NFL Odds Week 13: Chiefs vs Packers Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

The 13th Sunday of regular season NFL action concludes with a primetime non-conference clash between the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers. The betting odds see Kansas City as 6.5-point road favorites despite scoring 21 points or less in three of their last four games. Coverage begins from Lambeau Field in Green Bay on Sunday, December 3 at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 13: Chiefs vs. Packers lines, spreads, betting trends and more.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -7
• Opening moneyline: Chiefs -300/Packers +240
• Opening total: Over/Under 42 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City advanced from -6.5 (-115) to -7 briefly on Monday at BetMGM, then backed up to -6.5 flat. On Wednesday, the Chiefs fell to -6, and this evening, the number made a brief visit to -5.5.

As kickoff approaches, K.C. is a 6-point favorite. Spread tickets are running almost 4/1 and spread money 7/1 on the Chiefs. The favorites are having a huge NFL Sunday so far, going 9-1 SU/8-2 ATS after going 12-4 ATS last week.

Bettors are looking for one more tonight, while bookmakers need the Packers, and preferably outright. No doubt, every live moneyline parlay – and there are plenty – is running to the Chiefs.

"We need the Packers really bad. We are taking a dull axe to the back of our head today," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said.

The total opened at 42.5 and initially backed up to 42 and 41.5 (Over -120) early last week. By Wednesday, the number returned to 42.5, and today brought moves to 43/43.5. Ticket count is approaching 2/1 and money 2.5/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Chiefs opened -6.5 and are down to -6 in TwinSpires' NFL odds Week 13 market. Kansas City is taking 64% of spread bets early on, but just 52% of spread money.

"Sharp play on Green Bay +6.5," Lucas said.

The total nudged down from 42.5 to 42, with 65% of tickets on the Over/57% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Green Bay (5-6 SU/6-5 ATS) got the surprise victory of Week 12, in the opener of a Thanksgiving tripleheader. The Packers were 8.5-point road 'dogs against Detroit and controlled the game throughout in a 29-22 victory.

Kansas City (8-3 SU/7-4 ATS) spotted Las Vegas a 14-0 lead by early in the second quarter. But it was all Chiefs from there. K.C. tied it at 14 by halftime and went on to a 31-17 road win laying 9 points.

"The Packers looked good against Detroit. And against most teams, that would probably be worth something to the line," Michaelson said. "But in this spot on a Sunday night against Kansas City, we are going to be so loaded up to the Chiefs that it doesn't make sense to go below a touchdown.

"We expect to need the Packers for as much as we did on Thanksgiving."

Which was a lot. Green Bay's upset of Detroit was a boon for sportsbooks and a bust for bettors.

The Chiefs-Packers spread and total are stable tonight.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 13 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Chiefs vs Packers Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

The Chiefs' defense has been really good, but Matt LaFleur has done an incredible job with the Packers offense and Jordan Love is playing the best football of his career. He's played his three best games ever over the past month and is starting to look comfortable reading the defense and throwing quicker, more accurate passes.

All those under tendencies above have suppressed this total. Combine that with the Chiefs being favored by six and it's left value on Green Bay's team total as 17.5 isn't a big ask. The Packers have gone over that in four straight games and have scored at least 17 points in all but two games on the season. Green Bay's offensive line will give it a chance, and the Packers should be able to run some to make life easier on Love. We know Mahomes will score some points, so the Packers need to get to 18 to have any real chance.

Pick: Packers Team Total Over 17.5 Points (-115)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 13: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Chiefs vs Packers

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Packers are 5-2 ATS after playing the Lions under LaFleur and 19-6 ATS the game after playing an NFC North foe – sixth-best mark of any head coach last 20 years

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson