to -3.5 on that news. San Francisco opened -6, and the book will actually be rooting for the defending NFC champion.

"We've slid to San Francisco -3.5, as some recreational guys take their shots on the New York Jets. Even more coming in on the Under. Some sharps coming late for the Over," Prime Sportsbook executive chairman Joe Brennan Jr. said.

"You can tell we book sharp action, because for tonight's game, we need both the favorite and the Over. Just call me Joe Public tonight. A blowout will clear all of our teasers. [Niners] by at least a TD."

The total is down to 43 (Over -107), from a 45 opener.

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET MONDAY, SEPT. 9: A few hours before kickoff, the 49ers are -3.5 (-115) in ESPNBet's NFL odds Week 1 market. That's down a point just since Sunday morning, when the Niners were -4.5.

San Fran is taking 61% of spread tickets, but 52% of spread dollars are on underdog New York. On the moneyline, it's 58% tickets/53% money on the Jets, who are currently +175.

The total is down to 43.5 (Under -115), from a high point and opener of 46.5. That said, it's two-way play with a lean toward the Over, at 58% of tickets and money.

Similarly, TwinSpires Sportsbook is seeing more Jets action.

"The Jets are very popular. Aaron Rodgers is 10-0 in his last 10 Monday Night Football starts, so it's not surprising. New York teams are typically a popular bet," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said. "We need a San Francisco cover and the Over."

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY, SEPT. 7: This line has bounced around at Fanatics Sportsbook, from 49ers -4.5 to -5.5, then as low as -3.5 in the past week. It's now at San Fran -4.5 for a Monday night clash.

"On both the spread and moneyline, the Jets are where a lot of the money is going. We're live in New York and New Jersey, and those are two big states for us," Fanatics NFL trader Ethan Useloff said.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: The Niners are down a point in TwinSpires' NFL odds Week 1 market. San Fran opened -5 and now sits at -4. The 49ers are seeing 60% of early spread tickets, but 62% of early spread cash is on the underdog Jets.

"It's shaping up to be a Pros vs. Joes game. The Pros like the Jets at +5," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total is down to 42.5 from a 45.5 opener, with 54% of tickets/67% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: San Francisco had a big 2023-24 season, reaching the Super Bowl. The Niners almost had Kansas City beat, but yielded a late field goal that tied the game at 19 and sent it to overtime.

In OT, San Fran got a field goal to go up 22-19. But the Chiefs drove down the field and scored a touchdown in the final seconds to win 25-22. The 49ers finished 14-6 SU/9-11 ATS.

On the flip side, New York lost Aaron Rodgers on literally its first offensive possession of the 2023 season, against Buffalo. Coincidentally, it was also on Monday night. The Jets went 7-10 SU/6-10-1 ATS without Rodgers.

Now, in the same time slot a year later, Rodgers returns from his torn Achilles.

Most of the movement on Jets-49ers came in the last couple weeks in The SuperBook's odds for NFL Week 1. San Fran opened -6 on May 14 and went to -5.5 on June 23. The Niners dipped to -5 on Aug. 8, -4.5 Wednesday and -4 Thursday.

"This line has come down to 4, with the uncertainty surrounding San Francisco's skill-position guys," Michaelson said.

At the moment, running back Christian McCaffrey (calf) and wideout Jauan Jennings (oblique) are questionable. And wideout Brandon Aiyuk has been the subject of trade rumors for a considerable chunk of the offseason.

Still, the Niners are expected to be the liability, and perhaps a large one, in the first Monday night game.

"We'll need the Jets and will likely be rooting for them outright. It's similar reasoning to Rams-Lions: Every parlay left will be tied to San Francisco," Michaelson said.

The total opened at 44.5 and has been at 44 since Monday.

In-Progress NFL Week 1 Games

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Completed NFL Week 1 Games

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions Odds

• Opening point spread: Lions -3.5
• Opening moneyline: Lions -180/Rams +160
• Opening total: Over/Under 52 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (NBC)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: As kickoff nears, Detroit is up to -5 at The SuperBook, moving off -4.5 late this afternoon. Way back in May, the Lions opened -3.5, and they stuck there until going to -4/-4.5 Thursday.

"It's pretty split action. But we'll need the Rams for parlays, especially after public sides did so well in [today's] late games," SuperBook risk supervisor Chase Michaelson said.

The total is up to 53.5, after opening at 52 and spending all summer at 51. On Thursday, the number moved to 51.5/52 in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. Today brought moves to 52.5/53/53.5.

Michaelson said there was some sharp play on the Over. But the book still has a slight need for the Over.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY, SEPT. 7: Detroit is up to -4.5 from a -3.5 opener in the NFL odds Week 1 market at Fanatics Sportsbook.

"Michigan is a big state for us. We see a lot more Detroit money," Fanatics NFL trader Ethan Useloff said. "The move from 3.5 to 4.5 is reflected in terms of the bet count and handle. And on the moneyline, too, Detroit has a lot more action for us."

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: Detroit opened and remains -3.5 in TwinSpires Sportsbook's odds for NFL Week 1. The Lions are attracting 66% of early spread bets/71% of early spread money.

"Detroit is one of the more popular sides this week, especially on the moneyline. It's over 6/1 ticket count and 9/1 money on Lions moneyline," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total is also stagnant at TwinSpires, sitting at 51. Tickets and money are running 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Last season, Detroit fell just short of its first Super Bowl appearance. The Lions had host San Francisco in a 24-7 halftime hole, but ultimately lost 34-31.

Detroit finished with a 14-6 SU and ATS mark, establishing itself as the best spread-covering unit in the league.

Los Angeles also reached the postseason en route to a 10-8 SU/11-6-1 ATS finish. The Rams actually bowed out to Detroit in the Wild Card Round, losing 24-23.

Look over our best NFL betting sites for the Rams vs Lions!

The SuperBook is pinned to Lions -3.5 for the first Sunday night game, not moving off the opening number all summer. And all the movement on the total came on opening day back in May, from 52 to 51.5/51.

"The public is all in on Detroit. We will be rooting for the Rams outright, as every live moneyline parlay will be tied to Detroit," Michaelson said.

Dallas Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns Odds

• Opening point spread: Pick
• Opening moneyline: Cowboys -120/Browns even
• Opening total: Over/Under 44.5 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (FOX)

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: Less than two hours before kickoff, Cleveland is 2-point chalk on TwinSpires Sportsbook's NFL Week 1 odds board. The Browns opened -1 and spent time at -2 on the way to -2.5, but the number is now down a tick to -2.

Dallas is taking 60% of spread bets, while 65% of spread money is on Cleveland.

"It's Pros vs. Joes, with the Pros on the Browns," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said, before addressing the total. "Sharp play on Under 44."

The total is at 41.5 from that 44 opener, with 58% of bets on the Over/65% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY, SEPT. 7: Fanatics opened Cleveland a slim 1.5-point chalk and stretched to -3. The line is now Browns -2.5 (-115).

"We're getting a lot of Cowboys action on that moneyline," Fanatics NFL trader Ethan Useloff said.

The total is down to 41 from a 43.5 opener, with Useloff noting the Under has a little more money so far.

UPDATE 7 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 4: Cleveland advanced from -1 to -2 and is now -2.5 in TwinSpires' NFL odds Week 1 market. The Cowboys are taking 58% of early spread bets, while 63% of early spread cash is on the Browns.

"It's Pros vs Joes, with the Pros on the Browns," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total fell from 44 to 42 to 41, with 55% of bets on the Over/68% of money on the Under. Lucas noted sharp play on Under 44.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Dallas is surely still smarting from its season-ending collapse in the Wild Card Round. The Cowboys were blown out at home by Green Bay 48-32, finishing the year at 12-6 SU/10-8 ATS.

QB Dak Prescott is entering the final year of his contract, with Dallas still trying to work out a deal. So that's hanging over the organization's head, as well.

Cleveland went 11-7 SU and ATS last season, despite losing Deshaun Watson to a shoulder injury in November. Joe Flacco was signed off his couch and helped the Browns get to the playoffs. However, Cleveland got rolled at Houston 45-14 in the Wild Card Round.

Check out our DraftKings promo code for the Cowboys vs Browns!

After opening at pick, the Cowboys-Browns line bounced around throughout the summer at The SuperBook. Dallas went to -1 in May, then Cleveland moved to -1/-1.5 in July. The Browns got as far as -2.5 Tuesday and are now -2.

"Perception has moved against Dallas in the last few months. QB questions, indifferent offseason, etc.," Michaelson said. "This will be a high-handle game, and it's hard to predict which way we'll need it at this point.

"The Cowboys certainly drive public play, for and against. But the wiseguys are on Cleveland here."

The total is down to 43 from a 44.5 opener, spending time at 44 and 43.5 over the summer.

Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

• Opening point spread: Buccaneers -4
• Opening moneyline: Bucs -190/Commanders +165
• Opening total: Over/Under 41.5 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (FOX)

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: TwinSpires Sportsbook has Tampa a 4-point favorite with under two hours until kickoff. That's up a half-point from the Bucs -3.5 opener.

Tampa Bay is landing 63% of spread tickets/70% of spread dollars.

"The public is fading the rookie QB making his first road start. We'll need Jayden Daniels to show up in a big way," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total nudged from 41.5 to 42, with 61% of tickets/69% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: DraftKings has been at either Buccaneers -3 or -3.5 throughout the summer. Tampa Bay is now -3 (-115) while taking 57% of early spread bets. But early spread dollars are running dead even on this matchup.

The total opened at 42.5 on May 15 and hit its low of 41.5 that same day. Most of the movement came in the last two weeks, and it's now up to 44. Ticket count is almost even, while 82% of money is on the Over.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Tampa Bay is set at QB with Baker Mayfield, who led the Bucs to the playoffs last season. In the NFC Wild Card Round, Tampa slammed Philadelphia 32-9.

The Bucs then fell at Detroit 31-23, capping a 10-9 SU/12-7 ATS year.

In Washington, rookie QB and No. 2 overall draft pick Jayden Daniels is the new starter. The Commanders got Daniels thanks to another subpar season, as they finished 4-13 SU/6-10-1 ATS in 2023.

On May 15, Tampa opened -4 in The SuperBook's odds for NFL Week 1. There was no movement until a shift to Bucs -3.5 on Aug. 10, followed by a move Thursday to -3.

The total opened at 41.5 and inched to 42 Wednesday.

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks Odds

• Opening point spread: Seahawks -6.5
• Opening moneyline: Seahawks -240/Broncos +200
• Opening total: Over/Under 40 points scored
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (CBS)

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: The Seahawks are now 6.5-point favorites at TwinSpires Sportsbook. Seattle opened -5 and spent time at -6 on the way to the current number.

The Seahawks are drawing 75% of spread tickets/70% of spread money.

"Lopsided handle and tickets on the Seahawks. And Seahawks moneyline is seemingly in every parlay," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total opened 42.5 and is down a notch to 42, with 55% of tickets/59% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: Seattle is out to 6-point chalk on DraftKings' NFL Week 1 odds board. Back in mid-May, the Seahawks opened -3.5 and quickly advanced to -4.5.

The line got to Seattle -5 on Aug. 12, -5.5 on Aug. 26 and -6 Sunday. However, it's two-way play on the spread, with early ticket count almost dead even and 56% of early money on the Seahawks.

DraftKings' total dropped from 44.5 to 43/42.5 shortly after opening in mid-May. Over the past few days, the number toggled between 42 and 41.5, and it's currently 41.5. The Under is taking 60% of tickets/72% of cash.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: After running Russell Wilson out of town, Denver will start rookie Bo Nix at quarterback. The Broncos went 8-9 SU/6-10-1 ATS last season, their seventh straight losing campaign.

Seattle moved on from coach Pete Carroll after 14 seasons. Mike Macdonald took over, leaving his previous post as Baltimore defensive coordinator. The Seahawks went 9-8 SU/7-8-2 ATS last year.

On May 15, The SuperBook opened Broncos-Seahawks at Seattle -6.5, and within a day, it was down to -5.5. This month has seen back-and-forth movement, with the Seahawks bottoming out at -4.5 Aug. 1, reaching -6 Aug. 6 and dipping to -5 Aug. 18.

The total opened at 40 and over the summer peaked a few times at 42, where it sits now.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers Odds

• Opening point spread: Chargers -3.5
• Opening moneyline: Chargers -180/Raiders +160
• Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (CBS)

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: L.A. is painted to -3 at TwinSpires Sportsbook, sticking on the opening number. The Chargers are currently -3 (-103), with 65% of tickets/69% of money on Los Angeles.

"The public likes Jim Harbaugh and Co. to cover here. We'll need the Raiders for a sizable amount," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

TwinSpires' total is at 40.5, up from a 40 opener, but still one of the lowest totals in the NFL odds Week 1 market. The Over is seeing 53% of tickets/59% of money.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: Los Angeles opened -2.5 back in May at DraftKings, briefly peaked at -4.5 on Aug. 19, then receded to -3 by Thursday. The Chargers are drawing a nominal majority 55% of early spread tickets, but that's translating into 80% of early spread money.

The total steadily fell over the past month at DK. It's now at a low point of 40.5, after opening at 44 and spending much of the summer at 43.5. The Under is netting 58% of early tickets/81% of money.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: QB Justin Herbert missed the final four games of last season, when Los Angeles went a disappointing 5-12 SU/5-11-1 ATS. Herbert also didn't play in the preseason due to a right foot injury.

However, he's expected to be ready for Week 1.

Las Vegas elevated Antonio Pierce from interim coach to head coach after last season. The Raiders dumped Josh McDaniels in mid-November. Las Veags went 8-9 SU/10-5-2 ATS, winning three of their last four games and cashing in all four.

All the movement on Raiders-Chargers has come this month in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. L.A. opened -3.5 in mid-May, dipped to -3 on Aug. 1, then on Monday briefly went to -4 before settling at -3.5.

The total is down a point, from 43.5 to 42.5.

Arizona Cardinals vs Buffalo Bills Odds

• Opening point spread: Bills -7
• Opening moneyline: Bills -310/Cardinals +260
• Opening total: Over/Under 48.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (CBS)

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: Ninety minutes before kickoff, Buffalo is -6.5 (-115) at BetMGM. On May 16, the Bills opened -7 (-115), and they reached a low point of -6 on Aug. 22. The line advanced to Buffalo -6.5 Tuesday, then this morning got to -7 (-105).

But it just fell back to the current Buffalo -6.5 (-115).

It's two-way action on the point spread, with 56% of tickets on the Bills and 54% of money on the Cardinals.

BetMGM's total opened at 48, bottomed out at 45 this morning and is now 46. The Under is netting 54% of tickets/66% of money.

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT 3: DraftKings Sportsbook opened this matchup on May 15, with the Bills at -7 (-120) in the NFL odds Week 1 market. Buffalo topped out at -7.5 in mid-June, then spent most of the summer at -7/-6.5.

On Aug. 22, the Bills dipped to -6/-5.5, but the number reached -6.5 twice in the past two days. It's now at Buffalo -6, with the Bills netting 60% of early spread bets, and 53% of early spread money on the Cardinals.

DK's total hasn't seen nearly as much movement, opening at 48.5, moving to 48 right away and sticking there all summer. The Under is netting 60% of bets, while 55% of money is on the Over.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Josh Allen and Buffalo are still trying to find their way to the Super Bowl. The Bills lost to Kansas City 27-24 as 2.5-point home favorites in the AFC Divisional Round.

Buffalo finished 12-7 SU/8-10-1 ATS.

Quarterback Kyler Murray missed the first half of the 2023 season for Arizona, while recovering from a torn ACL. Murray played the final eight games (3-5 SU), and the Cardinals finished a dismal 4-13 SU/9-7-1 ATS.

The SuperBook opened Cards-Bills at Buffalo -7. The line is now down to Buffalo -5.5, dipping to -6.5 in July, and -6/-5.5 in the past week. There's been just one move on the total, from 48.5 to 48 on July 7.

Tennessee Titans vs Chicago Bears Odds

• Opening point spread: Bears -4.5
• Opening moneyline: Bears -210/Tennessee +175
• Opening total: Over/Under 43 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (FOX)

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: Chicago is laying 4 points in BetMGM's odds for NFL Week 1. In May, the Bears opened -4.5 (-115), and they hit a low of -3.5 on Tuesday and Saturday. The number briefly got to Chicago -4.5 (-105) this morning, before going to the current -4.

"The Titans seem to be getting more money on the spread. I think we'd prefer to see the Bears cover -4 today," BetMGM trading manager Seamus Magee said. "We'd also like to have Over 44.5."

The total opened at 43.5 (Under -115), hit a low point of 43 on Aug. 10 and peaked at 46 (Under -120) Monday, It's been on the decline since and is now at 43.5 again.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY, SEPT. 7: The Bears opened -4.5 at Fanatics Sportsbook and are now -3.5, about 24 hours before kickoff. Still, Chicago is a trendy play in NFL Week 1 odds, as rookie QB and No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams makes his debut.

"The Bears are garnering a good amount of bets on the spread and the moneyline, because of the Caleb Williams hype. It's notable that the number of bets on Bears moneyline is way higher than Titans moneyline," Fanatics NFL trader Ethan Useloff said.

UPDATE 7 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 4: TwinSpires Sportsbook opened at Chicago -4.5 and is down to -4 in odds for NFL Week 1. There's split opinion here, with 57% of early spread tickets on the Bears and 59% of early spread money on the Titans.

"The public is siding with the Bears. We saw some sharp play on the Titans," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total has seen a little more movement, gong from 43.5 to 45, with stops at 44 and 44.5 along the way. The Over is taking 60% of tickets/77% of money.

"Sharp play Over 44 and 44.5," Lucas said.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: This spread hasn't budged since mid-May, sticking at Chicago -4.5 in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. The total is the only mover, nudging from 43 to 43.5 shortly after opening in mid-May.

But with the buzz surrounding new Bears QB Caleb Williams, Michaelson is fairly certain how this game will shape up by kickoff. Williams was the No. 1 overall pick in April's NFL Draft.

"I think you'll struggle to find any public money on Tennessee in this game," Michaelson said. "We'll almost certainly need the Titans, as there will be a flood of Caleb Williams-inspired money on the Bears.

Chicago went 7-10-2 SU/8-7-2 ATS last season, but held the No. 1 pick in the draft thanks to a 2023 trade with Carolina. Tennessee went 6-11 SU/7-9-1 ATS last season, then fired coach Mike Vrabel. New coach Brian Callahan came over from his post as Bengals offensive coordinator.

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds

• Opening point spread: Bengals -9.5
• Opening moneyline: Bengals -410/Patriots +340
• Opening total: Over/Under 43 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (CBS)

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: Two hours before kickoff, Cincy is -7.5 (-115) at BetMGM. Back in May, the Bengals opened -8.5 in the NFL odds Week 1 market, and they twice peaked at -9.5, most recently on Aug. 29.

Since then, the line toggled between Cincinnati -8.5/-8 a few times, before ultimately dipping to -7.5. The Bengals are attracting 76% of spread tickets/77% of spread money.

BetMGM's total opened at 42.5 and is now Under 41 (Under -115), with 69% of tickets/74% money on the Under.

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT 3: Back on May 15, the Bengals opened -8 and went to -8.5 within a few hours in DraftKings' NFL Week 1 odds. Cincy got to -9 three days later, then didn't move again until last week.

Last Tuesday, the Bengals topped out at -9.5, and they're now down to -8.5. Cincinnati is landing 71% of early spread tickets/82% of early spread money.

DraftKings' total opened at 43 and stuck there until dipping to 42 on Aug. 25. The past week brought moves to 41/40.5 on the way to the current 42. Early action is solidly on the Under, at 67% of tickets/88% of money.

The Patriots drafted QB Drake Maye with the third overall pick. But the rookie won't start in Week 1, with coach Jerod Mayo naming Jacoby Brissett as QB1 for now.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: QB Joe Burrow is back and healthy for Cincinnati, after missing the final seven weeks last season with a wrist injury. The Bengals finished a disappointing 9-8 SU/7-8-2 ATS and missed the playoffs, a season after taking Kansas City to the wire in the Super Bowl.

Bill Belichick's final campaign in New England was not good, as the Patriots went 4-13 SU/6-11 ATS. In return, the Pats got a shiny new quarterback in rookie Drake Maye, the No. 3 overall draft pick.

For the moment, though, Jacoby Brissett is New England's starter.

Cincinnati toggled between -9.5/-9 a couple times since The SuperBook opened this matchup on May 15. On Saturday morning, Cincy dipped from -9.5 to -9 in NFL odds for Week 1.

The total went from 43 to 42.5 back in mid-May, then to 42 on Aug. 12. On Monday, the number returned to 42.5, with no movement since.

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Odds

• Opening point spread: Texans -2.5
• Opening moneyline: Texans -135/Colts +115
• Opening total: Over/Under 48.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (CBS)

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: BetMGM has Houston at -3 (-105), ninety minutes before kickoff. The Texans opened -1.5 in May and toggled between -1.5/-2.5 over the summer. On Tuesday, Houston advanced to the current -3 (-105).

"Good two-way action at 3," BetMGM trading manager Seamus Magee said. "Plenty of people bought the Texans down to -2.5, and Texans moneyline is in a heap of parlays. We'll be rooting for Indy here."

The total opened at 47.5 and is at its high point of 49, but Magee said it's good two-way action here, as well.

UPDATE 7 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 4: Houston is out to 3-point road chalk at TwinSpires, after opening -1.5 and quickly moving to -2. It's all Texans early on the spread, at 85% of tickets/92% of money.

"This is the biggest Week 1 liability I've seen in the past four seasons. This will likely decide our Sunday," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said. "The moneyline is 10/1 tickets and 15/1 money on the Texans."

The total is up a tick from 48.5 to 49, with 71% of tickets/65% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: C.J. Stroud moved to the head of last season's rookie class. Stroud guided Houston to an 11-8 SU mark (10-9 ATS), including a 45-14 home bashing of Cleveland in the AFC Wild Card Round.

Houston's season ended a week later with a 34-10 loss at Baltimore. Stroud was named Offensive Rookie of the Year, turning around a team that went 3-13 SU in 2022-23.

In the 2024-25 opener, Stroud will face another second-year QB in Indianapolis starter Anthony Richardson. Last year, Richardson played in just four games for the Colts, due to a concussion and ultimately a Week 5 shoulder injury that ended his season. Indy still went 9-8 SU and ATS.

The SuperBook opened at Texans -2.5 in May, and it's been Texans -2 since July 20. The total spent much of the summer at 48.5/48, and it's now 49 in NFL Week 1 odds.

"It's a minimal decision at this point. I would anticipate more parlay liability on Houston than anything else," Michaelson said. "This line will likely stay south of 3. The wiseguys would scoop up Indy as a home 'dog if it got to 3."

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Miami Dolphins Odds

• Opening point spread: Dolphins -3.5
• Opening moneyline: Dolphins -175/Jaguars +155
• Opening total: Over/Under 50.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 6 (CBS)

UPDATE 11:45 A.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: There's breaking news on this game this morning. Dolphins wideout Tyreek Hill was handcuffed/briefly detained after a speeding incident en route to the stadium.

But it appears Hill is a go and will play. And the line didn't react at all, with Miami remaining -3.5 (-105) in BetMGM's NFL odds Week 1 market. In fact, the Dolphins haven't moved off -3.5 since this matchup opened in May, with only juice adjustments since then.

"Most of the money is on the Dolphins spread. But I wouldn't classify it as a need. We'd prefer Jags +3," BetMGM trading manager Seamus Magee said. "The 'Phins are in a ton of parlays, though."

On the total, bettors are definitely on the Over, at 72% of tickets/85% of money at BetMGM. The total opened at 49.5 and spent much of the summer at 48.5. It's toggled between 49/49.5 the past two weeks and is now 49.5.

"Under 49 would be nice to have," Magee said.

UPDATE NOON ET TUESDAY, SEPT 3: DraftKings pegged Miami as 4-point chalk back in May, then spent pretty much all summer at various iterations of Dolphins -3.5. In the past few days, the number toggled between -3.5/-3 a couple times, and the Dolphins are now -3.

Miami is drawing 75% of early spread tickets/70% of early spread dollars at DK.

The total opened at 49.5 and was at 49 most of the past 3.5 months. Last Tuesday, it returned to 49.5, and the number went to 50 on Monday evening. The Over is seeing 56% of tickets, while 59% of money is on the Under.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Miami looked solid much of last season, but had to settle for an AFC Wild Card berth. With that came a trip to Kansas City, where the Dolphins lost 26-7. Tua Tagovailoa & Co. finished 11-7 SU/10-8 ATS.

Jacksonville was expected to be a playoff team, but ended up 9-8 SU and ATS, missing the postseason. The postseason-bid killer: a 26-0 Week 17 home loss to lowly Carolina, with QB Trevor Lawrence out due to a shoulder injury.

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Miami opened -3.5 at the SuperBook, stood at -3 from May 24-June 24, and since has been -3.5 at various juice. The Dolphins are now -3.5 flat.

The total opened at 50.5, dialed down to 48.5 by early June and went to 49 on Aug. 8.

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants Odds

• Opening point spread: Giants -1
• Opening moneyline: Giants -115/Vikings -115
• Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (FOX)

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: Months ago, New York opened -1, and this line is now at Vikings -1. Minnesota got as far as -2 briefly on Thursday, before going to -1.5, then went to -1 today.

It's two-way spread splay, with 58% of tickets on the Vikes/52% of money on the Giants.

The total opened at 41.5 and is now 41, also on two-way action. The Under is netting 55% of tickets, while 54% of cash is on the Over.

UPDATE NOON ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: Way back in May, DraftKings Sportsbook opened New York -1 (-105) in the NFL odds Week 1 market. In mid-June, the line jumped the fence to Minnesota -1/-1.5, then back to -1.

On Monday, the Vikings went to -1.5 again. Minnesota is netting 62% of early spread bets/53% of early spread cash.

The total toggled between 41.5 and 41 a couple times, and it's been at 41.5 since Aug. 21. The Under is getting 67% of bets/71 % of cash.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Minnesota no longer has Kirk Cousins, who suffered a torn Achilles in Week 8 last year, then left for Atlanta after the season. The Vikings (7-10 SU/7-7-3 ATS) in return signed Sam Darnold in free agency and drafted J.J. McCarthy No. 10 overall.

But it's Darnold's job at the moment, since McCarthy had preseason surgery for a torn meniscus and is out for the year.

New York also lost its QB midstream last year. Daniel Jones had an ACL tear in Week 9, ending his season, but he's back as QB 1 this year. The Giants were 6-11 SU/8-8-1 ATS in 2023-24.

The SuperBook opened Vikings-Giants at New York -1. July 5 brought two moves, first to Minnesota -1, then to pick 'em. On Aug. 14, the Giants went to -1 again, followed by an Aug. 17 move to pick. This morning, Minnesota moved to -1.

The total has seen a little more movement, opening at 43 and bottoming out at 41 on Aug. 6. It's now 41.5 on The SuperBook's NFL Week 1 odds board.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons Odds

• Opening point spread: Falcons -3
• Opening moneyline: Falcons -135/Steelers +115
• Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 6 (FOX)

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: Steelers QB Russell Wilson (calf) will not start today, with Justin Fields stepping in. Regardless, the Falcons are laying 4 points in BetMGM's NFL Week 1 odds.

Back in May, Atlanta opened -2.5 (-120), and the Falcons spent the latter half of August at various iterations of -3. On Thursday, Atlanta went to -3.5, then this morning got to -4.

The Falcons are drawing 60% of spread bets/72% of spread money.

BetMGM opened the total at 43, got as low as 40.5 in late August and is now at 42. The Under is taking 78% of tickets/79% of cash.

UPDATE NOON ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: Last week, Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin announced that Russell Wilson beat out Justin Fields for the starting quarterback job. At that point, the number was at Atlanta -3, and it remained Atlanta -3 in DraftKings' odds for NFL Week 1.

The Falcons opened -2.5 in mid-May and spent most of the summer there, save for dips to -2 on Aug. 7 and Aug. 16. It's two-way ticket count at DraftKings, with 53% of spread bets on the Falcons. But early spread money is more so on Atlanta, at 68%.

The total opened at 45 and quickly fell to 43. Over the past month, the number continued to drop, bottoming out at 40.5 Friday. It's since rebounded to 42, with 62% of bets/59% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: As noted above, Kirk Cousins is now the starter for Atlanta, signing a four-year deal, with $100 million deal guaranteed. Interestingly, the Falcons also drafted Michael Penix Jr. with the eighth overall pick.

Atlanta went 7-10 SU/5-12 ATS last season.

Pittsburgh got an AFC Wild Card bid last season, losing at Buffalo 31-17. The Steelers, who went 10-8 SU and ATS, have a quarterback competition still in progress. Coach Mike Tomlin still hasn't decided if Russell Wilson or Justin Fields will be the Week 1 starter.

Atlanta opened as a 3-point favorite and spent a good chunk of the summer at -2.5 in The SuperBook's NFL Week 1 odds. On Monday, the Falcons returned to -3, and they're now -3 (even).

The total went from 43.5 to 43 back in May, then saw three moves in the past week. Last Sunday, it dipped to 42.5, followed by a Monday move to 41.5, and this morning, the number fell to 41.

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints Odds

• Opening point spread: Saints -5.5
• Opening moneyline: Saints -215/Panthers +185
• Opening total: Over/Under 40.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8 (FOX)

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY, SEPT. 8: Two hours before kickoff, the Saints are 3.5-point favorites at BetMGM. New Orleans opened -4.5 in May and briefly touched -5 a couple times, most recently on Tuesday.

But shortly thereafter, the number went to Saints -4, then this morning dipped to -3.5. Perhaps surprisingly, the Panthers are landing 64% of spread bets/73% of spread money.

The total opened at 40.5 (Over -115), peaked at 42 Tuesday and is now 41.5. The Under is getting 78% of bets/76% of money.

UPDATE NOON ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: The Saints hit DraftKings' NFL odds Week 1 market as 4.5-point faves on May 15 and went to -5 May 16. New Orleans dipped to -4 on Aug. 22, then toggled between -4/-3.5 for a few days.

In the past week, the Saints have bounced between -4/-4.5, and they're now at -4. Point-spread betting splits are interesting at this point, with 59% of early tickets on New Orleans, but 81% of early money on underdog Carolina.

The total opened at 41 and bottomed out at 40 a few times, most recently on Saturday. It's now at a high point of 41.5, with 61% of tickets on the Under/63% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Carolina had an awful first year behind rookie QB Bryce Young. The Panthers went 2-15 SU/4-11-2 ATS.

NFC South rival New Orleans had a more respectable season, staying in the Wild Card hunt until the end. The Saints finished 9-8 SU/6-10-1 ATS.

New Orleans opened as 5.5-point chalk in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. The line has slowly shortened over the summer, to Saints -5 on July 7, -4.5 on July 18 and -4 Thursday.

The total is down a point, going from 40.5 to 40 on July 31, then to 39.5 Tuesday.

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds

• Opening point spread: Eagles -1
• Opening moneyline: Eagles -120/Packers even
• Opening total: Over/Under 48 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Friday, Sept. 6 (Peacock)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT. 6: Less than an hour before kickoff, Philly is -2 (-115) in BetMGM's odds for NFL Week 1. Way back in April, the Eagles opened -1.5. From Aug. 20-28, the line climbed to Philadelphia -2/-2.5/-3, before falling back to -2 (-120) on Tuesday.

The spread spent much of Thursday/today at Eagles -1.5 (-120) before advancing to the current -2 (-115).

"Eagles bettors are flying in late. We just need the Packers to win. Short and simple," BetMGM senior trader Tristan Davis said.

The total opened at 51.5 months ago, then bottomed out at 48.5 in May and again Tuesday. Late this morning, the number peaked at 50, and it's now 49.5.

"Betting on the total has been up-and-down. We saw it move up late last night, but that money has since slowed. We can see the action coming back on the Under right now," Davis said.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY, SEPT. 6: The Eagles opened -1.5 at Fanatics Sportsbook and is now up to -2.5 (-115), a few hours before kickoff. But that's making Green Bay moneyline, now +120, more attractive in Fanatics' NFL odds Week 1 market.

"Now, the Packers are starting to run up a little more action on the moneyline," Fanatics NFL trader Ethan Useloff said.

The total has toggled between the 49.5 opener and 48.5, and it's currently at 48.5.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: Philly hit the NFL Week 1 odds board as 1.5-point chalk at TwinSpires Sportsbook and has since advanced to -2/-2.5. The Eagles are landing 64% of early spread tickets and 70% of early spread dollars.

"The public is siding with the Eagles so far. Eagles moneyline is also attracting a lot of bets. It's 3/1 tickets and 5/1 money on Philadelphia," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total went from 49 to 50 and back to 49 on two-way play. The Over is taking 55% of tickets, while 54% of money is on the Under.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Green Bay arguably could've beaten San Francisco in the Divisional Round last season. Alas, the Packers (10-9 SU/11-8 ATS) fell 24-21 after a late 49ers touchdown.

Meanwhile, after reaching the Super Bowl two seasons ago, Philadelphia continued to look great through 11 games last season, going 10-1 SU. But the Eagles imploded over the final six games going 1-5 SU and ATS.

Philly settled for a Wild Card berth and promptly lost at Tampa Bay 32-9. Jalen Hurts & Co. finished 11-7 SU and a lackluster 6-9-3 ATS.

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On May 10, the Eagles opened -1 in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. Philadelphia advanced to -1.5 in mid-July and -2 Aug. 8. This morning, Philly moved out -2.5 for this neutral-site game in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

"The perception of Philly has definitely improved since the schedule came out," Michaelson said, noting the Eagles are popular in other markets, as well. "We've seen Over on Philly's season wins, and their odds for the division have shortened, too.

"The market is taking a wait-and-see approach with Green Bay. We'll likely need Green Bay, unless we have a big public player who is enticed by Jordan Love, which is possible."

The total is up a tick from 48 to 48.5 at The SuperBook.

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -2.5
• Opening moneyline: Chiefs -140/Ravens +120
• Opening total: Over/Under 47 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday, Sept. 5 (NBC)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Forty-five minutes pre-kick, the Chiefs are -3 (-105) in BetMGM's odds for NFL Week 1. Months ago, Kansas City opened -2.5, and the line has been at various iterations of -3 since mid-July.

The latest adjustment came this afternoon, from Chiefs -3 (even) to -3 (-105).

"It's a great betting duel spread-wise at -3," BetMGM senior trader Tristan Davis said. "We have seen a little push on Under 47, but the handle on the Over is still outweighing the Under."

Added BetMGM trader Christian Cipollini: "A ton of action. Chiefs win and Ravens cover is the ideal outcome right now."

The total opened at 47.5, spent most of the summer at 46.5, then went to 47 Tuesday. It's now at 46.5 (Over -115).

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET THURSDAY: With five-plus hours until kickoff, Kansas City is 3-point chalk on Fanatics Sportsbook's NFL Week 1 odds board. The Chiefs opened as 2.5-point favorites.

It's two-way action on the spread, with K.C. getting 55% of tickets, while money is running dead even. Broken down further, when the line was Chiefs -2.5, 80% of tickets/86% of dollars were on the Kansas City. But at Chiefs -3, the Ravens are drawing 56% of tickets/68% of money.

"It’s been a back-and-forth battle with this line all week long," Fanatics Sportsbook senior editor Max Meyer said. "When we’ve had it at 2.5, Chiefs money has been pouring in. When it’s been at 3, there’s been good action on the Ravens.

"Clearly that half a point matters a lot. In terms of overall spread action, it’s about as even as you can get."

The total opened at 47.5, got as low as 45.5 and is now 46.5. The Under is netting 59% of tickets/64% of money.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET TUESDAY, SEPT. 3: TwinSpires Sportsbook has K.C. at -3 (-106), up from the -2.5 opener in the NFL odds Week 1 market. Ticket count is almost dead even on the spread, with a very slight lean toward the Ravens. Spread money is close, too, with 54% on the Chiefs.

"Liability is pretty split, with a small edge toward K.C.," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total opened at 46.5 and is now 46, with 65% of tickets on the Over/57% of money on the Under. Lucas said there was sharp play on Under 46.5.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, AUG. 25: Kansas City is coming off its second straight Super Bowl win and third championship in five seasons. The Chiefs went 15-6 SU/13-8 ATS, cashing in all four playoff games. K.C. edged San Francisco 25-22 in overtime as a 2.5-point Super Bowl underdog.

Baltimore's last game was against Kansas City, a 17-10 loss as 4.5-point home chalk in the AFC Championship Game. That capped a 14-5 SU campaign for the Ravens, who went 12-7 ATS.

The SuperBook hasn't moved off Chiefs -2.5 since May 13. However, there was a juice adjustment shortly after opening, to Chiefs -2.5 (-120) on the NFL Week 1 odds board.

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"We'll need Baltimore. We've had lots of money on K.C., both sharp and otherwise," SuperBook risk supervisor Chase Michaelson said. "We're at Chiefs -2.5 (-120), and we would need something significant to go to 3, most likely.

"We feel pretty strongly that the wiseguys would snap up Baltimore +3 if available."

The total has been fairly static, going from 47 to 46.5 in early July, with no movement since.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson