NFL Odds Week 11: Commanders vs Giants Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Week 11 of the NFL season continues with a matchup between bottom dwellers in the NFC East as the New York Giants host the Washington Commanders. The betting odds see Washington as a double-digit road favorite despite owning a record of 4-6 on the year. Coverage begins from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 11 Commanders vs. Giants Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Stay tuned for more details regarding our ESPN BET promo code as well!

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Odds

• Opening point spread: Commanders -10
• Opening moneyline: Commanders -500/Giants +375
• Opening total: Over/Under 37 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

UPDATE NOON ET FRIDAY: Washington hit BetMGM's NFL Week 12 odds board at -9.5 (-115) Sunday night. On Monday morning, the Commanders moved to -10, then on Wednesday afternoon fell back to -9.5 (-105).

As bad as the Giants are, early spread ticket count is 2/1 and early spread money 6/1 on New York.

The total toggled between 37.5 and 37 a couple times early in the week. It's been stable at 37 since Tuesday, with 55% of tickets on the Under/60% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: No surprise, shorthanded New York (2-8 SU/2-7-1 ATS) couldn't keep pace with Dallas in Week 10. With third-string QB Tommy DeVito starting, the Giants got boat-raced 49-17 as 17.5-point road 'dogs.

Washington (4-6 SU/5-4-1 ATS) gave Seattle a better challenge than anticipated. The Commanders tied the game at 26 on a TD with 52 seconds left. But in yet another Week 10 field-goal finish, Washington lost 29-26 as time expired. The Commanders cashed as 6-point road pups.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 11 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Commanders vs Giants Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

This line is just goofy. These teams played under a month ago without Daniel Jones then, too, and the Giants won, 14-7.

The preseason line for this game was Giants -1.5. You're telling me DeVito is that bad?! This line should not have moved 11 points from preseason, especially since Washington is worse than expected, too. The Giants had been playing better defense before running into Dallas last week, and Wink Martindale's aggressive unit will get to Sam Howell.

When teams look as impossibly bad as the Giants currently do, they always eventually regress back to the mean. New York's average margin of victory this season is -14.8. From Week 5 forward, underdogs with at least a -14 MOV are 101-52-1 ATS (66%), and that jumps to 60-22-1 ATS (73%) on the road. We've seen six matchups like that in the last calendar year, and the road underdog won three of them outright.

The Giants are bad. They're just not this bad.

Pick: Giants +9.5 (-110)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 11: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Commanders vs Giants

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Washington: Sam Howell is 5-1 ATS in his career on the road. All six games have ended in one-score games.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 11 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson