NFL Odds Week 4: Patriots vs Cowboys Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

The Week 4 NFL betting odds see Dallas as a touchdown-favorite in the aftermath of the Cowboys head scratching loss to Arizona last week. Coverage begins from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas on Sunday, October 1 at 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 4 Patriots vs. Cowboys: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates.

New England Patriots vs Dallas Cowboys Odds

• Opening point spread: Cowboys -7
• Opening moneyline: Cowboys -300/Patriots +240
• Opening total: Over/Under 42 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: About two hours before kickoff, the Cowboys are down to -6 at TwinSpires, after opening -7 and spending time at -6.5. Dallas is getting 58% of spread bets, while 56% of spread money is on New England.

"A Belichick-led team getting 7? That was snapped up quickly by our bettors. We'll need Dallas in this one," Lucas said.

The total rose from 42.5 to 43.5 and is now 43, with 60% of tickets/62% of money on the Over.

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UPDATE 1 P.M. ET FRIDAY: BetMGM moved the Cowboys from -7 flat to -7 (-105) Monday, then went to -6.5 (-115) Wednesday night. The visiting 'dog Patriots are drawing 55% of spread bets/65% of spread dollars.

BetMGM's total initially inched down from 42 to 41.5 Sunday night. The number went to 42.5 Monday, 43 Tuesday and 43.5 Thursday. However, early tickets are 4/1 and early money 3/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Dallas looked like one of the league's best teams through two weeks. But a huge slice of humble pie was served in Week 3. The Cowboys (2-1 SU and ATS) were 11.5-point favorites at Arizona and never led in a 28-16 loss.

New England had to face two top-tier teams in Weeks 1 and 2, losing at home to Philadelphia and Miami. The Patriots (1-2 SU and ATS) got right in a Week 3 rock fight against the New York Jets. New England notched a 15-10 road victory laying 2.5 points.

The Pats-Cowboys spread is stable tonight, but the total inched down to 41.5 at The SuperBook.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 4 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Patriots vs Cowboys Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

These were my top two defenses entering the season and both have looked pretty good so far, outside of Dallas getting gashed in the run game by Arizona last week. I like both defenses to have good games in winnable matchups each way, especially with the offensive lines looking so messy for both sides.

Dallas has allowed 12.7 PPG on the season, and the Patriots have yet to score 20. New England's defense is allowing just 19.7 PPG itself despite a difficult schedule. New England games were at 42 or below in nine of 17 games last season, and both teams have gone under this in two of their three games. Mac Jones road unders are 10-6 for his career (63%).

This was a Hot Read pick for me and the line dropped at first, then rose, and now has settled back around where it started. The injury report for the offensive lines is slightly more optimistic now, but I still like the under, especially right above a couple key numbers. I'm expecting a stodgy, defensive game.

Pick: Under 43.5 (-110)

For more NFL Week 4 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 4: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Patriots vs Cowboys

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Patriots are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. Two of those three ATS wins have come vs. the Jets.

For more NFL Week 4 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 4 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson