NFL Odds Week 3: Broncos vs Dolphins Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

NFL odds for Week 3 are on the board and receiving plenty of attention as the regular season is in full swing. The Broncos seek their first win of the season as they face the 2-0 Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami on Sunday, September 24 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for the Week 3 game between the Broncos and Dolphins: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates.

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Denver Broncos vs Miami Dolphins Odds

• Opening point spread: Dolphins -6.5
• Opening moneyline: Dolphins -290/Broncos +235
• Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami dipped from -6.5 to -6 Saturday, after opening -7 at BetMGM. Still, ticket count is 3/1 and money 2/1-plus on the Dolphins.

BetMGM's total sits at 47.5, up from a 46.5 opener and 48.5 peak. The Over is seeing 67% of tickets/60% of money.

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Interestingly, this line backed up from Dolphins -7 to -6.5 Monday at BetMGM, and it hasn't moved since. Early tickets and money are running about 3/1 on Miami.

The total opened at 46.5, peaked at 48.5 a couple times and has been stable at 48 since Thursday afternoon. Ticket count is 2.5/1 and money 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami (2-0 SU and ATS) has gone on the road each of the first two weeks and come away unblemished, on the field and at the betting window. In Week 2 at New England, the Dolphins were 2-point favorites and notched a 24-17 win.

On the flip side, Denver is 0-2 SU and ATS, with both losses as a home favorite. The Broncos blew a 21-3 second-quarter lead against Washington, giving up 32 of the next 35 points. Then Denver rallied and had a chance to get to OT after a miraculous Hail Mary touchdown on the final play of regulation.

But the subsequent 2-point attempt failed, and the Broncos lost 35-33 laying 3.5 points.

"Not much action on this game yet, as it is off board with Miami playing on Sunday Night Football," Degnon said. "Some smaller bets on the Dolphins and Over, but nothing of note. I think the public will be on Miami here, and I anticipate we'll be rooting for Denver come Sunday."

As Degnon alluded to, The SuperBook took Broncos-Dolphins off the NFL odds Week 3 board once the Dolphins-Patriots game began. Broncos-Dolphins will go back up Monday morning.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 3 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Broncos vs Dolphins Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

If you're a trends better, it's Denver or nothing. This is an absolute trends bonanza for the Broncos. They fit every one of those Kitchen Sink trends, plus a litany of others.

Our Luck Rankings say Miami has been the third luckiest team in the NFL through two weeks, while the Broncos have been the second unluckiest. Denver is a top Luck Rankings play of the week.

As frustrating as this Broncos season has been to start, the offense has actually moved the ball pretty well. Denver ranks third in Success Rate, and this talented pass defense can compete with the high-flying Dolphins, especially if Jaylen Waddle is limited or out and Pat Surtain can chase Tyreek Hill around all game.

It's not just the Kitchen Sink trends, either. Week 3 road underdogs of seven or less are 60% ATS, and teams playing their home opener in Week 3 like Miami are 20-36-2 ATS (36%). Sean Payton has been outstanding after a loss (63% ATS) and as an underdog (61%), and Russell Wilson has been just as good (60% and 68%) in those spots.

Pick: Broncos +6.5 (-110)

For more NFL Week 3 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 3: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Broncos vs Dolphins

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

The Dolphins typically don't handle expectations well early in the season. In the last 20 years, they have been favored by five points or more seven times in their first three games. They are 2-5 SU, 0-7 ATS.

For more NFL Week 3 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 3 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson