NFL Odds Week 11: Steelers vs Browns Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Week 11 of the NFL season continues with a heavyweight AFC North battle between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns. The betting odds see Pittsburgh as a four-point underdog seeking its third straight victory. Coverage begins from Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 11 Steelers vs. Browns Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Stay tuned for more details regarding our ESPN BET promo code as well!

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Odds

• Opening point spread: Browns -4
• Opening moneyline: Browns -195/Steelers +165
• Opening total: Over/Under 38.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 10:45 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Cleveland opened -4 in BetMGM's NFL odds Week 12 market. On Wednesday, in the wake of Deshaun Watson (shoulder) being announced out for the season. the line hit several numbers on its way to Pittsburgh -1.5.

But it then rebounded to Browns -1 by Wednesday night and ultimately got to Browns -2.5 Saturday. It's now Cleveland -1.5 (-115), with 55% of tickets/51% of money on Pittsburgh.

The total plunged from 38.5 to 33 Wednesday, with multiple stops along the way. Today, it bounced up a bit to 33.5 and 34 at BetMGM. The Under is taking 53% of tickets/61% of money.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: News broke this morning that Browns QB Deshaun Watson would undergo season-ending shoulder surgery. No surprise, market reaction was swift. Cleveland dropped straight from -4 to -2.5 at PointsBet, and by early this afternoon, the line jumped the fence to Pittsburgh -1. The line is now at pick 'em.

All that movement came after the Browns opened -4 and initially ticked up to -4.5 Sunday evening. Spread tickets are running dead even, but 88% of spread money is on the Steelers in the early going.

The total also initially nudged up at PointsBet, from 37.5 to 38.5 Sunday night. But it was down to 36 even before the Watson news, and today, it plunged to a tidy 33.5.

The Under is drawing 57% of bets and a healthy 88% of money.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Cleveland (6-3 SU and ATS) nabbed arguably the biggest upset of Week 10. The Browns went to Baltimore as 6-point underdogs and trailed 31-17 early in the fourth quarter. But Cleveland's defense didn't allow another point and in fact scored a TD off an interception return to draw within 31-30 with 8:30 remaining.

Dustin Hopkins then missed the extra point. However, Hopkins redeemed himself by making a 40-yard field goal as time expired, giving the Browns a 33-31 victory.

And somehow, Pittsburgh found a way to win while getting outgained once again. The fact that the Steelers (6-3 SU and ATS) grinded out 205 rushing yards on 36 attempts probably helped quite a bit.

Pittsburgh still got outgained 399-324 in total yards, but beat Green Bay 23-19 as 3-point home chalk.

"We continue to be mystified by how Pittsburgh pulls out wins – a 6-3 record, 0-9 in yards. Amazing," Michaelson said. "The Browns' road win today over Baltimore was very impressive. I could see this game being bet back down toward 3, just because the market wishes every NFL game would be 3.

"But we feel Cleveland has a higher power rating than Pittsburgh."

Neither the line nor total moved tonight at The SuperBook.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 11 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Steelers vs Browns Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

Check back soon for picks!

Pick: TBD

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 11: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Steelers vs Browns

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

When Mike Tomlin is a dog with 7+ MPH winds, he is 26-11-2 ATS, best of any coach in the last 20 years.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 11 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson