NFL Odds Week 4: Broncos vs Bears Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

It's been a rough start for both the Broncos and Bears as each team seeks their first win of the season on Sunday in Chicago. Week 4 of the NFL continues at Soldier Field as Denver is a short road favorite at Chicago with kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 4 Broncos vs. Bears: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates.

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Denver Broncos vs Chicago Bears Odds

• Opening point spread: Broncos -2.5 (-120)
• Opening moneyline: Broncos -170/Bears +145
• Opening total: Over/Under 45 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Denver opened -2.5 at Fanatics, quickly got to -3.5 and spent most of the week there. This morning, though, the Broncos moved down to -3 (-105).

Still, tickets are beyond 2.5/1 and money almost 9/1 on the Broncos.

The total opened at 44.5, slowly climbed to 47 by Saturday, then toggled between 47 and 46.5. It's now 47, with tickets 3/1 on the Under and money running almost even.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Somehow, even after last week's dreadful performance at Miami, Denver has moved from -2.5 to -3 and on to -3.5 at TwinSpires. The Broncos are netting 60% of spread tickets/77% of spread money midweek.

"It's a mix of sharp and public play on the Broncos," Lucas said. "Despite how bad Denver has looked, they're still seeing money. It shows you how poorly perceived Chicago is. It's ugly, but we'll need Chicago."

The total moved from 45.5 to 46, with 65% of bets/61% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Based on what we saw in Week 3, these two teams might be the worst in the NFL.

Denver (0-3 SU and ATS) is off to an extremely poor start under new coach Sean Payton. The Broncos went to Miami as 6-point 'dogs and got absolutely manhandled 70-20.

Meanwhile, Chicago (0-3 SU and ATS) trailed 34-0 at halftime against Kansas City and lost 41-10 as 12.5-point road pups.

The Broncos-Bears line has seen some movement tonight at The SuperBook. Denver moved from -2.5 (-120) to -3 flat, then to -3 (-120). The total is also on the move early, from 45 to 45.5 to 46. Go figure, for two teams that were outscored by a combined 111-30 in Week 3.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 4 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Broncos vs Bears Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

The Broncos just gave up 70 points in an NFL game. They're now favored the following week. On the road. By more than a field goal. So yeah… that's about how Denver and Chicago's seasons are going.

In games between winless teams, underdogs are 71-37-4 ATS (66%).

The Broncos had a bad week. The Bears have had a bad century. Chicago ranks bottom three on Offense, Defense, and Overall DVOA. The Bears are terrible at everything. Denver had a miserable defensive week, but at least the Broncos still scored 20 and look at least average offensively.

I wouldn't play this above the key number of three, but bet on this team to show up with some pride after embarrassing itself and get Sean Payton his first win with the Broncos.

Pick: Broncos -3 (-120)

For more NFL Week 4 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 4: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Broncos vs Bears

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

On a two-game or more SU losing streak, Wilson is 14-6 SU and 14-5-1 ATS in his career. In the last 20 years, only Drew Brees is better ATS. His head coach? Sean Payton.

For more NFL Week 4 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 4 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson