NFL Odds Week 1: Everything You Need To Know About Marquee Matchups
For the latest NFL odds Week 1 updates, check out NFL Odds Week 1: Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends for Every Game
NFL Odds Week 1
Matchup | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Chiefs vs
Ravens | -3 (-105)
+3 (-115) | o46 (-110)
u46 (-110) | -150 +125 |
Eagles vs
Packers | -1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110) | o49.5 (-110)
u49.5 (-110) | -125 +105 |
Bills vs
Cardinals | -6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-105) | o46 (-110)
u46 (-110) | -300 +240 |
Bengals vs
Patriots | -7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110) | o41 (-110)
u41 (-110) | -400 +310 |
Giants vs
Vikings | +1 (-110)
-1 (-110) | o42 (-110)
u42 (-110) | -105 -115 |
Saints vs
Panthers | -3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110) | o41.5 (-110)
u41.5 (-110) | -190 +155 |
Falcons vs
Steelers | -4 (-110)
+4 (-110) | o42.5 (-110)
u42.5 (-110) | -200 +165 |
Bears vs
Titans | -4 (-110)
+4 (-110) | o43 (-110)
u43 (-110) | -200 +165 |
Colts vs
Texans | +3 (-110)
-3 (-110) | o47.5 (-110)
u47.5 (-110) | +135 -160 |
Dolphins vs
Jaguars | -3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110) | o49.5 (-110)
u49.5 (-110) | -190 +155 |
Seahawks vs
Broncos | -6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110) | o42.5 (-110)
u42.5 (-110) | -275 +225 |
Chargers vs
Raiders | -3 (-105)
+3 (-115) | o40 (-110)
u40 (-110) | -155 +130 |
Buccaneers vs
Commanders | -4 (-110)
+4 (-110) | o42 (-110)
u42 (-110) | -200 +165 |
Browns vs
Cowboys | -2 (-105)
+2 (-115) | o42 (-110)
u42 (-110) | -125 +105 |
Lions vs
Rams | -5 (-110)
+5 (-110) | o53.5 (-110)
u53.5 (-110) | -250 +195 |
49ers vs
Jets | -3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115) | o43 (-110)
u43 (-110) | -190 +155 |
NFL odds for Week 1 hit betting boards across the country before the ink had time to dry on the 2023-24 schedule. In fact, a few marquee matchups had odds available before the schedule was officially released in mid-May.
That schedule includes a massive regular-season opener between the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens.
With 10 weeks to go until kickoff, here’s everything you need to know about the NFL odds Week 1 market: opening lines, spreads and betting information on every game, and oddsmaker insights on NFL Week 1 odds and action in marquee matchups. Be sure to use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.
Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds
- Opening point spread: Chiefs -2.5
- Opening moneyline: Chiefs TBA/Ravens TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 47 points scored
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday, Sept. 5
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: Shortly after this season-opening matchup went up May 13, at Kansas City -2.5, The SuperBook adjusted to -2.5 (-120). There's been no movement since and probably won't be until late summer, when interest picks up again.
"I see a couple of short 3s on the board with other operators. But we're still at Chiefs -2.5 (-120), and we'll probably stay there for a while," SuperBook risk supervisor Chase Michaelson said. "Baltimore was considered the better team before last season's AFC Championship Game. But these are pretty evenly matched teams.
"In order to get to 3, you have to be considered the better team. I'd say 2.5 is the new 3."
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: When we last saw the Chiefs, they were beating the San Francisco 49ers 25-22 in overtime to win Super Bowl 58 in Las Vegas. Kansas City opens the 2023-24 season at home against the Baltimore Ravens, in a rematch of the AFC Championship Game.
In that contest, the Chiefs grinded out a 17-10 road win catching 4.5 points. For the first game of next season, The SuperBook opened K.C. -2.5 at home on the NFL Week 1 odds board.
"There was pretty good consensus on this line," Michaelson said on the night of May 15, right after the schedule release. "We view these teams as very similar, and with home-field advantage, this felt like the right line. We took some early sharp action that pushed the Chiefs to 2.5 (-120). But with 3 being such a key number in the NFL, it's going to take a lot more money to push us to that threshold.
"We feel pretty strongly that the wiseguys would snap up Baltimore +3 if available. I think this line will stay where it is until the week of the game, and then it's possible that public action could push it up."
Michaelson said the public has good reason to get on Kansas City, though it'll be months before the betting pace really picks up.
"I would expect the public to back K.C. here. The last thing people saw was a dynamite playoff run, where the public backed K.C. as a 'dog three times in a row and cashed every time," he said. "Laying less than a field goal is going to be very appetizing to the public, and I expect plenty of Week 1 parlay action to tied to K.C., both moneyline and spread."
The Chiefs finished 15-6 SU/13-8 ATS last season, including 4-0 SU and ATS in the playoffs. The Ravens were 14-5 SU/12-7 ATS.
Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds
- Opening point spread: Eagles -1
- Opening moneyline: Eagles TBA/Packers TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 48 points scored
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Friday, Sept. 6
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: Philadelphia opened and remains -1 vs. Green Bay in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. It's a rare Friday night matchup, and even more rare, it will be played in Sao Paulo, Brazil.
"These teams are pretty evenly matched, and it's a neutral-site game," Michaelson said. "The Eagles have had the pedigree for multiple years, but the Packers had more success in the playoffs last year. The spread at 1 is like a pick 'em. It's not a huge difference."
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: After a 10-1 SU start last season, Philadelphia imploded over the final six games. The Eagles went 1-5 SU, settling for an NFC Wild Card berth.
That didn't go well, either, as Philly lost at Tampa Bay 32-9. The Eagles finished 11-7 SU/6-9-3 ATS last season.
Green Bay got an NFC Wild Card bid and beat Dallas on the road in that round. Then the Packers nearly knocked out San Francisco in the Divisional Round. Green Bay fell 24-21 catching 10.5 points on the road.
"I think we see one team in the Eagles that made some coaching improvements in the offseason. We expect them to rebound from their disaster second half last year," Michaelson said. "The Packers had a strong playoff run and have a young QB [Jordan Love] who the public likes. We view these teams as pretty equal, as the line reflects.
"Any line this close could get bet just about any way in the next four months. Green Bay will attract plenty of public action for a 'dog."
The Packers went 10-9 SU/11-8 ATS last season, a middling mark. But Green Bay won its final three regular-season games to reach the playoffs.
Neither team has home-field advantage, with a long road trip to Sao Paulo, Brazil, for this rare Friday night game. The Eagles opened -1 on May 10 and remain there. The total is up a tick from 48 to 48.5.
"With the NFL invading Brazil for the first time, and it being in a good TV slot back home, we're expecting essentially a second opening night in terms of handle," Michaelson said. "It helps that these are two very popular teams, of course, and we'll see plenty of two-way action here.
"There are so few neutral sites in the NFL that it's an interesting line-making exercise when we do get them."
Arizona Cardinals vs Buffalo Bills Odds
- Opening point spread: Bills -7
- Opening moneyline: Bills TBA/Cardinals TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 48.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: The line and total on this game are stagnant. The SuperBook opened the spread at Bills -7 and the total at 48.5, with no movement so far.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Josh Allen and Buffalo once again fell short of a Super Bowl last season. The Bills lost to Kansas City 27-24 as 2.5-point home favorites in the AFC Divisional Round.
Buffalo went 12-7 SU/8-10-1 ATS.
Arizona was minus QB Kyler Murray for more than half of last season, as he recovered from a torn ACL. He played the final eight games, with the Cardinals going 3-5 SU in that stretch to finish a dismal 4-13 SU/9-7-1 ATS.
The SuperBook opened Buffalo -7 vs. Arizona in the NFL odds Week 1 market. There's been no movement so far.
New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds
- Opening point spread: Bengals -9.5
- Opening moneyline: Bengals TBA/Patriots TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 43 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: This line has been fairly stable at Bengals -9.5, with only a brief move to -9 in mid-May, shortly after The SuperBook posted NFL Week 1 odds.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Cincinnati made the Super Bowl two seasons ago, nearly beating the Los Angeles Rams. Last year, the Bengals lost Joe Burrow to a wrist injury in Week 11 and didn't make the playoffs.
Cincy finished 9-8 SU/7-8-2 ATS.
New England continued muddling along in the post-Tom Brady era. The Patriots were a meager 4-13 SU/6-11 ATS last season. So it's now the post-Bill Belichick era, as well, with the coach leaving after 24 seasons and six Super Bowl wins.
The SuperBook opened Pats-Bengals at Cincinnati -9.5, and that's where the line sits now. The total nudged from 43 to 42.5 at this very early juncture.
Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants Odds
- Opening point spread: Giants -1
- Opening moneyline: Giants TBA/Vikings TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: There's been no movement off New York -1 at The SuperBook. The total dipped from 43.5 to 41.5, with a couple stops along the way, shortly after opening May 15.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Minnesota lost QB Kirk Cousins to a torn Achilles in Week 8. The Vikings ended up 7-10 SU/7-7-3 ATS, and Cousins left for Atlanta after the regular season.
New York had a rougher season, going 6-11 SU/8-8-1 ATS. Quarterback Daniel Jones suffered an ACL tear in Week 9, ending his season.
The Giants opened and remain -1 on The SuperBook's NFL Week 1 odds board. But the total was a notable early mover right after the May 15 schedule release. It went from 43.5 to 43 and 42 before settling at 41.5.
Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints Odds
- Opening point spread: Saints -5.5
- Opening moneyline: Saints TBA/Panthers TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 40.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: Neither the spread nor the total have budged in six weeks. New Orleans is laying 5.5 points at home, and the total is 40.5.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Carolina had an awful first year behind rookie QB Bryce Young. The Panthers went 2-15 SU/4-11-2 ATS.
NFC South rival New Orleans had a more respectable season, staying in the Wild Card hunt until the end. The Saints finished 9-8 SU/6-10-1 ATS.
New Orleans is a 5.5-point favorite at The SuperBook, with no movement so far.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons Odds
- Opening point spread: Falcons -3
- Opening moneyline: Falcons TBA/Steelers TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 6
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: Atlanta opened -3 on May 15, and on May 30, The SuperBook shifted to -2.5 (-120) in its NFL odds Week 1 market. On June 9, there was a modest adjustment to Falcons -2.5 flat.
The total opened at 43.5 and quickly went to 43, with no movement since May 15.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: As noted above, Kirk Cousins is now the starter for Atlanta, signing a four-year deal, with $100 million deal guaranteed. Yet for some reason, the Falcons stunningly drafted Michael Penix Jr. with the eighth overall pick. Go figure.
Atlanta went 7-10 SU/5-12 ATS last season.
Pittsburgh got an AFC Wild Card bid last season, losing at Buffalo 31-17. The Steelers, who went 10-8 SU and ATS, might have a quarterback competition this summer. Pittsburgh added Russell Wilson, who was let go by Denver, and traded with Chicago for Justin Fields.
Atlanta is a 3-point Week 1 favorite at The SuperBook. The total inched from 43.5 to 43 after the May 15 schedule release.
Tennessee Titans vs Chicago Bears Odds
- Opening point spread: Bears -4.5
- Opening moneyline: Bears TBA/Tennessee TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 43 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: This spread hasn't budged since mid-May, sticking at Chicago -4.5 in The SuperBook's NFL Week 1 odds market. The total is the only mover, nudging from 43 to 43.5 early on.
But with the buzz surrounding new Bears QB Caleb Williams, Michaelson is fairly certain how this game will shape up by kickoff.
"Week 1 is a huge travel week to Vegas. It's one of our busiest over-the-counter weeks of the year, and we'll have a large contingent from Chicago," Michaelson said. "My guess is we'll need Tennessee to win the game. Nobody is running to the window to bet Tennessee."
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Chicago will unveil yet another rookie as starting quarterback. The Bears took Caleb Williams with the No. 1 overall pick, just three seasons after taking Justin Fields with their first-round choice.
Fields was traded to the Steelers long before the NFL Draft, paving the way to take Williams. Chicago went 7-10 SU/8-7-2 ATS last season.
Tennessee has a young starter too, in second-year QB Will Levis. The Titans were 6-11 SU/7-9-1 ATS in 2022-23, dismissing coach Mike Vrabel afterward. Brian Callahan left his post as Bengals offensive coordinator to take over as Titans coach.
"The Bears are gonna be a high-profile team this season with Caleb Williams. But this is as low-profile as it gets," Michaelson said of the Titans-Bears tilt. "Tennessee made some odd coaching changes and isn't expected to be very good this year, which is how you get Chicago -4.5.
"We typically have plenty of Bears fans in [Las Vegas] for Week 1, and I'm sure we'll be rooting for Tennessee outright."
The spread hasn't moved off Bears -4.5 in The SuperBook's NFL Week 1 odds market. The total is up a tick, from 43 to 43.5.
Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Odds
- Opening point spread: Texans -2.5
- Opening moneyline: Texans TBA/Colts TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 48.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: It's another game with a short spread and no movement so far in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market. Houston remains 2.5-point road chalk vs. Indianapolis.
"Some of this depends on the health of Anthony Richardson," Michaelson said of the Indianapolis QB, coming off a shoulder injury that shelved him much of last season. "C.J. Stroud and the Texans are a really popular team right now. They were exciting last year, won a playoff game. People will be looking to bet Houston.
"But if this line goes to 3, we'll probably have some pushback for a home 3-point 'dog."
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: C.J. Stroud moved to the head of last season's rookie class. Stroud guided Houston to an 11-8 SU mark (10-9 ATS), including a 45-14 home bashing of Cleveland in the AFC Wild Card Round.
Houston's season ended a week later with a 34-10 loss at Baltimore. Stroud was named Offensive Rookie of the Year, turning around a team that went 3-13 SU in 2022-23.
In the 2024-25 opener, Stroud will face another second-year QB in Indianapolis starter Anthony Richardson. Last year, Richardson played in just four games, due to a concussion and ultimately a shoulder injury that ended his season in Week 5.
The Colts still went 9-8 SU and ATS.
"C.J. Stroud is a star," Michaelson said. "This is a similar situation to Baltimore-Kansas City, where we have the line as high as we can get it without inviting wiseguy action on the 'dog. The Texans have as high of expectations as they have had in recent memory.
"We'll need Indy outright to help break up parlays. The AFC South is typically the least-bet division, so having Stroud and Richardson should spice up handle a little bit."
The spread and total remain Texans -2.5 and 48.5, respectively.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Miami Dolphins Odds
- Opening point spread: Dolphins -3.5
- Opening moneyline: Dolphins TBA/Jaguars TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 50.5 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 6
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: This line saw movement in the past couple days, from Dolphins -3 (-120) to -3.5 (even). The SuperBook opened May 15 at Miami -3.5 flat.
The total was active early, going from 50.5 to 49 on May 15. On June 5, it dipped another notch to 48.5.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Miami looked solid much of last season, but had to settle for an AFC Wild Card berth. With that came a trip to Kansas City, where the Dolphins lost 26-7. Tua Tagovailoa & Co. finished 11-7 SU/10-8 ATS.
Jacksonville was expected to be a playoff team, but ended up 9-8 SU and ATS, missing the postseason. The postseason-bid killer: a 26-0 Week 17 home loss to lowly Carolina, with QB Trevor Lawrence out due to a shoulder injury.
The SuperBook opened the Dolphins -3.5, with a total of 50.5. Shortly after the May 15 schedule released, the total saw almost immediate movement down to 49.5. Soon thereafter, it dipped another notch to 49 in the NFL odds Week 1 market.
On May 24, the spread shortened to Dolphins -3 (-120).
Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks Odds
- Opening point spread: Seahawks -6.5
- Opening moneyline: Seahawks TBA/Broncos TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 40 points scored
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: The only activity over the past month was on the total. On June 5, The SuperBook went from 41 to 41.5, and on June 8, the number climbed another half-point to 42.
Seattle is a 5.5-point favorite, after opening -6.5, then falling back a point in mid-May.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: After two uninspired years with Russell Wilson, Denver dumped the QB, taking a massive salary-cap hit in the process. The Broncos went 8-9 SU/6-10-1 ATS last season.
Denver surprisingly drafted Bo Nix at No. 12 overall. For the moment, Nix is atop the Broncos' QB depth chart.
Seattle made a change at coach, moving on from Pete Carroll after 14 seasons. Carroll remains in an advisory role with the Seahawks, who went 9-8 SU/7-8-2 ATS last season.
Broncos-Seahawks saw early movement on both the spread and total on The SuperBook's NFL Week 1 odds board. Seattle dipped a half-point to -6 after the May 15 schedule release. The total moved from 40 to 40.5, then 41.5 within 20 minutes of opening.
On May 16, the line fell another half-point to Seahawks -5.5.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers Odds
- Opening point spread: Chargers -3.5
- Opening moneyline: Chargers TBA/Raiders TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 43.5 points scored
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: The Chargers opened and remain 3.5-point home favorites on The SuperBook's NFL Week 1 odds board. The total opened at 43.5 and on June 9 crept back to 43.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Los Angeles is coming off a disappointing 5-12 SU/5-11-1 ATS campaign. QB Justin Herbert missed the final four games with a broken finger.
Las Vegas dumped coach Josh McDaniels in mid-November, elevated Antonio Pierce to interim coach, then retained Pierce in that role postseason. The Raiders went 8-9 SU/10-5-2 ATS, winning three of their last four games and cashing in all four.
Since opening May 15, neither the line nor the total have moved at The SuperBook.
Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds
- Opening point spread: Buccaneers -4
- Opening moneyline: Bucs TBA/Commanders TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 41.5 points scored
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: The spread and total are static at The SuperBook. Tampa Bay remains 4-point home chalk, and the total is stuck on the 41.5 opener.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Tampa Bay apparently has its QB in Baker Mayfield, who led the Bucs to the playoffs last season. In the NFC Wild Card Round, Tampa slammed Philadelphia 32-9.
The Bucs then fell at Detroit 31-23, capping a 10-9 SU/12-7 ATS year.
In Washington, the quarterback carousel continues following a 4-13 SU/6-10-1 ATS season. The Commanders took Jayden Daniels No. 2 overall, and he's expected to start.
Since opening May 15, neither the line nor the total have moved at The SuperBook.
Dallas Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns Odds
- Opening point spread: Pick
- Opening moneyline: Cowboys TBA/Browns TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 44.5 points scored
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: On May 13, The SuperBook opened this matchup a pick 'em on the NFL Week 1 odds board. Two days later, Dallas nudged to a 1-point favorite vs. Cleveland, and there's been no movement since.
"Dallas is one of the better teams in the NFL. And Dallas is a very public team," Michaelson said. "You'll probably see this close with Dallas favored, and we'll be rooting for Cleveland to win."
The total was active early, opening at 44.5, dipping to 44/43.5 and settling in at 44.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: Dallas saw its 2023-24 season end with a 48-32 blowout Wild Card loss to Green Bay. On the Cowboys' home field, no less. And at the moment, it's not guaranteed that the Pokes and QB Dak Prescott will reach agreement on a new deal.
Dallas went 12-6 SU/10-8 ATS.
Meanwhile, Cleveland made the playoffs last year in surprising fashion. In November, Joe Flacco was ostensibly signed off his couch after Deshaun Watson suffered a shoulder injury. Flacco led the Browns to wins in their final four regular-season games.
But Cleveland got boatraced in the AFC Wild Card Round, losing at Houston 45-14. The Browns finished 11-7 SU and ATS.
"We couldn't agree on who should be favored, which is how you end up with a pick 'em line," Michaelson said. "Dallas is viewed as the stronger team, but struggled on the road last season. And Cleveland's defense in particular was excellent at home last season.
"It's Week 1, which means public action. And the public will bet the star on the helmet. We expect a ton of handle for this game."
This line percolated a couple days in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market, even before the official schedule release on May 15. It then moved to Cowboys -1. The total was active early, as well, opening at 44.5, dipping to 44/43.5 and settling in at 44.
Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions Odds
- Opening point spread: Lions -3.5
- Opening moneyline: Lions TBA/Rams TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 52 points scored
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday, Sept. 8
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: Like several other matchups, this is another one that's holding steady in The SuperBook's NFL odds Week 1 market.
"We're comfortable with Lions -3.5, until we get a reason to do otherwise," Michaelson said. "Obviously, Detroit was right there with an opportunity to go to the Super Bowl last season. So the Lions have a ton of bettors who will get behind them this year."
In last season's Wild Card Round, host Detroit edged Los Angeles 24-23.
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: The Detroit Lions, a spread-covering machine much of the last two seasons, play in the first Sunday night game of the 2024-25 campaign. Last season, Detroit made it all the way to the NFC Championship Game, where it had San Francisco in a 24-7 halftime hole.
But the visiting Lions couldn't make it hold up. Detroit lost 34-31 to finish 14-6 SU and ATS. Since Week 9 of the 2022-23 season, the Lions are a scorching 23-7 ATS and a similarly hot 22-8 SU.
Los Angeles was a victim of Detroit's success last season. The Rams finished 10-8 SU/11-6-1 ATS, losing on the road to the Lions 24-23 in the NFC Wild Card Round.
"Detroit is certainly one of the hottest properties in the league right now. Getting that first Sunday night slot at home, in a playoff rematch, is proof of that," Michaelson said. "The Lions have as high of a power rating as they've had in years. The line being north of a field goal against a really solid Rams team gives you some indication."
There's been no movement in that spread so far, sticking at Lions -3.5. But the total dropped a point on May 15, going from 52 to 51.5/51.
"The line is probably a little bit of a result of the time slot. Sunday night home favorites will get plenty of moneyline parlays tied to them," Michaelson said. "We'll likely be rooting for the Rams outright, especially if the favorites win most of the games during the day."
New York Jets vs San Francisco 49ers Odds
- Opening point spread: 49ers -6
- Opening moneyline: 49ers TBA/Jets TBA
- Opening total: Over/Under 44.5 points scored
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday, Sept. 9
UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, JUNE 26: This line finally saw some movement in just the past couple days. After opening at San Fran -6 vs. New York on May 14, The SuperBook on June 23 dipped to -5.5 in the NFL odds Week 1 market.
"This is one of those situations where the line in June doesn't look like the line in September. By that Monday night, all the live parlays will go to the 49ers," Michaelson said. "If we get favorite after favorite after favorite winning on that Sunday, then we're gonna be rooting for the Jets."
UPDATE NOON ET SUNDAY, MAY 26: San Francisco had a big 2023-24 season, reaching the Super Bowl. The Niners almost had Kansas City beat, but yielded a late field goal that tied the game at 19 and sent it to overtime.
In OT, San Fran got a field goal to go up 22-19. But the Chiefs drove down the field and got a touchdown in the final seconds to win 25-22. The 49ers finished 14-6 SU/9-11 ATS.
New York lost Aaron Rodgers to a torn Achilles in last season's Monday night opener. Now, Rodgers will get another shot in the same time slot. The Jets went 7-10 SU/6-10-1 ATS without Rodgers.
The SuperBook pegged the Niners 6-point favorites in NFL Week 1 odds.
"San Francisco is still the highest power-rated team in the league going into the season, and they're at home. And Rodgers will be coming off a yearlong injury," Michaelson said. "It sounds like a high line, right? We expect the public to back San Francisco big time, as every moneyline parlay and teaser will be tied to this Monday night home favorite.
"The line may end up higher as we go along. But we think there's a good chance the sharps would be interested at New York +7."
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